X Financial Reports Decline in 2025 Fiscal Year Performance
- Loan Origination Decline: In Q4 2025, X Financial facilitated RMB 22.8 billion in loans, representing a 32.3% decline quarter-over-quarter and a 29.5% year-over-year drop, indicating a moderation in borrower activity and the company's focus on higher-quality origination and tighter credit standards.
- Significant Revenue and Profit Drop: Total net revenue for Q4 was RMB 1.47 billion, down 14.1% year-over-year and 25.1% sequentially, with net income plummeting to RMB 57.2 million, primarily due to reduced loan facilitation revenue and substantially higher provisions impacting profitability.
- Increased Asset Quality Pressure: The delinquency rates for loans aged 31-60 days and 91-180 days rose to 2.90% and 6.31%, respectively, reflecting ongoing stress in certain borrower segments, prompting the company to enhance its risk management framework and collection strategies to preserve asset quality.
- Regulatory Uncertainty: The tightening regulatory environment in China, particularly regarding borrowing cost caps, poses significant risks to the company's operating results, leading management to adopt a cautious outlook on future profitability while emphasizing the importance of maintaining liquidity and disciplined growth.
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- Loan Origination Decline: In Q4 2025, X Financial facilitated RMB 22.8 billion in loans, representing a 32.3% decline quarter-over-quarter and a 29.5% year-over-year drop, indicating a moderation in borrower activity and the company's focus on higher-quality origination and tighter credit standards.
- Significant Revenue and Profit Drop: Total net revenue for Q4 was RMB 1.47 billion, down 14.1% year-over-year and 25.1% sequentially, with net income plummeting to RMB 57.2 million, primarily due to reduced loan facilitation revenue and substantially higher provisions impacting profitability.
- Increased Asset Quality Pressure: The delinquency rates for loans aged 31-60 days and 91-180 days rose to 2.90% and 6.31%, respectively, reflecting ongoing stress in certain borrower segments, prompting the company to enhance its risk management framework and collection strategies to preserve asset quality.
- Regulatory Uncertainty: The tightening regulatory environment in China, particularly regarding borrowing cost caps, poses significant risks to the company's operating results, leading management to adopt a cautious outlook on future profitability while emphasizing the importance of maintaining liquidity and disciplined growth.
- Earnings Release Schedule: X Financial is set to announce its unaudited financial results for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, before U.S. market open on March 26, 2026, highlighting the company's commitment to transparency and investor communication.
- Conference Call Timing: The management team will host an earnings conference call at 8:30 AM U.S. Eastern Time on March 26, 2026, allowing investors to gain timely insights into the company's performance and future outlook, thereby enhancing market confidence.
- Dial-in Information: Investors are required to dial in ten minutes prior to the call and provide the passcode to join, ensuring smooth and secure information transmission, which reflects the company's emphasis on investor relations.
- Webcast and Replay Availability: The conference call will be available via live and archived webcast on the company's website, further enhancing interaction and transparency between the company and its investors.
- Earnings Release Schedule: X Financial is set to announce its unaudited financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, before the U.S. market opens on March 26, 2026, which is expected to provide critical insights into the company's financial performance and influence market expectations regarding its future growth.
- Conference Call Timing: The management team will host an earnings conference call at 8:30 AM U.S. Eastern Time on March 26, 2026 (8:30 PM Beijing/Hong Kong Time), aimed at communicating financial results and future outlook to investors, thereby enhancing transparency and investor confidence.
- Dial-in Information: Investors can join the call using various country-specific dial-in numbers, including 1-888-346-8982 for the U.S. and 800-905945 for Hong Kong, ensuring global investor participation and improving engagement between the company and its stakeholders.
- Webcast and Replay Availability: The conference call will be available via live and archived webcast on the company's website, allowing investors who cannot attend in real-time to access important information, thus further enhancing the company's commitment to effective information disclosure.
- ETF Underperformance: The ActivePassive International Equity ETF fell approximately 3.2% in Tuesday afternoon trading, indicating signs of overall market weakness that could impact investor confidence.
- Individual Stock Performance: Shares of X Financial dropped about 4.4%, while Zhihu shares fell around 4%, with the poor performance of these stocks directly dragging down the ETF, reflecting market concerns about these companies.
- Market Reaction: The overall decline in the ETF may prompt investors to reassess their portfolios, particularly in the international equity space, potentially leading to capital outflows.
- Industry Impact: This downward trend may trigger a broader examination of related sectors, especially in the current economic climate, where investor confidence in tech and financial stocks may be adversely affected.
Oversold Stocks Opportunity: The financial sector has several oversold stocks, identified by a Relative Strength Index (RSI) below 30, indicating potential buying opportunities for undervalued companies.
Noah Holdings Performance: Noah Holdings reported strong quarterly sales with a significant year-over-year profit increase, yet its stock fell 10% recently, closing at $9.64 with an RSI of 26.1.
Ready Capital Challenges: Ready Capital's third-quarter results were disappointing, leading to a 12% stock decline, closing at $2.22, and an RSI of 26.1, as the company focuses on restoring financial health.
X Financial's Decline: X Financial experienced a 41% drop in stock price over the past month, closing at $6.63 with an RSI of 25.2, despite reporting a year-over-year revenue increase but facing operational challenges.
Validea's Growth Investor Model: The model, based on Martin Zweig's strategy, identifies growth stocks with accelerating earnings, reasonable valuations, and low debt, highlighting several stocks with improved ratings.
PJT Partners Inc.: This mid-cap growth stock in the Investment Services industry saw its rating increase from 46% to 85%, indicating strong interest based on its fundamentals and valuation.
Insteel Industries Inc.: A small-cap value stock in the construction supplies sector, Insteel's rating also rose from 46% to 85%, reflecting positive underlying fundamentals and valuation metrics.
Valley National Bancorp and Other Stocks: Valley National Bancorp, along with X Financial and Glacier Bancorp, all received ratings of 85%, showcasing their strong fundamentals and potential for growth according to Zweig's investment strategy.










