Offerpad Solutions projects Q4 revenue between $100M and $125M, below consensus estimate of $173.27M.
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 03 2025
0mins
Should l Buy OPAD?
- Q4 Financial Outlook: The company anticipates that its adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter will be comparable to that of the third quarter.
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Analyst Views on OPAD
Wall Street analysts forecast OPAD stock price to rise
2 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 0.860
Low
1.75
Averages
2.63
High
3.50
Current: 0.860
Low
1.75
Averages
2.63
High
3.50
About OPAD
Offerpad Solutions Inc. is an online real estate company. Through its Cash Offer service, customers complete a few steps and receive a cash offer range on their home, allowing them to schedule their home inspection on their timeline. The Company's other solutions include the B2B Renovate business, Direct+ institutional buyer program, and Agent Partnership Program. The B2B Renovate business leverages its existing logistics, operations, technology, and skill sets to provide renovation services to other businesses, allowing other companies and homeowners to utilize its renovation team to update their portfolio of homes for rent or to sell. The Direct+ institutional buyer program allows investors and single-family rental companies to purchase homes from homeowners, matching investors with sellers. The Agent Partnership Program allows partner agents to request a cash offer on behalf of their clients, list an acquired home prepared for resale, and have access to sellers in defined zones.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Offerpad Solutions Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Financial Performance Overview: Offerpad reported Q4 2025 revenue of $114 million with 312 homes sold, bringing full-year revenue to $568 million and 1,591 homes sold, with gross margins of 7% and 7.4%, indicating stability amid market fluctuations.
- Strategic Transformation Progress: The company transitioned from a single cash offer product to a platform with four solutions, generating $27 million in RENOVATE revenue in 2025, up approximately 50% year-over-year, showcasing significant progress in diversifying revenue streams.
- Liquidity Enhancement: At quarter-end, Offerpad's liquidity exceeded $55 million, including $27 million in unrestricted cash, and following an $18 million capital raise, total liquidity increased to over $70 million, providing support for increased transaction volumes.
- Market Outlook: Management expects Q1 2026 to reflect 250 to 300 real estate transactions with revenue between $70 million and $95 million, aiming for approximately 1,000 transactions per quarter by the end of 2026, demonstrating confidence in market recovery.
See More
Offerpad (OPAD) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
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Offerpad Solutions Releases Q1 2026 Outlook Amid Mixed Q4 Results
- Earnings Report: Offerpad Solutions reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of -$0.24, beating expectations by $0.03, yet revenue of $114.12 million fell short by $2.35 million, indicating significant challenges in the current market environment.
- Future Outlook: The company provided its Q1 2026 outlook, projecting sales of 250 to 300 homes and revenue between $70 million and $95 million, reflecting a cautious optimism regarding market recovery amidst ongoing challenges.
- Adjusted EBITDA: Offerpad anticipates sequential improvement in adjusted EBITDA, although specific figures were not disclosed, suggesting management's commitment to enhancing profitability in response to market pressures.
- Stock Reaction: Following the earnings release, Offerpad's shares fell 4.3% in after-hours trading, indicating investor concerns about the company's future performance, particularly given the revenue miss against expectations.
See More
Offerpad Solutions to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 23
- Earnings Announcement: Offerpad Solutions is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 23 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.27, reflecting a 57.1% year-over-year increase, yet indicating ongoing profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline: The anticipated revenue for Q4 stands at $116.47 million, representing a significant 33.2% year-over-year decrease, which highlights the softness in the real estate market and the pressures faced by the company in a competitive landscape.
- Equity Offering: Offerpad Solutions has recently announced an $18 million registered direct equity offering, aimed at bolstering liquidity; however, the stock price has declined, indicating market concerns regarding the company's future prospects.
- Market Reaction: Amid Trump's housing relief push, real estate tech stocks have generally surged, suggesting that Offerpad Solutions' stock volatility may be influenced by overall market sentiment, making the upcoming earnings report critical for assessing its impact on share price.
See More
OFFERPAD NAMES TELA GALLAGHER MATHIAS TO ITS BOARD OF DIRECTORS
- Appointment Announcement: Stella Gallagher and Mathias To have been appointed to the Board of Directors.
- Company Focus: The appointments aim to enhance the board's expertise and governance.
See More
House Passes Bipartisan Housing Bill to Tackle Affordability Crisis
- Bill Passage: The House overwhelmingly passed the Housing for the 21st Century Act with a vote of 390-9, indicating bipartisan support in a polarized Congress aimed at addressing the national affordability crisis.
