Trump Directs Representatives to Purchase $200 Billion in Mortgage Bonds; Impact on MBS ETFs.
- Trump's Initiative: President Donald Trump has initiated efforts to combat high mortgage rates.
- Goal of the Initiative: The aim is to make home buying more affordable for potential buyers.
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Analyst Views on MBB
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- Trump's Initiative: President Donald Trump has initiated efforts to combat high mortgage rates.
- Goal of the Initiative: The aim is to make home buying more affordable for potential buyers.

- Bond Market Performance: The bond market experienced its best year since 2020, surprising income investors who were losing hope.
- Future Outlook: Despite some emerging risks, the outlook for the bond market in 2026 remains positive.
MBB Share Price Analysis: MBB's share price is currently at $95.21, with a 52-week low of $90.28 and a high of $96.25, indicating a stable trading range.
Understanding ETFs: Exchange traded funds (ETFs) function like stocks, allowing investors to buy and sell units that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting the underlying assets.
Monitoring ETF Flows: Weekly monitoring of shares outstanding helps identify ETFs with significant inflows or outflows, which can affect the individual components held within those ETFs.
Author's Perspective: The opinions expressed in the article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Nasdaq, Inc.

Put Contract Overview: The $83.00 put contract has a bid of 5 cents, allowing investors to buy MBB shares at a lower cost basis of $82.95, which is a 13% discount from the current price of $95.44. There is a 97% chance the contract may expire worthless, offering a potential 0.06% return on cash commitment.
Call Contract Overview: The $96.00 call contract has a bid of 50 cents, enabling investors to sell MBB shares at this price while collecting a premium. If the stock is called away, the total return would be 1.11%, but there is a 64% chance the contract may expire worthless, allowing investors to keep both the shares and the premium.
Volatility Insights: The implied volatility for the put contract is 19%, while the call contract has an implied volatility of 6%. The actual trailing twelve-month volatility is calculated at 5%, based on the last 250 trading days.
YieldBoost Concept: The potential returns from both the put and call contracts are referred to as "YieldBoost," with the put offering a 0.39% annualized return if it expires worthless, and the call providing a 3.41% annualized return under similar conditions.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac's Potential Exit from Conservatorship: After nearly 17 years under government control following the 2008 financial crisis, discussions are emerging about Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac possibly returning to public markets, generating significant investor interest.
Impact on ETFs and Housing Market: While no ETFs directly own shares of these government-sponsored enterprises, several ETFs could be affected by changes in their status, as Fannie and Freddie play a crucial role in the U.S. housing market by buying mortgages and issuing mortgage-backed securities.
Chimera Investment Corporation Acquisition: Chimera Investment Corp. announced its acquisition of HomeXpress Mortgage Corp. for $120 million in cash and shares, aiming to enhance its mortgage loan origination capabilities and diversify revenue streams. The deal is expected to close in Q4 2025 and will be earnings-accretive starting in 2026.
HomeXpress Operations Post-Acquisition: HomeXpress, which has been profitable since its inception in 2016 and generated $47 million in pre-tax income in 2024, will continue as a subsidiary under CEO Kyle Walker after the acquisition, with plans to leverage existing net operating losses to offset costs.








