SpaceX IPO Valuation Set to Exceed Magnificent Seven Stocks
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3 hours ago
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Staggering IPO Size: SpaceX plans to sell 555,555,555 shares at $135 each on June 12, raising $75 billion and starting with a valuation of approximately $1.77 trillion, making it the eighth most valuable public company globally and highlighting its significant market impact.
- Valuation Risks: Despite projected revenue of $18.7 billion in 2025, SpaceX's price-to-sales ratio reaches 93.6, far exceeding that of companies like Broadcom, indicating that its stock may be overvalued and investors should proceed with caution.
- Lack of Profitability: With a projected loss of $4.9 billion in 2025, SpaceX's lack of profitability raises concerns about its valuation, suggesting that investing at a high premium could expose investors to greater risks, particularly with potential post-IPO volatility.
- Intense Market Competition: SpaceX's stock is expected to trade 4.7 to 26 times more expensive than the
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Analyst Views on AVGO
Wall Street analysts forecast AVGO stock price to rise
30 Analyst Rating
29 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 392.160
Low
370.00
Averages
457.75
High
525.00
Current: 392.160
Low
370.00
Averages
457.75
High
525.00
About AVGO
Broadcom Inc. is a global technology firm that designs, develops, and supplies a range of semiconductors, enterprise software and security solutions. The Company operates through two segments: semiconductor solutions and infrastructure software. Its semiconductor solutions segment includes all of its product lines and intellectual property (IP) licensing. It provides a variety of radio frequency semiconductor devices, wireless connectivity solutions, custom touch controllers, and inductive charging solutions for mobile applications. Its infrastructure software segment includes its private and hybrid cloud, application development and delivery, software-defined edge, application networking and security, mainframe, distributed and cybersecurity solutions, and its FC SAN business. It provides a portfolio of software solutions that enable customers to plan, develop, automate, manage and secure applications across mainframe, distributed, mobile and cloud platforms.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Surge in AI Revenue: Broadcom's AI semiconductor revenue soared 143% year-over-year to $10.8 billion in fiscal Q2 2023, indicating strong demand in the rapidly growing AI market, although market expectations have been tempered.
- Severe Market Reaction: Following the fiscal Q2 earnings report on June 3, 2023, Broadcom's stock fell nearly 20% from its all-time high, despite being up almost 40% year-to-date, reflecting investor concerns about the company's future growth.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management expects AI semiconductor revenue to rise 200% year-over-year to $16 billion in fiscal Q3 2023, with projections indicating that this business unit could exceed $100 billion in annual revenue by 2027, showcasing significant long-term growth potential.
- Valuation Adjustment: Prior to the earnings report, Broadcom traded at a PE ratio of about 40 times forward earnings, which adjusted to around 20 times post-report, suggesting a more reasonable valuation, yet the market will need to monitor whether future performance can consistently exceed expectations.
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- Market Value Loss: Last Friday, the AI chip sector faced a sell-off, erasing approximately $1.3 trillion in market value in a single day, leading to a 6% drop in Nvidia's stock and nearly an 11% decline in AMD's, while Broadcom lost about a fifth of its value in a week, indicating a significant loss of confidence in the semiconductor industry.
- Nvidia's Strong Earnings: Despite the stock pullback, Nvidia remains the most valuable company in the sector with a market capitalization of about $4.9 trillion, reporting an 85% year-over-year revenue increase to $81.6 billion in its fiscal first quarter, driven by a 92% growth in data center revenue, with management guiding for approximately $91 billion in second-quarter revenue, implying a year-over-year growth of about 95%, reflecting robust market demand.
- AMD's Growth Momentum: AMD's stock fell from a record $542.52 on June 3 to around $452, yet it has more than doubled in 2026, with first-quarter revenue rising 38% year-over-year to $10.3 billion, fueled by a 57% increase in the data center segment, and management expects second-quarter revenue of about $11.2 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of approximately 46%, showcasing strong growth potential.
- Broadcom's Profitability Concerns: Although Broadcom achieved a 48% year-over-year revenue growth to $22.2 billion in its fiscal second quarter, with AI chip revenue soaring 143% to $10.8 billion, market concerns about profitability have intensified, as the rapid growth of AI semiconductors is diluting gross margins, and the company only reiterated its $100 billion AI chip revenue target for fiscal 2027, disappointing investors.
