UBS Keeps Neutral Rating on Treace Medical Concepts (TMCI)
UBS Coverage and Price Forecast: UBS has maintained a Neutral recommendation for Treace Medical Concepts (TMCI) as of November 7, 2025, with an average one-year price target of $8.67/share, indicating a potential upside of 94.39% from its current price of $4.46/share.
Projected Revenue and EPS: Treace Medical Concepts is projected to achieve annual revenue of $266 million, reflecting a 21.55% increase, while the expected non-GAAP EPS is -0.59.
Fund Sentiment and Ownership Changes: There are 257 funds reporting positions in TMCI, with a slight decrease in ownership by 3.02% over the last quarter. The average portfolio weight for these funds is 0.08%, which has increased by 1.55%.
Shareholder Activity: Notable changes in shareholder allocations include Armistice Capital increasing its stake by 0.78%, while CIBC Private Wealth Group and Jpmorgan Chase significantly reduced their holdings by 35.91% and 89.97%, respectively.
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Treace Medical Concepts Reports Q4 2025 Revenue of $62.1M to $62.5M, Beating Consensus
- Revenue Performance: Treace Medical Concepts reported preliminary Q4 2025 revenue of $62.1M to $62.5M, reflecting a 9% decrease year-over-year, although it surpassed the consensus estimate of $61.76M, indicating ongoing business challenges.
- Annual Revenue Growth: For the full year 2025, preliminary revenue was $212.3M to $212.7M, representing a 2% increase compared to the previous year, aligning with the previously provided guidance of $211M to $213M, showcasing consistent growth amidst market conditions.
- Surgeon Increase: The company added approximately 202 new active surgeons in 2025, ending the year with around 3,337 active surgeons, a 6% increase from the prior year, indicating a 33% penetration rate among the estimated 10,000 U.S. surgeons performing bunion surgeries.
- Market Reaction: Treace Medical's stock rose 3.21% in pre-market trading to $2.89, reflecting investor optimism regarding the revenue beat, although the overall declining revenue trend remains a point of concern.

Treace Completes First Surgery Using Lapiplasty®Lightning™ Technology
- Technological Innovation: Treace Medical successfully completed the first surgery using its Lapiplasty®Lightning™ technology, which reduces surgical steps and enhances precision, thereby improving surgical efficiency and patient recovery times.
- Market Outlook: The company anticipates initiating a limited market release of the Lapiplasty®Lightning™ System in mid-2026, further driving Treace's market share in foot surgery to meet the growing surgical demand.
- Clinical Feedback: Surgeon William DeCarbo noted that the Lightning technology made the surgical process more intuitive, allowing for three-plane correction without the need for provisional fixation, thus streamlining the surgical workflow and enhancing patient safety.
- Industry Leadership: As a pioneer in 3D bunion correction, Treace solidifies its market leadership through continuous innovation, which is expected to attract more surgeons to adopt its advanced surgical systems.






