Unexpected Analyst 12-Month Forecast for FDL

Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst

CTRA+1.98%

MRK-1.74%

FDL+0.11%

Source: NASDAQ.COM

Updated: Sep 22 2025

0mins

Source: NASDAQ.COM

ETF Analysis: The First Trust Morningstar Dividend Leaders Index Fund ETF (FDL) has an implied analyst target price of $48.71, indicating an 11.95% upside from its current trading price of $43.51.
Key Holdings: Notable underlying holdings with significant upside potential include Coterra Energy Inc (42.12% upside), Smurfit Westrock plc (30.55% upside), and Merck & Co Inc (25.90% upside) based on their respective analyst target prices.

CTRA

$27.28+Infinity%1D

Analyst Views on CTRA

Wall Street analysts forecast CTRA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for CTRA is 32.50 USD with a low forecast of 27.00 USD and a high forecast of 37.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.

13 Analyst Rating

12 Buy

1 Hold

0 Sell

Strong Buy

Current: 26.750

Low

27.00

Averages

32.50

High

37.00

Current: 26.750

Low

27.00

Averages

32.50

High

37.00

Barclays

Overweight

downgrade

$35 -> $34

2026-01-21

New

Reason

Barclays

Price Target

$35 -> $34

AI Analysis

2026-01-21

New

downgrade

Overweight

Reason

Barclays lowered the firm's price target on Coterra Energy to $34 from $35 and keeps an Overweight rating on the shares. The firm adjusted ratings and targets in the exploration and production group as part of a Q4 preview. The upstream sector's cash return model "remains resilient" amid macro volatility, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Barclays see attractive opportunities in U.S. onshore. It tells investors to "tread carefully" through the near-term commodity uncertainty.

BofA

Buy

downgrade

$32 -> $31

2026-01-16

Reason

BofA

Price Target

$32 -> $31

2026-01-16

downgrade

Buy

Reason

BofA lowered the firm's price target on Coterra Energy to $31 from $32 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. For 2026, the firm remains cautious on the oil backdrop and continues to favor companies with resilient portfolios and low breakevens that fully cover capex and dividends in this environment, the analyst tells investors.

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Scotiabank

Outperform -> NULL

downgrade

$32 -> $31

2026-01-16

Reason

Scotiabank

Price Target

$32 -> $31

2026-01-16

downgrade

Outperform -> NULL

Reason

Scotiabank lowered the firm's price target on Coterra Energy to $31 from $32 and keeps an Outperform rating on the shares. The firm is updating its price targets for U.S. Integrated Oil, Refining, and Large Cap Exploration & Production, E&P, stocks under its coverage, the analyst tells investors. Scotiabank expects earnings for the quarter to be straightforward due to the absence of major winter weather disruptions. Additionally, looking ahead, the firm expects investors to focus on whether recent market turmoil will cause changes to 2026 guidance and if any E&P companies will adopt cost reduction programs.

UBS

Josh Silverstein

Buy

maintain

$32 -> $33

2025-12-12

Reason

UBS

Josh Silverstein

Price Target

$32 -> $33

2025-12-12

maintain

Buy

Reason

UBS analyst Josh Silverstein raised the firm's price target on Coterra Energy to $33 from $32 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. After three years of limited gains, the Energy sector appears positioned for a stronger 2026, supported by improving oil and natural gas outlooks, M&A-driven value creation, cost and capex efficiencies, emerging OFS opportunities, and attractive valuations, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Natural gas E&Ps are favored, though positive momentum is expected broadly across Oil E&Ps and OFS, UBS adds.

About CTRA

Coterra Energy Inc. is an exploration and production company based in Houston, Texas with focused operations in the Permian Basin, Marcellus Shale and Anadarko Basin. The Company is engaged in the development, exploration and production of oil, natural gas and natural gas liquids exclusively within the continental United States. Its Permian Basin operation consists of approximately 345,000 net acres. Its development activities are primarily focused on the Wolfcamp Shale and the Bone Spring formation in Culberson and Reeves Counties in Texas and Lea and Eddy Counties in New Mexico. Its Marcellus Shale operation includes properties that are principally located in Susquehanna County, Pennsylvania, where it holds approximately 186,000 net acres in the dry gas window of the Marcellus Shale. Its Anadarko Basin operation holds around 182,000 net acres that are located in Oklahoma. Its development activities are primarily focused on both the Woodford Shale and the Meramec formations.

About the author

Emily J. Thompson

Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.