Super Micro Computer Loses Significant Contract with Oracle
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 23 2026
0mins
Source: seekingalpha
- Contract Loss Impact: Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares fell over 10% in premarket trading after BlueFin Research reported the loss of a significant contract with Oracle (ORCL), potentially costing between $1.1 billion and $1.4 billion due to the cancellation of 300 to 400 racks, which could severely impact the company's financial health.
- Legal Issues Intensify: The report suggests that the contract cancellation is related to the indictment of co-founder Yih-Shyan Liaw, who, along with two others, is accused of smuggling $2.5 billion worth of Nvidia (NVDA) chips to China, potentially exposing the company to increased regulatory scrutiny and legal risks.
- Market Reaction: Oracle's shares also fell 2.7% in premarket trading, indicating market sensitivity to the news, as investors express concerns over Super Micro's future prospects, which could affect its competitive position in a high-stakes market.
- Ongoing Investigation: Super Micro has stated that an independent investigation is underway, led by CEO Charles Liang, aiming to restore investor confidence through transparency, but the legal troubles and contract loss may pose significant challenges to its long-term strategy.
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Analyst Views on SMCI
Wall Street analysts forecast SMCI stock price to rise
12 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
5 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 31.970
Low
34.00
Averages
46.82
High
63.00
Current: 31.970
Low
34.00
Averages
46.82
High
63.00
About SMCI
Super Micro Computer, Inc. is an application-optimized Total IT solutions provider including server, artificial intelligence (AI) systems, storage, Internet of Things (IoT) devices, switches, software, and support services. Total IT Solutions include complete servers, storage systems, modular blade servers, workstations, full-rack scale solutions, networking devices, server sub-systems, and server management. Its products are designed and manufactured in-house (in the United States, Taiwan, and the Netherlands). The Company's portfolio of Server Building Block Solutions allows customers to optimize for their exact workload and application by selecting from a broad family of systems built from the Company's flexible and reusable building blocks that support a comprehensive set of form factors, processors, memory, GPUs, storage, networking, power, and cooling solutions (air-conditioned, free air cooling or liquid cooling).
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Super Micro Secures $39 Billion in AI Server Orders
- Remarkable Order Volume: Super Micro has secured approximately $39 billion in AI server orders from over 20 customers recently, surpassing its total revenue from the past four quarters, indicating strong market demand for AI infrastructure.
- Financing Plan Raises Concerns: To fulfill these orders, Super Micro plans to raise $7 billion through a combination of common stock and convertible preferred shares, a financing effort that exceeds one-third of the company's market value, leading to a 28% drop in stock price in a single day.
- Cash Flow Strain: In its fiscal Q3 2026, Super Micro reported negative cash flow of $6.6 billion, ending the period with only $1.3 billion in cash, highlighting the financial pressure the company faces in meeting order demands and necessitating equity market financing to sustain operations.
- Volatile Gross Margins: Although Super Micro's gross margin improved from 6.3% to 9.9% in Q3, it remains below 10%, posing challenges for profitability, with management guiding for a further decline to 8.2%-8.4% in Q4, raising concerns about the sustainability of its growth model.
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- Market Reaction: As of the afternoon of June 9, 2026, stock prices remained stable, indicating investor confidence in the company's growth potential, which may attract more investor interest.
- Use of Funds: The raised funds will primarily be allocated to research and development as well as market expansion, helping the company maintain a competitive edge in a fiercely competitive market, thereby achieving long-term sustainable growth.
- Strategic Implications: By issuing more shares, the company not only enhances its financial flexibility but also positions itself advantageously for future market opportunities, further driving its business development.
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- Surge in Trading Volume: The company's trading volume reached 243.4 million shares, approximately 409% above the three-month average of 47.8 million shares, reflecting strong investor interest in its growth potential, which may further drive stock price volatility.
- Order Context: With approximately $39 billion in AI server orders, the financing will fund component purchases, and despite dilution risks, the robust order book supports future revenue growth for Super Micro Computer.
