TD Cowen Lowers AvePoint Price Target to $16
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 4 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy AVPT?
TD Cowen analyst Derrick Wood lowered the firm's price target on AvePoint to $16 from $17 and keeps a Buy rating on the shares. The firm aid they reported solid Q4 results as broad based product/geo/ vertical demand strength underlies its guide. And AI is drawing demand outside of core M365 Copilots including Azure AI Studio as the company can help customers build better data context experiences.
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Analyst Views on AVPT
Wall Street analysts forecast AVPT stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 10.510
Low
15.00
Averages
19.83
High
26.00
Current: 10.510
Low
15.00
Averages
19.83
High
26.00
About AVPT
AvePoint, Inc. provides a cloud-native data management software platform, enabling them to prepare, secure, and optimize their critical data. The Company’s AvePoint Confidence Platform delivers a set of software-as-a-service (SaaS) solutions, empowering users in a variety of technology roles, including IT operations, development operations and cybersecurity, to monitor and secure the digital workplace. Built on top of Platform-as-a-Service (PaaS) architecture, it combines modularity with tailored, industry-specific functionality to address critical operational challenges and manage data effectively across third-party cloud vendors like Microsoft, Salesforce, Google, AWS, Box, and Dropbox. The AvePoint Confidence Platform, and the applications that it powers, is organized into three interconnected suites of functionality, which include the Control Suite, the Resilience Suite, and the Modernization Suite.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
TD Cowen Lowers AvePoint Price Target to $16
- Price Target Adjustment: TD Cowen analyst Derrick Wood has lowered AvePoint's price target from $17 to $16 while maintaining a Buy rating, indicating a cautious optimism regarding the company's future performance.
- Strong Earnings Report: AvePoint reported Q4 EPS of 7 cents, exceeding the market expectation of 6 cents, demonstrating robust demand across products, geographies, and verticals, which supports its future growth guidance.
- Revenue Forecast Upgrade: The company anticipates FY26 revenue between $509.4 million and $517.4 million, surpassing the market consensus of $491.05 million, highlighting its long-term growth potential and market confidence.
- Q1 Outlook: AvePoint expects Q1 revenue to be between $115 million and $117 million, above the market expectation of $111.25 million, reflecting strong momentum in its SaaS business and the effectiveness of its strategic investments.
See More
AvePoint Q4 2025 Earnings Highlights
- Sustained Growth: AvePoint reported total revenues of $114.7 million in Q4 2025, reflecting a 29% year-over-year increase, marking the company's 11th consecutive quarter of double-digit net new ARR growth, underscoring strong market demand in data protection and AI sectors.
- Strategic Investment: The company projects total ARR for FY 2026 to reach between $525.1 million and $531.1 million, with a midpoint growth rate of 27%, while planning to invest in marketing to support future growth and innovation initiatives.
- Product Innovation: The newly launched AgentPulse command center provides affluent customers with comprehensive AI governance capabilities, enabling them to monitor usage and risk signals across their digital assets, thereby enhancing customer satisfaction and competitive positioning in the market.
- Financial Health: At year-end, AvePoint's cash and equivalents totaled $481 million, with free cash flow of $81.6 million, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain strong financial health while continuing its growth trajectory.
See More
AvePoint (AVPT) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
See More
AvePoint Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings with Continued Growth
- Significant Revenue Growth: AvePoint's total revenue for Q4 2025 reached $114.7 million, a 29% year-over-year increase, exceeding expectations and demonstrating strong market demand and growth potential in data management.
- Continued ARR Growth: As of Q4 2025, AvePoint's annual recurring revenue (ARR) reached $416.8 million, up 27% year-over-year, with net new ARR of $26.8 million, reflecting a 48% growth and successful expansion among large enterprise customers.
- Improved Profitability: The company reported a non-GAAP operating income of $22.9 million for Q4, achieving a 20% operating margin, which represents a 370 basis point year-over-year increase, indicating effective cost management and sales efficiency.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: AvePoint expects total revenues for 2026 to range from $509.4 million to $517.4 million, reflecting a 22% growth, and plans to continue investing in marketing and technology innovation to support its goal of reaching $1 billion in ARR by 2029.
See More
AvePoint to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 26
- Earnings Announcement Schedule: AvePoint (AVPT) is set to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 26 after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.09 and revenue expected to reach $110.94 million, reflecting a 24.4% year-over-year growth.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, AvePoint has beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time, while achieving an 88% success rate in beating revenue estimates, indicating a strong track record in revenue growth.
- Market Risk Analysis: Despite AvePoint's high margins and growing recurring revenue, analysts highlight that competition from Microsoft poses a risk to its future performance, necessitating close monitoring of market developments.
- Investor Focus: AvePoint's presentation at the UBS Global Technology and AI Conference 2025 has garnered investor interest, showcasing its ongoing innovation in technology and potential in the market.
See More
AvePoint Inc Shares Enter Oversold Territory
- Oversold Signal: AvePoint Inc (Ticker: AVPT) saw its RSI drop to 26.6 during Monday's trading, indicating an oversold condition with a low of $9.97 per share, suggesting that the recent heavy selling may be nearing exhaustion, prompting investors to consider buying opportunities.