- Policy Provisions: The legislation includes over 20 provisions, such as new studies on gaps in federal housing programs and updates to the HOME Investment Partnerships Program, incentivizing localities to ease construction barriers.
- Senate Review: The bill now moves to the Senate, where it is expected to be reshaped and negotiated; Waters has cautioned that policy tweaks alone won't resolve the housing shortage without adequate funding for core rental and homeownership programs.
- Broad Support: More than 50 industry and advocacy groups, including the Affordable Housing Tax Credit Coalition and the American Hotel & Lodging Association, have rallied behind the bill, showcasing a strong consensus for a supply-focused housing policy.
See More
Offerpad Solutions Inc. Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Financial Performance Overview: Offerpad reported Q4 2025 revenue of $114 million with 312 homes sold, bringing full-year revenue to $568 million and 1,591 homes sold, with gross margins of 7% and 7.4%, indicating stability amid market fluctuations.
- Strategic Transformation Progress: The company transitioned from a single cash offer product to a platform with four solutions, generating $27 million in RENOVATE revenue in 2025, up approximately 50% year-over-year, showcasing significant progress in diversifying revenue streams.
- Liquidity Enhancement: At quarter-end, Offerpad's liquidity exceeded $55 million, including $27 million in unrestricted cash, and following an $18 million capital raise, total liquidity increased to over $70 million, providing support for increased transaction volumes.
- Market Outlook: Management expects Q1 2026 to reflect 250 to 300 real estate transactions with revenue between $70 million and $95 million, aiming for approximately 1,000 transactions per quarter by the end of 2026, demonstrating confidence in market recovery.
See More
Offerpad (OPAD) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
See More
Offerpad Solutions Releases Q1 2026 Outlook Amid Mixed Q4 Results
- Earnings Report: Offerpad Solutions reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of -$0.24, beating expectations by $0.03, yet revenue of $114.12 million fell short by $2.35 million, indicating significant challenges in the current market environment.
- Future Outlook: The company provided its Q1 2026 outlook, projecting sales of 250 to 300 homes and revenue between $70 million and $95 million, reflecting a cautious optimism regarding market recovery amidst ongoing challenges.
- Adjusted EBITDA: Offerpad anticipates sequential improvement in adjusted EBITDA, although specific figures were not disclosed, suggesting management's commitment to enhancing profitability in response to market pressures.
- Stock Reaction: Following the earnings release, Offerpad's shares fell 4.3% in after-hours trading, indicating investor concerns about the company's future performance, particularly given the revenue miss against expectations.
See More
Offerpad Solutions to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 23
- Earnings Announcement: Offerpad Solutions is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 23 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.27, reflecting a 57.1% year-over-year increase, yet indicating ongoing profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline: The anticipated revenue for Q4 stands at $116.47 million, representing a significant 33.2% year-over-year decrease, which highlights the softness in the real estate market and the pressures faced by the company in a competitive landscape.
- Equity Offering: Offerpad Solutions has recently announced an $18 million registered direct equity offering, aimed at bolstering liquidity; however, the stock price has declined, indicating market concerns regarding the company's future prospects.
- Market Reaction: Amid Trump's housing relief push, real estate tech stocks have generally surged, suggesting that Offerpad Solutions' stock volatility may be influenced by overall market sentiment, making the upcoming earnings report critical for assessing its impact on share price.
See More
OFFERPAD NAMES TELA GALLAGHER MATHIAS TO ITS BOARD OF DIRECTORS
- Appointment Announcement: Stella Gallagher and Mathias To have been appointed to the Board of Directors.
- Company Focus: The appointments aim to enhance the board's expertise and governance.
See More
House Passes Bipartisan Housing Bill to Tackle Affordability Crisis
- Bill Passage: The House overwhelmingly passed the Housing for the 21st Century Act with a vote of 390-9, indicating bipartisan support in a polarized Congress aimed at addressing the national affordability crisis.
- Policy Provisions: The legislation includes over 20 provisions, such as new studies on gaps in federal housing programs and updates to the HOME Investment Partnerships Program, incentivizing localities to ease construction barriers.
- Senate Review: The bill now moves to the Senate, where it is expected to be reshaped and negotiated; Waters has cautioned that policy tweaks alone won't resolve the housing shortage without adequate funding for core rental and homeownership programs.
- Broad Support: More than 50 industry and advocacy groups, including the Affordable Housing Tax Credit Coalition and the American Hotel & Lodging Association, have rallied behind the bill, showcasing a strong consensus for a supply-focused housing policy.
See More
