Vail Resorts Lowers FY 2025 EBITDA Guidance to Low End
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 15 2026
0mins
Should l Buy MTN?
Vail Resorts said earlier, "Given the impact from conditions, we now expect our full year Resort Reported EBITDA to be just below the low end of the guidance range issued on September 29, 2025, assuming that performance in the Rockies returns to normal by President's weekend. To the extent that performance improvements in the Rockies lag, due to weaker than expected conditions, there could be further downside to our guidance. Our guidance also assumes (1) normal weather conditions, outside of the Rockies, for the remainder of the 2025/2026 ski season and the 2026 Australian ski season, (2) typical passholder usage for the remainder of the season, (3) continuation of the current economic environment, and (4) the foreign currency exchange rates as of our original fiscal 2026 guidance issued September 29, 2025." Shares of Vail Resorts are up 9c to $142.66 in early trading.
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Analyst Views on MTN
Wall Street analysts forecast MTN stock price to rise
9 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 141.990
Low
145.00
Averages
169.54
High
234.00
Current: 141.990
Low
145.00
Averages
169.54
High
234.00
About MTN
Vail Resorts, Inc. is a network of destination and close-to-home ski resorts in the world including Vail Mountain, Breckenridge, Park City Mountain, Whistler Blackcomb, Stowe, and 32 additional resorts across North America; Andermatt-Sedrun and Crans-Montana Mountain Resort in Switzerland; and Perisher, Hotham, and Falls Creek in Australia - all available on the Company's Epic Pass. The Company's segments include Mountain, Lodging and Real Estate. It also provides ancillary services, primarily including ski school, dining and retail/rental operations. The Company owns and/or manages a collection of elegant hotels under the RockResorts brand, a portfolio of vacation rentals, condominiums and branded hotels located in close proximity to its mountain destinations, as well as the Grand Teton Lodge Company in Jackson Hole, Wyo. The Company operates more than 250 retail and rental locations across North America. It owns, develops and sells real estate in and around its resort communities.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Oasis Management Increases Stake in Vail Resorts
- Stake Increase: Oasis Management acquired 833,500 shares of Vail Resorts (MTN) in Q4 2026, with an estimated transaction value of $122.66 million, indicating confidence in the company's future recovery.
- Value Appreciation: As of February 12, 2026, Oasis's total stake in Vail was valued at $245.84 million, up $93.62 million from the previous quarter, reflecting a positive market outlook for ski resorts.
- Market Performance Analysis: Vail Resorts shares were priced at $136.93, down approximately 12.24% over the past year and underperforming the S&P 500 by 25.14 percentage points, highlighting challenges in the current ski season.
- Investor Confidence: Despite a 20% drop in skier visits, Oasis's increased stake suggests strong belief in Vail Resorts' ability to normalize operations in the future, particularly supported by geographic advantages and customer loyalty.
See More
Oasis Management Increases Stake in Vail Resorts
- Stake Increase: On February 12, 2026, Oasis Management disclosed an increase of 833,500 shares in Vail Resorts, with an estimated transaction value of $122.66 million, reflecting confidence in the company's future recovery.
- Value Appreciation: By quarter-end, Oasis's total stake in Vail Resorts reached $245.84 million, up $93.62 million from the previous quarter, indicating positive market sentiment towards the company.
- Market Environment Analysis: Despite a weak ski season with a 20% drop in skier visits, Oasis's stake increase suggests optimism about Vail Resorts' long-term growth potential, particularly regarding geographic advantages and customer loyalty.
- Investment Concentration: Vail Resorts represents 37% of Oasis's reportable assets, highlighting its significance in the portfolio and indicating management's high conviction in the cyclical recovery thesis tied to the company's performance.
See More
Vail Resorts to Release Q2 2026 Financial Results on March 9
- Earnings Release Schedule: Vail Resorts will announce its financial results for the fiscal second quarter 2026, ending January 31, on March 9, 2026, which is expected to significantly impact investors.
- Conference Call Details: The company will host a conference call at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time on the same day, during which executives will review the financial results, providing in-depth analysis for investors.
- Replay and Archive: A replay of the call will be available two hours after its conclusion until March 16, ensuring that investors who cannot participate live can access key information.
- Company Overview: Vail Resorts operates a network of ski resorts and hotels, committed to delivering exceptional customer experiences while pledging to achieve a zero net operating footprint by 2030, demonstrating its commitment to sustainability.
See More
Vail Resorts to Release Q2 2026 Financial Results on March 9
- Earnings Release Schedule: Vail Resorts will announce its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, ending January 31, 2026, after market close on March 9, 2026, reflecting the company's performance in the ski resort sector.
- Conference Call Details: The company will host a conference call at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time on the same day, during which executives will provide a detailed review of the financial results, likely attracting significant attention from investors and analysts.
- Replay and Archive: A replay of the call will be available two hours after its conclusion until March 16, 2026, ensuring that investors who cannot participate live can access key information, thereby enhancing transparency.
- Company Background: Vail Resorts operates and manages several renowned ski resorts and hotels, committed to delivering exceptional customer experiences while pledging to achieve a zero net operating footprint by 2030, demonstrating its dedication to sustainability.
See More
High Dividend Stocks Favored Amid Market Turbulence
- Investor Preference: During turbulent and uncertain market conditions, many investors are turning to high dividend-yielding stocks, which typically possess high free cash flows and reward shareholders with substantial dividends, thereby boosting investor confidence.
