Not a good buy right now for an impatient entry: price is sitting on first support (~19.765) with bearish momentum (MACD histogram negative and widening), increasing the odds of a support break toward ~19.25.
Longer-term setup looks attractive based on very bullish fresh Wall Street initiations (multiple Buys/Overweights with 25–36 targets), but the tape does not yet confirm a reversal.
Neutral hedge-fund/insider activity and no near-term news catalysts reduce the urgency to buy immediately.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: Bearish near-term momentum; MACD histogram -0.104 below zero and negatively expanding (downtrend pressure is strengthening).
RSI: RSI(6) ~40.5 (neutral-to-weak), consistent with fading demand rather than an oversold bounce signal.
Moving averages: Converging MAs suggest consolidation, but current momentum is skewed lower.
Key levels: Price ~19.76 is essentially at S1 (19.765). If S1 fails, next downside level is S2 (19.249). Upside reversal confirmation would be a reclaim of the pivot (20.602) and then R1 (21.439).
with broadly bullish ratings and sizable upside price targets.
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
No news in the past week: fewer event-driven catalysts to trigger a fast rerating.
Financial Performance
Latest quarter financials were not provided (data error: "list index out of range"), so recent revenue/earnings growth trends and the latest quarter season cannot be assessed from the supplied data.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend: A major cluster of initiations (Dec 16–17, 2025) all positive—JPMorgan Overweight ($28.5), Citi Buy ($27), Goldman Buy ($35), Morgan Stanley Overweight ($30), Barclays Overweight ($27), Deutsche Bank Buy ($25), Evercore Outperform ($36), Itau BBA Outperform ($26.7).
Price target range: ~$25 to $36, implying substantial upside versus the current ~$19.76.
Wall Street pros: improved profitability/FCF post-restructuring, strong hub/slots, premium revenue mix, discounted valuation vs full-service peers.
Wall Street cons (implicit): thesis relies on demand recovery/premiumization and re-rating; near-term price action is not yet confirming the bullish narrative.
Politicians / influential figures: No purchases or sales data provided.
Congress trading (90 days): No recent congress trading data available.
Wall Street analysts forecast AERO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AERO is 29.79 USD with a low forecast of 25 USD and a high forecast of 36 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AERO stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AERO is 29.79 USD with a low forecast of 25 USD and a high forecast of 36 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 18.850
Low
25
Averages
29.79
High
36
Current: 18.850
Low
25
Averages
29.79
High
36
Evercore ISI
Duane Pfennigwerth
Outperform
initiated
$36
AI Analysis
2025-12-17
Reason
Evercore ISI
Duane Pfennigwerth
Price Target
$36
AI Analysis
2025-12-17
initiated
Outperform
Reason
Evercore ISI analyst Duane Pfennigwerth initiated coverage of Grupo Aeromexico with an Outperform rating and $36 price target, arguing that shares present "a compelling opportunity." As the sole full-service carrier in Mexico, Grupo Aeromexico stands out in a market ripe for recovery and growth, "akin to an earlier-stage Delta Airlines," the analyst tells investors.
Deutsche Bank
initiated
$25
2025-12-17
Reason
Deutsche Bank
Price Target
$25
2025-12-17
initiated
Reason
Deutsche Bank initiated coverage of Grupo Aeromexico with a Buy rating and $25 price target. The firm says the company is Mexico's most profitable and only full service airline with a leading share in the majority of its key markets. Aeromexico has strong free cash flow generation supported by low costs, diversified revenues, and a restructured balance sheet, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Deutsche sees "significant" growth potential across all of the company's major operating segments including air, loyalty, and other ancillaries.
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