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- Financing Impact: Super Micro Computer (SMCI) announced a $7 billion equity financing plan, boosting its stock price by 9.22% to $31.97, indicating strong market demand for its AI server orders while raising concerns about dilution risk.
- Surge in Trading Volume: The trading volume reached 243.4 million shares, a 409% increase over the three-month average, reflecting investor interest in the company's growth potential, particularly in the AI sector.
- Market Recovery: As Super Micro's stock rebounded, the S&P 500 rose 1.75% and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 2.54%, showcasing overall strength in the computer hardware sector, which further bolstered investor confidence.
- Execution Risk Focus: Despite Super Micro's substantial order book, approximately $39 billion in AI server orders, attention must be paid to execution capabilities, including component procurement and converting orders into acceptable margins, which will directly impact investor confidence and future stock performance.
See More
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- Semiconductor Stocks Surge: Boosted by the positive market sentiment, semiconductor stocks performed well, with Micron Technology (MU) climbing 11.7% before a 1.7% drop in after-hours trading, reflecting investor optimism regarding rising memory prices.
- Super Micro Computer Update: Super Micro Computer (SMCI) closed up 9.2% on Thursday but fell about 1% in after-hours trading after pricing an offering of approximately 45.45 million common shares at $27.50 each, expecting around $1.22 billion in net proceeds, highlighting its urgent need for funding AI server orders.
- AMD Risk Factors: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) saw an almost 8% increase at close but dropped 0.6% after hours, with analysts noting a high concentration risk in its GPU backlog heavily reliant on OpenAI and Meta, which could impact future performance due to the deal structures involving performance-based warrants.
See More
Super Micro Secures $39 Billion in AI Server Orders
- Massive Order Volume: Super Micro has secured approximately $39 billion in AI server orders from over 20 customers recently, surpassing its total revenue for the past four quarters, indicating robust market demand for AI infrastructure.
- Financing Plan Raises Concerns: To fulfill these orders, Super Micro plans to raise $7 billion through a combination of common stock and convertible preferred shares, a financing amount that exceeds one-third of the company's market value, leading to a 28% drop in stock price in the short term.
- Profit Margin Volatility: Although the company reported a gross margin of 9.9% last quarter, with about 90% of revenue consumed by component and manufacturing costs, the $39 billion in orders may yield less than $4 billion in gross profit, highlighting its fragile profitability.
- Cash Flow Strain: In its fiscal Q3 2026, Super Micro utilized $6.6 billion in cash from operations, ending the period with only $1.3 billion in cash, resulting in a negative free cash flow of $6.7 billion, illustrating the financial pressure the company faces in meeting its order commitments.
See More
Super Micro Secures $39 Billion in AI Server Orders
- Remarkable Order Volume: Super Micro has secured approximately $39 billion in AI server orders from over 20 customers recently, surpassing its total revenue from the past four quarters, indicating strong market demand for AI infrastructure.
- Financing Plan Raises Concerns: To fulfill these orders, Super Micro plans to raise $7 billion through a combination of common stock and convertible preferred shares, a financing effort that exceeds one-third of the company's market value, leading to a 28% drop in stock price in a single day.
- Cash Flow Strain: In its fiscal Q3 2026, Super Micro reported negative cash flow of $6.6 billion, ending the period with only $1.3 billion in cash, highlighting the financial pressure the company faces in meeting order demands and necessitating equity market financing to sustain operations.
- Volatile Gross Margins: Although Super Micro's gross margin improved from 6.3% to 9.9% in Q3, it remains below 10%, posing challenges for profitability, with management guiding for a further decline to 8.2%-8.4% in Q4, raising concerns about the sustainability of its growth model.
See More
Company Issues More Shares to Fund Growth Ambitions
- Share Issuance Plan: The company has decided to issue more shares to raise funds aimed at supporting its future growth ambitions, which is expected to bring in additional capital to drive business expansion.
- Market Reaction: As of the afternoon of June 9, 2026, stock prices remained stable, indicating investor confidence in the company's growth potential, which may attract more investor interest.
- Use of Funds: The raised funds will primarily be allocated to research and development as well as market expansion, helping the company maintain a competitive edge in a fiercely competitive market, thereby achieving long-term sustainable growth.
