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ABUS Should I Buy

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Intellectia

Should You Buy Arbutus Biopharma Corp (ABUS) Today? Analysis, Price Targets, and 2026 Outlook.

Conclusion
Hold
Latest Price
4.520
1 Day change
0.44%
52 Week Range
5.100
Analysis Updated At
2026/03/26
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Arbutus Biopharma Corp (ABUS) is not a strong buy at this moment for a beginner, long-term investor with $50,000-$100,000 available. The stock lacks clear positive momentum, has no significant trading signals, and its financial performance and technical indicators do not suggest an immediate opportunity. Holding off for now is recommended.

Technical Analysis

The MACD is below 0 and negatively contracting, indicating bearish momentum. RSI is neutral at 52.824, and moving averages are converging, showing no clear trend. The stock is trading near its pivot level of 4.378, with resistance at 4.569 and support at 4.187. Overall, the technical indicators suggest no strong directional bias.

Options Data

Bullish
Open Interest Put-Call Ratio
Bullish
Option Volume Put-Call Ratio

Technical Summary

StrongSellSellNeutralBuyStrongBuydotted line Image
Sell
0
Buy
9

Positive Catalysts

  • Arbutus has strong liquidity with $91.5 million in cash and marketable securities. The company achieved a 128.2% YoY revenue increase in Q4 2025, exceeding market expectations. A settlement with Genevant reduces financial risks, and Moderna faces challenges in its patent dispute with Arbutus.

Neutral/Negative Catalysts

  • Revenue, net income, and EPS have significantly declined YoY. The technical indicators show no strong upward momentum, and the stock has a high probability of declining in the short term. Analysts note that Arbutus faces challenges in proving patent infringement against Moderna.

Financial Performance

In Q4 2025, revenue dropped by 33.23% YoY to $1.051 million. Net income fell by 70.03% YoY to -$3.756 million, and EPS dropped by 71.43% YoY to -0.02. However, gross margin remained stable at 100%.

Growth

Profitability

Efficiency

Analyst Ratings and Price Target Trends

Jefferies analyst maintains a Buy rating on Arbutus shares, but notes challenges in the patent dispute with Moderna. No recent updates on price target changes.

Wall Street analysts forecast ABUS stock price to rise
1 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast ABUS stock price to rise
1 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 4.500
sliders
Low
7
Averages
7
High
7
Current: 4.500
sliders
Low
7
Averages
7
High
7
Jefferies
Dennis Ding
Buy
maintain
AI Analysis
2026-02-02
Reason
Jefferies
Dennis Ding
Price Target
AI Analysis
2026-02-02
maintain
Buy
Reason
Jefferies analyst Dennis Ding notes that Judge Wolson issued summary judgment on three matters in a patent fight between Arbutus Biopharma (ABUS) and Moderna (MRNA). While the analyst says two of the three rulings were in-line with the firm's thinking going into summary judgment, the judgement in favor of Moderna that Arbutus cannot claim infringement under the "doctrine of equivalents" seemed "interesting" as the Judge basically is implying Arbutus needs to meet a higher bar to prove infringement. However, this "shouldn't technically change the outcome" since the firm believes Moderna's LNP components lie within Arbutus' patented range, the analyst added. The firm has a Buy rating on Arbutus shares and a Hold rating on Moderna.

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