TSMC Reports Stellar Q4 Results and Capital Spending Plans
- Significant Revenue Growth: TSMC's Q4 revenue surged 25.5% year-over-year to $33.73 billion, with a gross margin of 62.3%, reflecting strong market demand and profitability, thereby reinforcing its leadership position in the semiconductor industry.
- Capital Expenditure Plans: Management anticipates capital spending between $52 billion and $56 billion in 2026, with approximately 40% of revenue allocated to capital expenditures, indicating strong confidence in future growth and ongoing investment in the AI market.
- Increase in Advanced Process Share: Three-nanometer chips accounted for 28% of total wafer revenue, five-nanometer for 35%, and seven-nanometer for 14%, totaling 77% of revenue from the most advanced processes, highlighting the robust demand driven by AI applications and TSMC's technological edge.
- Geopolitical Risk Management: TSMC is actively expanding into the U.S. and Japan to reduce reliance on Taiwan, enhancing the stability and resilience of its global supply chain, ensuring competitiveness in a rapidly changing market environment.
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- Optimistic Earnings Forecast: Nvidia anticipates fourth-quarter revenue for fiscal 2026 to reach $65 billion, representing a 65% year-over-year growth, highlighting the company's strong demand in the AI chip market and its leadership position.
- Increased Capital Expenditures: Major tech companies plan to further increase capital expenditures in 2026, primarily for AI infrastructure, which will directly boost Nvidia's GPU sales and solidify its market dominance.
- Surge in Product Demand: CEO Jensen Huang noted that demand for the Blackwell platform data center products is “off the charts,” indicating rapid growth in market demand for Nvidia's AI computing products.
- Record of Exceeding Estimates: Nvidia has surpassed Wall Street's earnings expectations in 20 out of the last 22 quarters, demonstrating strong performance stability and management's clear visibility into future results, with expectations to continue this trend.
SoftBank Group Corp's Decision: SoftBank Group Corp has decided to dissolve its share stake in Nvidia Corp, indicating a strategic shift in its investment portfolio.
SEC Filing: The dissolution of the stake was formally communicated through a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), highlighting regulatory compliance in the process.
- High-Profile Absence: Bill Gates announced his withdrawal from the 2026 India AI Impact Summit just hours before his scheduled keynote, marking the second high-profile cancellation at the event, which could negatively impact its reputation and focus.
- Focus on Core Agenda: The Gates Foundation stated that the decision was made after 'careful consideration' to ensure that the summit's core priorities remain in the spotlight, although no further details were provided, potentially affecting attendee expectations.
- Controversy Impact: Gates' withdrawal comes amid renewed scrutiny over his past association with convicted sex offender Jeffrey Epstein, which may lead to decreased public attention on the foundation's philanthropic efforts, thereby impacting future fundraising and projects.
- Other Absences: Concurrently, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang also skipped the summit due to health issues, although the company’s executive vice president Jay Puri will lead the delegation, indicating that the absence of top executives could further amplify the summit's challenges.
- Partnership Announcement: OpenAI has partnered with Tata Group to establish a large-scale data center in India, starting with a 100-megawatt capacity and potentially scaling up to 1 gigawatt, significantly enhancing AI infrastructure capabilities in the region.
- Technology Integration: The collaboration aims to integrate OpenAI's technologies across Tata Group companies and TCS's global client base, thereby promoting widespread adoption of AI technologies beyond mere infrastructure.
- Market Competition: This initiative is seen as a strategic move by OpenAI to capture market share from Nvidia in the rapidly growing AI infrastructure sector, highlighting its ambitions in the Indian market.
- Executive Involvement: The partnership was announced by Tata Sons chairman Natarajan Chandrasekaran at the AI Impact Summit, where OpenAI CEO Sam Altman was also present, underscoring the significance of the project for both parties.
Delivery of AI-Powered Solutions: The article discusses the launch of a new delivery service that utilizes AI technology to enhance efficiency and customer experience.
Collaboration with NVIDIA: It highlights a partnership with NVIDIA to leverage their advanced computing capabilities for improved service delivery.
Intelligent Location Services: The service includes intelligent location features that optimize delivery routes and reduce wait times for customers.
Impact on the Industry: The initiative is expected to set a new standard in the delivery industry, showcasing the potential of AI in logistics and supply chain management.
- Risks of Leveraged ETFs: Leveraged ETFs like the ProShares Ultra NVDA ETF offer double exposure to Nvidia stocks, but they carry risks similar to margin trading; if Nvidia's stock drops by 20%, the ETF would fall by 40%, exposing investors to greater loss risks.
- High Expense Ratios: The ProShares Nvidia ETF has a high expense ratio of 0.95%, while the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF only charges 0.03%, meaning investors pay nearly $1 annually for every $100 invested, significantly reducing returns.
- Decay Risk: Due to daily rebalancing, leveraged ETFs face decay risk; if the underlying asset drops by 10%, a 2x leveraged ETF would drop by 20%, requiring a higher recovery gain to break even, thus increasing long-term holding risks.
- Advantages of Long-term Investing: Instead of holding leveraged ETFs, investors should consider long-term investments in high-quality stocks, which not only reduce investment stress but also provide more stable returns amid market volatility.