- Strategic Implications: By issuing more shares, the company not only enhances its financial flexibility but also positions itself advantageously for future market opportunities, further driving its business development.
See More
Super Micro Computer's Financing Plan Boosts Stock Price
- Financing Impact: Super Micro Computer's announcement of a $7 billion equity financing plan led to a 9.22% increase in stock price to $31.97, indicating strong market demand for its AI server backlog while raising concerns about dilution risk.
- Surge in Trading Volume: The company's trading volume reached 243.4 million shares, approximately 409% above the three-month average of 47.8 million shares, reflecting strong investor interest in its growth potential, which may further drive stock price volatility.
- Order Context: With approximately $39 billion in AI server orders, the financing will fund component purchases, and despite dilution risks, the robust order book supports future revenue growth for Super Micro Computer.
- Market Performance: Overall, the S&P 500 rose 1.75% and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 2.54%, indicating broad strength in tech stocks, aligning with Super Micro Computer's stock recovery amidst this trend.
See More
Super Micro Computer's Financing Plan Boosts Stock Price
- Financing Impact: Super Micro Computer (SMCI) announced a $7 billion equity financing plan, boosting its stock price by 9.22% to $31.97, indicating strong market demand for its AI server orders while raising concerns about dilution risk.
- Surge in Trading Volume: The trading volume reached 243.4 million shares, a 409% increase over the three-month average, reflecting investor interest in the company's growth potential, particularly in the AI sector.
- Market Recovery: As Super Micro's stock rebounded, the S&P 500 rose 1.75% and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 2.54%, showcasing overall strength in the computer hardware sector, which further bolstered investor confidence.
- Execution Risk Focus: Despite Super Micro's substantial order book, approximately $39 billion in AI server orders, attention must be paid to execution capabilities, including component procurement and converting orders into acceptable margins, which will directly impact investor confidence and future stock performance.
See More
Trump Calls Off Military Action Against Iran, Wall Street Rallies
- Market Rally: Following President Trump's announcement to call off military action against Iran, major Wall Street indices saw a significant uptick, with the S&P 500 rising 1.7%, the Nasdaq Composite up 2.5%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average increasing by 1.8%, indicating a notable improvement in investor sentiment.
- Semiconductor Stocks Surge: Boosted by the positive market sentiment, semiconductor stocks performed well, with Micron Technology (MU) climbing 11.7% before a 1.7% drop in after-hours trading, reflecting investor optimism regarding rising memory prices.
- Super Micro Computer Update: Super Micro Computer (SMCI) closed up 9.2% on Thursday but fell about 1% in after-hours trading after pricing an offering of approximately 45.45 million common shares at $27.50 each, expecting around $1.22 billion in net proceeds, highlighting its urgent need for funding AI server orders.
- AMD Risk Factors: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) saw an almost 8% increase at close but dropped 0.6% after hours, with analysts noting a high concentration risk in its GPU backlog heavily reliant on OpenAI and Meta, which could impact future performance due to the deal structures involving performance-based warrants.
See More
Super Micro Secures $39 Billion in AI Server Orders
- Massive Order Volume: Super Micro has secured approximately $39 billion in AI server orders from over 20 customers recently, surpassing its total revenue for the past four quarters, indicating robust market demand for AI infrastructure.
- Financing Plan Raises Concerns: To fulfill these orders, Super Micro plans to raise $7 billion through a combination of common stock and convertible preferred shares, a financing amount that exceeds one-third of the company's market value, leading to a 28% drop in stock price in the short term.
- Profit Margin Volatility: Although the company reported a gross margin of 9.9% last quarter, with about 90% of revenue consumed by component and manufacturing costs, the $39 billion in orders may yield less than $4 billion in gross profit, highlighting its fragile profitability.
- Cash Flow Strain: In its fiscal Q3 2026, Super Micro utilized $6.6 billion in cash from operations, ending the period with only $1.3 billion in cash, resulting in a negative free cash flow of $6.7 billion, illustrating the financial pressure the company faces in meeting its order commitments.
See More
