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ACRE Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp (ACRE) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
4.800
1 Day change
-1.03%
52 Week Range
5.890
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/26
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Ares Commercial Real Estate Corp (ACRE) is not a strong buy at this time for a beginner investor with a long-term strategy. The stock lacks positive momentum, has weak financial performance, and no significant catalysts to drive growth. Holding off on investment until better opportunities arise or more favorable signals are present is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 51.655, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. Key support is at 4.703, and resistance is at 4.955. Overall, the technical indicators suggest a neutral to slightly bearish outlook.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
11
Buy
1

Positive Catalysts

  • NULL identified. No recent news, and no significant insider or hedge fund trading activity.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Weak financial performance in Q4 2025, with revenue down 26.38% YoY, net income down 63.76% YoY, and EPS down 65.00% YoY. Analysts maintain underperform and underweight ratings, citing credit risks and declining book value.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped to $29.29M (-26.38% YoY), net income dropped to -$3.87M (-63.76% YoY), and EPS dropped to -$0.07 (-65.00% YoY). Gross margin increased slightly to 36.51% (+2.30% YoY), but overall financials are weak.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Analysts have mixed to negative views. BofA and Wells Fargo raised price targets to $5 but maintain underperform and underweight ratings, citing credit risks and declining book value. Keefe Bruyette is more optimistic with an outperform rating and a $6 price target.

Wall Street analysts forecast ACRE stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ACRE stock price to rise
1 Buy
2 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 4.800
sliders
Low
4
Averages
4.83
High
5.5
Current: 4.800
sliders
Low
4
Averages
4.83
High
5.5
BofA
Underperform
maintain
$5
AI Analysis
2026-02-24
Reason
BofA
Price Target
$5
AI Analysis
2026-02-24
maintain
Underperform
Reason
BofA raised the firm's price target on Ares Commercial to $5 from $4.50 and keeps an Underperform rating on the shares. The firm is updating estimates among its mortgage finance coverage after Q4 reports from the group.
Wells Fargo
Donald Fandetti
Underweight
maintain
$4 -> $5
2026-02-12
Reason
Wells Fargo
Donald Fandetti
Price Target
$4 -> $5
2026-02-12
maintain
Underweight
Reason
Wells Fargo analyst Donald Fandetti raised the firm's price target on Ares Commercial to $5 from $4 and keeps an Underweight rating on the shares. The firm notes the company reported Q4 loan growth, though credit risks remain. Book value was down 2% quarter-over-quarter.
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