Trump's $2,000 Tariff Dividend Promise for Americans Faces Skepticism from Crypto Investors Regarding Its Likelihood This Year

Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst

Source: Benzinga

Updated: Nov 10 2025

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Source: Benzinga

Skepticism About Tariff Dividend: Cryptocurrency bettors are doubtful that President Trump's proposed $2,000 tariff dividend will be implemented by 2025, with odds at only 16% on prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi.
Trump's Announcement and Criticism: Trump announced that every American would receive a minimum of $2,000 funded by tariff revenues, dismissing critics of his tariff policy, while Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent suggested dividends might not come as direct payments.
Concerns Over Economic Impact: Economist Peter Schiff criticized the plan, arguing that the dividends could exceed tariff revenue and lead to increased imports, worsening the U.S. trade deficit.
Market Activity: Over $100,000 has been wagered on the likelihood of the tariff dividend being realized, with Polymarket allowing bets using the USDC stablecoin, although it is not available to U.S. residents.

About the author

Emily J. Thompson

Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.