Should You Buy Abacus Global Management Inc (ABX) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.
Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
7.450
1 Day change
-7.45%
52 Week Range
--
Analysis Updated At
2026/01/28
ABX is not a good buy right now for a beginner, long-term investor with $50k–$100k. Despite bullish institutional/Street tone and potential corporate-action upside in the news flow, the latest quarter shows a sharp deterioration in profitability (net income/EPS down materially YoY). With no supportive Intellectia signals and no usable trend data, the risk/reward is not attractive for an impatient long-term buyer today.
Technical Analysis
Current status: pre-market price ~$8.07 (no regular-session context provided).
Trend assessment: No historical price/volume trend data was provided (no moving averages, support/resistance, RSI, or multi-day trend), so a reliable technical read (uptrend vs. downtrend) cannot be confirmed from the dataset.
**Intellectia Proprietary Trading Signals**
- [AI Stock Picker](module://ai_stock_pick): no signal on given stock today.
- [SwingMax](module://swingmax): No signal on given stock recently.
Options Data
Positive Catalysts
- News-driven catalyst: consideration of a North America assets spin-off (could unlock value and re-rate the business if executed cleanly).
- Institutional flow: Hedge funds are buying, with buying amount up +182.18% over the last quarter.
- Wall Street stance (as provided): multiple bullish notes with raised price targets and Buy/Outperform-type positioning, suggesting favorable sector/asset-cycle expectations (gold-related macro tailwinds referenced).
Neutral/Negative Catalysts
- Earnings quality concern: 2025/Q3 net income and EPS fell sharply YoY despite revenue surging—signals margin/expense/one-off pressure and weak profit conversion.
- Technical uncertainty: No trend data available, so there is no confirmation that price action supports immediate entry.
- No proprietary timing edge: Intellectia AI Stock Picker and SwingMax show no buy signal today.
- Insider activity: Insiders are neutral with no significant recent trend (no reinforcing insider-buy catalyst).
- Congress trading: No recent congress trading data available (no political/whale confirmation).
Financial Performance
Latest quarter: 2025/Q3.
- Revenue: 62,975,156 (+123.72% YoY) — strong top-line growth.
- Net Income: 7,075,348 (-238.05% YoY) — profitability deteriorated materially.
- EPS: 0.07 (-200.00% YoY) — earnings power weakened significantly.
- Gross Margin: 80.86% (-6.01% YoY) — margin compression adds to the concern.
Overall: strong revenue growth but weakening margins/earnings makes the quarter a negative for long-term, beginner-friendly buy timing.
Growth
Profitability
Efficiency
Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends
Recent trend (as provided): Analysts have been raising price targets and maintaining/issuing positive ratings (Buy/Outperform) over Dec 2025–Jan 2026, citing supportive macro drivers for gold and expectations for stronger capital returns/free cash flow.
Wall Street pros: positive sector tailwinds (gold macro), higher targets, and a constructive outlook tied to capital returns and potential asset actions.
Wall Street cons (implied vs. fundamentals shown): the latest reported profitability trend is sharply negative YoY, which can contradict a clean bullish thesis until earnings quality improves.
Wall Street analysts forecast ABX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ABX is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Analyst Rating
0
Wall Street analysts forecast ABX stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ABX is 0 USD with a low forecast of 0 USD and a high forecast of 0 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
Buy
Hold
Sell
0
Current: 8.050
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
0
Current: 8.050
Low
0
Averages
0
High
0
BofA
Lawson Winder
Buy
maintain
$50 -> $58
AI Analysis
2026-01-19
Reason
BofA
Lawson Winder
Price Target
$50 -> $58
AI Analysis
2026-01-19
maintain
Buy
Reason
BofA analyst Lawson Winder raised the firm's price target on Barrick Mining to $58 from $50 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm raise increased targets across the North American precious metals group. Many of the macro drivers that pushed gold prices higher "have intensified," the analyst tells investors in a research note. BofA expects company capital returns in Q4 to be strong.
Jefferies
Buy
maintain
$46 -> $55
2025-12-07
Reason
Jefferies
Price Target
$46 -> $55
2025-12-07
maintain
Buy
Reason
Jefferies raised the firm's price target on Barrick Mining to $55 from $46 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares as part of a 2026 preview for the metals and mining group. The firm remains bullish on gold equities, citing attractive valuations, but now more cautious on copper stocks given valuations heading into next year. Jefferies expects gold companies to expand margins and produce more free cash flow in 2026 versus 2025. The longer gold prices remain elevated, the more investor attention will turn to growth, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Its top gold picks are Barrick Mining (B), Alamos Gold (AG) and Royal Gold (RGLD). The firm's top copper picks is Hudbay (HBM).
Unlock Full Analyst Thesis， Get the complete breakdown of rating reason for ABX