- Market Comparison: Compared to the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) with an RSI of 42.9, AVPT's 26.6 RSI indicates relative weakness, potentially attracting investors looking for rebounds and reflecting a divergence in market sentiment.
- Price Fluctuation: AVPT's 52-week low is $9.97, while the high is $20.245, with the current trading price at $10.04, indicating that the stock is hovering at a low level, which may present potential value buying opportunities for investors.
- Investor Sentiment: Despite the current poor stock performance, the oversold signal may lead some investors to reassess their strategies, looking for potential gains when the market rebounds, thereby increasing attention on this stock.
See More
TD Cowen Lowers AvePoint Price Target to $16
- Price Target Adjustment: TD Cowen analyst Derrick Wood has lowered AvePoint's price target from $17 to $16 while maintaining a Buy rating, indicating a cautious optimism regarding the company's future performance.
- Strong Earnings Report: AvePoint reported Q4 EPS of 7 cents, exceeding the market expectation of 6 cents, demonstrating robust demand across products, geographies, and verticals, which supports its future growth guidance.
- Revenue Forecast Upgrade: The company anticipates FY26 revenue between $509.4 million and $517.4 million, surpassing the market consensus of $491.05 million, highlighting its long-term growth potential and market confidence.
- Q1 Outlook: AvePoint expects Q1 revenue to be between $115 million and $117 million, above the market expectation of $111.25 million, reflecting strong momentum in its SaaS business and the effectiveness of its strategic investments.
See More
AvePoint Q4 2025 Earnings Highlights
- Sustained Growth: AvePoint reported total revenues of $114.7 million in Q4 2025, reflecting a 29% year-over-year increase, marking the company's 11th consecutive quarter of double-digit net new ARR growth, underscoring strong market demand in data protection and AI sectors.
- Strategic Investment: The company projects total ARR for FY 2026 to reach between $525.1 million and $531.1 million, with a midpoint growth rate of 27%, while planning to invest in marketing to support future growth and innovation initiatives.
- Product Innovation: The newly launched AgentPulse command center provides affluent customers with comprehensive AI governance capabilities, enabling them to monitor usage and risk signals across their digital assets, thereby enhancing customer satisfaction and competitive positioning in the market.
- Financial Health: At year-end, AvePoint's cash and equivalents totaled $481 million, with free cash flow of $81.6 million, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain strong financial health while continuing its growth trajectory.
See More
AvePoint (AVPT) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
See More
AvePoint Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings with Continued Growth
- Significant Revenue Growth: AvePoint's total revenue for Q4 2025 reached $114.7 million, a 29% year-over-year increase, exceeding expectations and demonstrating strong market demand and growth potential in data management.
- Continued ARR Growth: As of Q4 2025, AvePoint's annual recurring revenue (ARR) reached $416.8 million, up 27% year-over-year, with net new ARR of $26.8 million, reflecting a 48% growth and successful expansion among large enterprise customers.
- Improved Profitability: The company reported a non-GAAP operating income of $22.9 million for Q4, achieving a 20% operating margin, which represents a 370 basis point year-over-year increase, indicating effective cost management and sales efficiency.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: AvePoint expects total revenues for 2026 to range from $509.4 million to $517.4 million, reflecting a 22% growth, and plans to continue investing in marketing and technology innovation to support its goal of reaching $1 billion in ARR by 2029.
See More
AvePoint to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 26
- Earnings Announcement Schedule: AvePoint (AVPT) is set to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 26 after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at $0.09 and revenue expected to reach $110.94 million, reflecting a 24.4% year-over-year growth.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, AvePoint has beaten EPS estimates 0% of the time, while achieving an 88% success rate in beating revenue estimates, indicating a strong track record in revenue growth.
- Market Risk Analysis: Despite AvePoint's high margins and growing recurring revenue, analysts highlight that competition from Microsoft poses a risk to its future performance, necessitating close monitoring of market developments.
- Investor Focus: AvePoint's presentation at the UBS Global Technology and AI Conference 2025 has garnered investor interest, showcasing its ongoing innovation in technology and potential in the market.
See More
AvePoint Inc Shares Enter Oversold Territory
- Oversold Signal: AvePoint Inc (Ticker: AVPT) saw its RSI drop to 26.6 during Monday's trading, indicating an oversold condition with a low of $9.97 per share, suggesting that the recent heavy selling may be nearing exhaustion, prompting investors to consider buying opportunities.
- Market Comparison: Compared to the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) with an RSI of 42.9, AVPT's 26.6 RSI indicates relative weakness, potentially attracting investors looking for rebounds and reflecting a divergence in market sentiment.
- Price Fluctuation: AVPT's 52-week low is $9.97, while the high is $20.245, with the current trading price at $10.04, indicating that the stock is hovering at a low level, which may present potential value buying opportunities for investors.
- Investor Sentiment: Despite the current poor stock performance, the oversold signal may lead some investors to reassess their strategies, looking for potential gains when the market rebounds, thereby increasing attention on this stock.
See More
