Should You Buy Aebi Schmidt Holding AG (AEBI) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
AEBI is not a good buy right now for a beginner, long-term investor who doesn’t want to wait for a better setup. Despite a generally bullish longer-term moving-average structure and a supportive Buy rating/raised price target from Roth, current momentum is weakening (MACD negative and expanding) and the latest quarter shows sharp profitability and margin deterioration. I would HOLD (not add) at ~$14 pre-market and reassess after the next earnings update (2026-02-12 pre-market) or once price reclaims/holds above the ~14.31 pivot and pushes toward 14.87 resistance with improving momentum.
Technical Analysis
Trend/Momentum: Moving averages are bullish (SMA_5 > SMA_20 > SMA_200), which supports a broader uptrend, but near-term momentum is soft. The MACD histogram is -0.0797 (below zero) and negatively expanding, indicating downside momentum is currently building. RSI(6) at 40.77 is neutral-to-weak (not oversold), suggesting there isn’t a strong mean-reversion buy signal yet.
Key levels: Pivot ~14.309 (price ~$14 is below/near this), resistance at R1 ~14.871 then R2 ~15.217; support at S1 ~13.747 then S2 ~13.401. With price below pivot and MACD weakening, risk of a drift toward support is elevated before a cleaner breakout attempt.
Pattern-based short-term odds: Similar-pattern model implies ~-1.05% over the next week, which aligns with the weak MACD.
