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AEBI Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
9.420
1 Day change
0.11%
52 Week Range
83.260
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/26
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Aebi Schmidt Holding AG is not a strong buy at the moment for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The stock is currently in a bearish trend with oversold technical indicators, and while there are some positive catalysts such as revenue growth and strong North American order intake, the overall financial performance shows declining net income and EPS. Analysts maintain a Buy rating but have lowered the price target due to macroeconomic pressures. Given the lack of immediate positive trading signals and the current market sentiment, it is advisable to hold off on purchasing this stock for now.

Technical Analysis

The stock is in a bearish trend with the MACD histogram at -0.421, RSI at 4.83 indicating oversold conditions, and bearish moving averages (SMA_200 > SMA_20 > SMA_5). Key support is at 9.454, and resistance is at 13.226. The stock is trading near its support level, but the overall trend remains negative.

Positive Catalysts

  • Projected net sales growth for 2026 with adjusted EBITDA expected between $175 million and $195 million.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Gross margin dropped to 17.34%, down 4.09% YoY. Analysts have lowered the price target due to macroeconomic pressures. Stock is in a bearish trend with no immediate trading signals.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue increased by 5.8% YoY to $528.37 million, but net income dropped by 7.39% YoY to $8.8 million. EPS decreased by 8.33% YoY to $0.11, and gross margin fell to 17.34%, down 4.09% YoY.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Roth Capital maintains a Buy rating but has lowered the price target from $16.50 to $15, citing macroeconomic pressures. Analysts highlight strong North American order intake as a positive factor.

Wall Street analysts forecast AEBI stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast AEBI stock price to rise
2 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 9.410
sliders
Low
15
Averages
15.75
High
16.5
Current: 9.410
sliders
Low
15
Averages
15.75
High
16.5
Roth Capital
Buy
downgrade
$15
AI Analysis
2026-03-20
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
$15
AI Analysis
2026-03-20
downgrade
Buy
Reason
Roth Capital lowered the firm's price target on Aebi Schmidt to $15 from $16.50 to reflect the pressure on the stock due to macro choppiness but keeps a Buy rating on the shares after its in-line Q4 results. Strong North American order intake stemming from a resurgence of demand in the critical walk-in-van segment, should support management's positive outlook, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
Roth Capital
NULL -> Buy
maintain
$16
2025-11-26
Reason
Roth Capital
Price Target
$16
2025-11-26
maintain
NULL -> Buy
Reason
Roth Capital raised the firm's price target on Aebi Schmidt to $16.50 from $16 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The company delivered a sound Q3, with better-than-expected margins driving an adjusted EBITDA beat despite legacy Shyft softness, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The management cited order intake that appears to be picking up across the business, with strong growth in North America bolstered by significant strength in legacy Shyft walk-in-van orders that ramped toward the end of Q3, the firm added.
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