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- Nvidia Revenue Surge: Nvidia reported an 85% year-over-year revenue increase in its fiscal Q1 2027, reaching $81.6 billion, primarily driven by a 92% growth in data center revenue, highlighting its strong demand and market leadership in AI.
- AMD's Optimistic Outlook: AMD anticipates second-quarter revenue of about $11.2 billion for fiscal 2027, representing a year-over-year growth of approximately 46%, reflecting robust growth in its data center segment, despite a 17% drop in stock price post-report, indicating long-term growth potential.
- Broadcom AI Chip Revenue Boom: Broadcom's AI chip revenue soared 143% year-over-year to $10.8 billion in fiscal Q2 2026, although its stock price fell sharply due to market concerns over profitability, the company remains optimistic about future revenue guidance.
- Market Volatility Impact: Despite the semiconductor sector experiencing a loss of about $1.3 trillion in market value, investors are believed to potentially find opportunities in the long term, especially as these companies continue to demonstrate accelerating growth potential.
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- Market Value Loss: Last Friday, the AI chip sector experienced a sell-off that erased approximately $1.3 trillion in market value in a single day, causing Nvidia and AMD to drop about 6% and 11% respectively, indicating a significant loss of investor confidence in the industry.
- Nvidia's Strong Earnings: Despite the stock pullback, Nvidia remains the sector leader with a market capitalization of about $4.9 trillion, reporting an 85% year-over-year revenue increase to $81.6 billion in its fiscal first quarter, driven by a 92% surge in data center revenue, with management forecasting second-quarter revenue of around $91 billion, implying a 95% year-over-year growth, reflecting robust momentum in AI infrastructure development.
- AMD's Growth Momentum: AMD shares hit a record high of $542.52 on June 3 but have since fallen to about $452; however, the stock has more than doubled in 2026, with first-quarter revenue rising 38% year-over-year to $10.3 billion, fueled by a 57% increase in the data center segment, and management expects second-quarter revenue of about $11.2 billion, representing a 46% year-over-year growth.
- Broadcom Under Pressure: Although Broadcom reported a 48% year-over-year revenue growth to $22.2 billion in its fiscal second quarter, with AI chip revenue soaring 143% to $10.8 billion, concerns about profitability have intensified, as CEO Hock Tan noted that the sales mix is diluting gross margins, and the company only reiterated its $100 billion AI chip revenue target for fiscal 2027 without raising it, leading to a significant stock decline.
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- Rising Inflation: The US consumer price index rose to an annual rate of 4.2% in May, with Trump expressing optimism that prices will drop sharply once the conflict with Iran concludes, reflecting a potentially misleading confidence in economic stability amidst rising costs.
- Geopolitical Tensions: US airstrikes on Iran have escalated tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, driving oil prices higher, with July crude futures increasing by 2.94% to $92.68 per barrel and Brent futures rising by 2.52% to $95.45, indicating market sensitivity to energy price fluctuations.
- Market Volatility: Amid rising inflation and energy prices, Wall Street faced significant declines on Wednesday, with the Dow dropping over 900 points, highlighting investor concerns about future economic prospects, particularly as chip stocks experienced substantial sell-offs.
- Meta's Investment in India: Meta has agreed to lease an AI-enabled data center with a capacity of 168 megawatts from Reliance Industries in India, expected to be delivered within two years, which will enhance Meta's global AI infrastructure and demonstrate its long-term commitment to the Indian market.
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- Record IPO Size: SpaceX plans to sell 555,555,555 shares at $135 each on June 12, raising $75 billion and starting with a valuation of approximately $1.77 trillion, making it the eighth most valuable public company globally, showcasing its strong market appeal.
- Valuation vs Revenue: Despite its $1.77 trillion valuation, SpaceX reported a $4.9 billion loss in 2025 and generated $18.7 billion in revenue in 2022, resulting in a staggering price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 93.6, indicating significant overvaluation risks compared to peers.
- Peer Comparison: SpaceX's P/S ratio is over 3.5 times that of Broadcom, which achieved 48% revenue growth and $9.31 billion in net income in its latest quarter, highlighting the extreme valuation of SpaceX's stock and the associated investment risks.
- Cautious Investment Advice: While SpaceX has promising prospects, investing at a high premium during its IPO could limit upside potential and increase the risk of a post-IPO sell-off, suggesting that investors should wait for market reactions before making decisions.
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