- Analyst Ratings: Analysts have provided accurate ratings for three high-yielding stocks in the consumer discretionary sector, including Bloomin’ Brands Inc (NASDAQ:BLMN), Vail Resorts Inc (NYSE:MTN), and Wendy’s Co (NASDAQ:WEN), indicating strong market confidence in these companies.
- Market Trends: As economic uncertainty intensifies, investors are increasingly focusing on companies that can provide stable cash flows and dividends, a trend that may drive demand and prices for these stocks higher.
- Dividend Appeal: High dividend stocks not only offer investors a stable income source but may also provide a relatively safe investment option during market volatility, attracting more investors seeking to preserve capital.
See More
Lack of Snowfall Leads Us to Reassess Our Vail Resorts Stock Recommendation
- Stock Price Prediction: Predicting stock prices is inherently challenging due to market volatility and numerous influencing factors.
- Weather Pattern Prediction: Forecasting weather patterns proves to be even more complex, highlighting the difficulties in making accurate predictions in both fields.
See More
Oasis Management Increases Stake in Vail Resorts
- Stake Increase: Oasis Management acquired 833,500 shares of Vail Resorts (MTN) in Q4 2026, with an estimated transaction value of $122.66 million, indicating confidence in the company's future recovery.
- Value Appreciation: As of February 12, 2026, Oasis's total stake in Vail was valued at $245.84 million, up $93.62 million from the previous quarter, reflecting a positive market outlook for ski resorts.
- Market Performance Analysis: Vail Resorts shares were priced at $136.93, down approximately 12.24% over the past year and underperforming the S&P 500 by 25.14 percentage points, highlighting challenges in the current ski season.
- Investor Confidence: Despite a 20% drop in skier visits, Oasis's increased stake suggests strong belief in Vail Resorts' ability to normalize operations in the future, particularly supported by geographic advantages and customer loyalty.
See More
Oasis Management Increases Stake in Vail Resorts
- Stake Increase: On February 12, 2026, Oasis Management disclosed an increase of 833,500 shares in Vail Resorts, with an estimated transaction value of $122.66 million, reflecting confidence in the company's future recovery.
- Value Appreciation: By quarter-end, Oasis's total stake in Vail Resorts reached $245.84 million, up $93.62 million from the previous quarter, indicating positive market sentiment towards the company.
- Market Environment Analysis: Despite a weak ski season with a 20% drop in skier visits, Oasis's stake increase suggests optimism about Vail Resorts' long-term growth potential, particularly regarding geographic advantages and customer loyalty.
- Investment Concentration: Vail Resorts represents 37% of Oasis's reportable assets, highlighting its significance in the portfolio and indicating management's high conviction in the cyclical recovery thesis tied to the company's performance.
See More
Vail Resorts to Release Q2 2026 Financial Results on March 9
- Earnings Release Schedule: Vail Resorts will announce its financial results for the fiscal second quarter 2026, ending January 31, on March 9, 2026, which is expected to significantly impact investors.
- Conference Call Details: The company will host a conference call at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time on the same day, during which executives will review the financial results, providing in-depth analysis for investors.
- Replay and Archive: A replay of the call will be available two hours after its conclusion until March 16, ensuring that investors who cannot participate live can access key information.
- Company Overview: Vail Resorts operates a network of ski resorts and hotels, committed to delivering exceptional customer experiences while pledging to achieve a zero net operating footprint by 2030, demonstrating its commitment to sustainability.
See More
Vail Resorts to Release Q2 2026 Financial Results on March 9
- Earnings Release Schedule: Vail Resorts will announce its financial results for the second quarter of fiscal 2026, ending January 31, 2026, after market close on March 9, 2026, reflecting the company's performance in the ski resort sector.
- Conference Call Details: The company will host a conference call at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time on the same day, during which executives will provide a detailed review of the financial results, likely attracting significant attention from investors and analysts.
- Replay and Archive: A replay of the call will be available two hours after its conclusion until March 16, 2026, ensuring that investors who cannot participate live can access key information, thereby enhancing transparency.
- Company Background: Vail Resorts operates and manages several renowned ski resorts and hotels, committed to delivering exceptional customer experiences while pledging to achieve a zero net operating footprint by 2030, demonstrating its dedication to sustainability.
See More
High Dividend Stocks Favored Amid Market Turbulence
- Investor Preference: During turbulent and uncertain market conditions, many investors are turning to high dividend-yielding stocks, which typically possess high free cash flows and reward shareholders with substantial dividends, thereby boosting investor confidence.
- Analyst Ratings: Analysts have provided accurate ratings for three high-yielding stocks in the consumer discretionary sector, including Bloomin’ Brands Inc (NASDAQ:BLMN), Vail Resorts Inc (NYSE:MTN), and Wendy’s Co (NASDAQ:WEN), indicating strong market confidence in these companies.
- Market Trends: As economic uncertainty intensifies, investors are increasingly focusing on companies that can provide stable cash flows and dividends, a trend that may drive demand and prices for these stocks higher.
- Dividend Appeal: High dividend stocks not only offer investors a stable income source but may also provide a relatively safe investment option during market volatility, attracting more investors seeking to preserve capital.
See More
Lack of Snowfall Leads Us to Reassess Our Vail Resorts Stock Recommendation
- Stock Price Prediction: Predicting stock prices is inherently challenging due to market volatility and numerous influencing factors.
- Weather Pattern Prediction: Forecasting weather patterns proves to be even more complex, highlighting the difficulties in making accurate predictions in both fields.
See More
