The analyst rating from HSBC Research is influenced by several key factors:
1. Outperformance of the Utilities Sector: The Hong Kong utilities sector has outperformed the Hang Seng Index (HSI) due to favorable macroeconomic conditions, including interest rates and exchange rates, as well as a shift in market sentiment towards defensiveness.
2. Valuation Considerations: With valuations nearing a four-year peak, any further revaluation is contingent on the specific circumstances of companies that are driving earnings and dividends.
3. Focus on Fundamentals: HSBC Research favors companies with strong fundamentals, abundant free cash flow, and the potential for better shareholder returns.
4. Top Pick - CKI Holdings: CKI Holdings is highlighted as a top pick due to its regulated utility assets in the UK and Australia, which are resilient to macroeconomic fluctuations. The company's outlook has improved following favorable regulatory policy adjustments.
Overall, the ratings reflect a cautious but optimistic view on companies with solid fundamentals in a sector that is currently benefiting from favorable macroeconomic conditions.