AA Earnings Forecast
Looking ahead, AA remains a focal point for investors seeking growth opportunities. Analyst forecasts for 2025/Q4 project quarter revenue of 3.26B and an EPS of 0.97.
However, recent estimate revisions provide additional context. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 have been Revise Downward by -0.23%, while EPS estimates have been Revise Upward by 6.71%. For the upcoming Q4 2025, revenue estimates have been adjusted Revise Upward by 0.39% . These revisions correlate with a 81.81% change in stock price over the same period, suggesting potential buying opportunities for investors who believe in AA long-term fundamentals.
The relationship between earnings forecast revisions and stock price movements is critical for investors. Positive revisions in revenue or EPS often signal strengthening fundamentals, making temporary price dips attractive entry points. Conversely, downward revisions may reflect short-term challenges.
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Revenue Estimates for FY2025
Revise Downward
-0.23%
In Past 3 Month
EPS Estimates for FY2025
Revise Upward
+6.71%
In Past 3 Month
Unlock the reason behind revisions!
Revenue Estimates for Q4 2025
Revise Upward
+0.39%
In Past 3 Month
Stock Price
Go Up
+81.81%
In Past 3 Month
Earnings Forecast
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EPS
Currency: USD
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Earnings Surprise Analysis
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Al Analysis
Earnings Reaction
The chart below shows how AA performed 10 days before and after its earnings report, based on data from the past quarters. Typically, AA sees a +6.71% change in stock price 10 days leading up to the earnings, and a -1.90% change 10 days following the report. On the earnings day itself, the stock moves by -1.49%. This data can give you a slight idea of what to expect for the next quarter's release.
For example, in SEP/2025, the stock changed 12.59% on the day following the earnings release and then changed by 0.25% over the next 10 days. These patterns provide investors with valuable insights into potential price movements and help inform trading strategies around earnings events.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What were the key highlights of AA's latest earnings report for FY2025Q4?
AA reported its FY2025Q4 earnings on 2026-01-22, showcasing a revenue of 0.00 against an estimate of 3.23B, resulting in a 0% surprise. The EPS was 0, surpassing the expected 0.98 by 0% . The stock experienced a 0% price change on the earnings day and a 0% change over the next five days, reflecting market reactions to the results.
How did AA's stock price react after the FY2025Q4 earnings release?
Following AA's FY2025Q4 earnings announcement on 2026-01-22, the stock price moved by % on the day of the release. Over the subsequent five days, it saw a % change. Historically, AA's stock price tends to shift by an average of +6.71% in the 10 days leading up to earnings and -1.90% in the 10 days following, providing insight into potential market.
What are the revenue and EPS estimates for AA for 2025/Q4?
For 2025/Q4, analysts estimate AA’s annual revenue to reach 3.26B, while the EPS is projected at 0.97. These estimates reflect recent revisions, with revenue estimates revised Revenue Revise Downward by -0.23% and EPS estimates Revise Upward by 0.39% over the past three months, indicating analyst expectation in the company’s performance.
How does AA's stock price correlate with earnings forecast revisions?
The correlation between AA's stock price and earnings forecast revisions shows that positive revisions in revenue or EPS often strengthen the stock’s fundamentals. Over the past three months, revenue estimates for FY2025 were Revise Downward by -0.23%, while EPS estimates moved Revise Upward by 0.39% . This trend suggests that price dips could present buying opportunities for investors.
What should investors expect from AA's next earnings report?
Based on historical trends, AA's stock price typically moves by +6.71% in the 10 days before its earnings and -1.90% in the 10 days after. For the upcoming 2025/Q4 earnings, analysts expect an EPS of 0.97 and revenue of 3.26B.
What is the sentiment in Alcoa Corp (AA) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Summary?
The earnings call summary presents a mixed outlook: reduced aluminum shipments and increased interest expenses are negatives, while cost reductions and improved alumina segment performance are positives. The Q&A reveals optimism about aluminum demand and strategic projects but highlights uncertainties in tariffs and energy costs. The strategic plan adjustments and management's cautious communication suggest a balanced view, leading to a neutral stock price prediction.