Stifel Says IAC Proposes to Acquire MGM at $48.30 per Share
Stifel noted that Barry Diller's People Inc. (IAC), formerly known as IAC, has proposed acquiring the remaining outstanding shares of MGM Resorts (MGM) it doesn't own for $48.30 per share in cash and taking the company private. The firm argues that this initial bid appears low, a view seemingly shared by investors with MGM trading above the offer price, though the firm also struggles to identify credible strategic acquirers that could come top the bid and believes private equity may be deterred by People's 26% voting rights and instead opt to get involved via the People offer. The firm, which previously said after Caesars (CZR) announced an agreement to be acquired by Fertitta Entertainment that it believed that deal signals MGM shares could be worth $50-$55 per share, thinks it is possible the board rejects the initial proposal and pushes for a higher premium. Stifel keeps a Buy rating on MGM shares.
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- Betting Market Forecast: Analysts predict that global wagers on the 2026 World Cup could exceed $50 billion, a significant increase from over $35 billion during the 2022 tournament, indicating that the event will create substantial customer acquisition opportunities for sportsbooks.
- Operational Profit Boost: Macquarie expects the World Cup to enhance 2027 operator EBITDA by 2% to 5%, with the most significant benefits accruing to companies like Flutter Entertainment that have large soccer audiences, highlighting their competitive strength in both North America and Brazil.
- Market Maturity Deepens: The U.S. sports betting market has matured significantly, with 65% of the U.S. population now having legal access to sports betting, up from about 40% during the 2022 tournament, indicating a vast market potential.
- Rise of Prediction Platforms: Kalshi and Polymarket saw a 13% week-over-week increase in trading volume, reaching $7 billion, showcasing the rapid growth of prediction markets, which have attracted participation from companies like Fanatics and DraftKings, further diversifying the market.
- HST Financial Performance: Host Hotels & Resorts reported nearly $6.1 billion in revenue for FY 2025, reflecting a 7.6% increase year-over-year, with a net income of approximately $765 million and a net margin of about 12.5%, indicating strong profitability in the upscale hotel market.
- MGM Revenue Growth: MGM Resorts International generated nearly $17.5 billion in revenue for FY 2025, a 1.7% increase from the previous year, with a net income of around $918 million and a net margin of 5.2%, but faces risks from declining visitor numbers in Las Vegas that could impact future profitability.
- Risk Analysis: Host Hotels' reliance on Marriott for management and geographic concentration in major cities like New York and San Francisco expose it to economic fluctuations, while MGM's high concentration in Las Vegas and competition in the digital market present greater risks.
- Valuation Comparison: Host Hotels has a forward P/E ratio of 19.1, significantly lower than MGM's 27.1, suggesting a more conservative valuation that may make it a more attractive investment option, especially amid increasing market uncertainties.
- Financial Performance Comparison: Host Hotels & Resorts reported nearly $6.1 billion in revenue for FY 2025, reflecting a 7.6% increase, with net income reaching $765 million and a net margin of approximately 12.5%, indicating strong profitability in the premium market.
- Debt and Liquidity Position: As of December 2025, Host's debt-to-equity ratio stands at about 0.9, with a current ratio of 21.9, showcasing robust short-term debt repayment capability, while free cash flow of $858 million ensures future capital expenditures are well-supported.
- Market Risk Analysis: Host Hotels faces risks from geographic concentration in major cities, making it vulnerable to economic downturns, while MGM Resorts encounters greater geographic risks and regulatory uncertainties due to its heavy reliance on the Las Vegas Strip and competition in the digital space.
- Investment Value Assessment: Host's forward P/E ratio of 19.1 is lower than MGM's 27.1, indicating a more conservative valuation, and the management's commitment to ongoing property maintenance investments enhances its long-term investment appeal.
- Mobix Labs Acquisition Intent: Mobix Labs (MOBX) shares surged nearly 38% in premarket trading on Thursday after signing a binding letter of intent to acquire Montana-based drone maker Vision Aerial, indicating a strategic move into the drone market.
- Tiderock Enters Gold Sector: Tiderock Companies (TDRK) announced on Thursday the acquisition of commodities brokerage and exchange platform Arcata Global LLC, marking its entry into the U.S. gold mining sector, which is expected to enhance its competitiveness in precious metals.
- Cloudflare Strengthens AI Platform: Cloudflare (NET) stated on Thursday that it acquired VoidZero, the company behind the Vite JavaScript build tool, aiming to bolster its platform for AI-assisted application development to meet increasing market demands.
- MGM Resorts Acquisition Rumors: MGM Resorts (MGM) jumped 15% in premarket trading following reports that Barry Diller is set to make an $18 billion bid for the casino giant, including debt, reflecting market optimism about its future growth potential.
- World Cup Grand Prize Promotion: BetMGM's Goal Rush promotion allows customers to share $500,000 in bonus bets for every goal scored by the U.S. men's national team, incentivizing fan engagement and enhancing brand visibility during the tournament.
- New Game Launches: Collaborating with soccer legend Tim Howard, BetMGM introduces new casino games, enhancing user experience and attracting more sports fans, thereby expanding its market share in the gaming industry.
- Instant Payout Innovation: The 2-Up Early Payout promotion enables customers to win instantly when their team leads by two goals, increasing user engagement and satisfaction, which is expected to boost customer loyalty.
- Watch Party Events: BetMGM will host watch parties nationwide, featuring curated food and beverage offerings, enhancing the social experience for customers while increasing brand influence and customer retention.
- World Cup Grand Prize Promotion: BetMGM's Goal Rush Grand Prize promotion allows participants to share $500,000 in bonus bets for every goal scored by the U.S. men's national team when placing a $5 pre-match wager, significantly enhancing customer engagement during the World Cup and boosting brand visibility.
- Instant Payout Innovation: The 2-Up Early Payout promotion enables customers to win instantly when their team leads by two goals, enhancing user experience and potentially increasing customer loyalty, thereby solidifying BetMGM's position in the competitive sports betting market.
- Star Game Experience: Tim Howard's Penalty Kick Shootout game will launch on June 11, allowing players to participate for free and win various prizes, which not only attracts soccer fans but also elevates BetMGM's brand recognition and user interaction.
- Market Expansion and Responsible Gambling: Operating in 30 markets, BetMGM emphasizes the importance of responsible gambling by integrating tools like GameSense to ensure customers enjoy a safe gaming experience, demonstrating a strong commitment to customer welfare.










