Vail Resorts Lowers FY 2025 EBITDA Guidance to Low End
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 15 2026
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Vail Resorts said earlier, "Given the impact from conditions, we now expect our full year Resort Reported EBITDA to be just below the low end of the guidance range issued on September 29, 2025, assuming that performance in the Rockies returns to normal by President's weekend. To the extent that performance improvements in the Rockies lag, due to weaker than expected conditions, there could be further downside to our guidance. Our guidance also assumes (1) normal weather conditions, outside of the Rockies, for the remainder of the 2025/2026 ski season and the 2026 Australian ski season, (2) typical passholder usage for the remainder of the season, (3) continuation of the current economic environment, and (4) the foreign currency exchange rates as of our original fiscal 2026 guidance issued September 29, 2025." Shares of Vail Resorts are up 9c to $142.66 in early trading.
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Analyst Views on MTN
Wall Street analysts forecast MTN stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MTN is 169.54 USD with a low forecast of 145.00 USD and a high forecast of 234.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
9 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 132.970
Low
145.00
Averages
169.54
High
234.00
Current: 132.970
Low
145.00
Averages
169.54
High
234.00
About MTN
Vail Resorts, Inc. is a network of destination and close-to-home ski resorts in the world including Vail Mountain, Breckenridge, Park City Mountain, Whistler Blackcomb, Stowe, and 32 additional resorts across North America; Andermatt-Sedrun and Crans-Montana Mountain Resort in Switzerland; and Perisher, Hotham, and Falls Creek in Australia - all available on the Company's Epic Pass. The Company's segments include Mountain, Lodging and Real Estate. It also provides ancillary services, primarily including ski school, dining and retail/rental operations. The Company owns and/or manages a collection of elegant hotels under the RockResorts brand, a portfolio of vacation rentals, condominiums and branded hotels located in close proximity to its mountain destinations, as well as the Grand Teton Lodge Company in Jackson Hole, Wyo. The Company operates more than 250 retail and rental locations across North America. It owns, develops and sells real estate in and around its resort communities.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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