SpaceX IPO Expected to Cause Market Volatility
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 day ago
0mins
Source: CNBC
- Market Volatility Anticipation: With a market cap of $2.7 trillion, SpaceX is set to become the fifth largest company globally, and its inclusion in major indices is expected to significantly increase market volatility, particularly within ETFs like VUG.
- Investor Reactions: Many financial advisors express concerns about SpaceX's integration, arguing it could negatively impact U.S. savers, especially those relying on index funds for their investments.
- Volatility Analysis: SpaceX's implied volatility is nearly 120, three times higher than that of the Bitcoin ETF, making it the most volatile stock in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, highlighting the uncertainty surrounding its market performance.
- Liquidity Impact: The inclusion of SpaceX in indices is expected to reduce its volatility through high-frequency trading and passive inflows, potentially leading to a more stable trading environment in the future.
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Analyst Views on MSTR
Wall Street analysts forecast MSTR stock price to rise
14 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 116.560
Low
229.00
Averages
453.17
High
705.00
Current: 116.560
Low
229.00
Averages
453.17
High
705.00
About MSTR
Strategy Inc. is a bitcoin treasury and business intelligence company. The Company provides cloud-native, artificial intelligence (AI)-powered enterprise analytics software to thousands of global customers. Its Software Business segment is engaged in the design, development, marketing, and sales of enterprise analytics software platform through cloud subscriptions and licensing arrangements and related services. Its Strategy ONE platform provides access to AI-powered workflows, unlimited data sources, cloud-native technologies, and performance to speed up time from data to action. Strategy One delivers visualization, reporting, and embedded analytics capabilities across retail, banking, technology, manufacturing, insurance, consulting, healthcare, public sector, and others. Its Strategy Mosaic is a universal intelligence layer that provides enterprises with consistent definitions and governance across data sources, regardless of where that data resides or which tools access it.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Analysis of Strategy Inc's Stock Decline
- Poor Stock Performance: Strategy Inc (MSTR) fell 6.35% to $122.81 in the latest trading session, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's 0.57% loss, indicating its weakness in the market.
- Significant Monthly Decline: The stock has dropped 21.3% over the past month, contrasting sharply with the Finance sector's gain of 4.57% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.14%, reflecting serious challenges faced by the company.
- Optimistic Earnings Expectations: Strategy is expected to report an EPS of $52.04, up 59.63% year-over-year, with projected revenue of $126.95 million, a 10.88% increase, which may boost investor confidence to some extent.
- Declining Analyst Ratings: Currently, Strategy holds a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell), indicating analysts' concerns about its near-term business trends, despite its forward P/E ratio of 1.12 being well below the industry average of 10.93, suggesting it may be undervalued.
See More
Michael Saylor Addresses Bitcoin Criticism at BTC Prague
- Bitcoin Sale Defense: Michael Saylor addressed criticism regarding Strategy's (Nasdaq: MSTR) recent sale of 32 Bitcoins at BTC Prague, clarifying that his advice was directed at individual holders rather than Bitcoin treasury companies, emphasizing the firm's goal to create Bitcoin-backed credit.
- Holding vs. Selling Strategy: Saylor highlighted that as the world's largest Bitcoin holder and buyer, the ability to sell Bitcoin when necessary is crucial for maintaining the company's credibility and servicing preferred dividends, ensuring the sustainability of the business model.
- Capital Flow Analysis: He analyzed Bitcoin's underperformance, attributing it to a capital outflow of 1%-2% due to the AI fundraising wave, predicting a reversal in 12 to 24 weeks as capital rotates back into Bitcoin.
- Future Outlook: Saylor anticipates 2026 to be the most exciting year in Bitcoin's history, emphasizing the growth of Bitcoin-backed credit and yield products as key drivers for market recovery.
See More
Allbirds Rebrands to Smartbird, Appoints New CEO
- Executive Change: Allbirds appointed Nadia Carlsten as the new CEO on Wednesday, replacing Joe Vernachio; Carlsten's previous leadership at Amazon Web Services' quantum computing center is expected to drive the company's pivot to AI infrastructure.
- Rebranding: Following an unexpected AI rebranding, Allbirds has changed its name to Smartbird, marking its transformation from a shoe manufacturer to an AI infrastructure firm, reflecting the company's keen insight into emerging technology trends.
- Stock Surge: Shares of Allbirds soared 34% after the new CEO announcement, indicating a positive market reaction to its transformation strategy, which may attract more investor interest in its future prospects.
- Market Performance: Since going public in 2021, Allbirds' stock has plummeted nearly 99% from a high of $577.80; this restructuring and new strategy could present new growth opportunities, especially against the backdrop of rapid advancements in the AI sector.
See More
SpaceX IPO Expected to Cause Market Volatility
- Market Volatility Anticipation: With a market cap of $2.7 trillion, SpaceX is set to become the fifth largest company globally, and its inclusion in major indices is expected to significantly increase market volatility, particularly within ETFs like VUG.
- Investor Reactions: Many financial advisors express concerns about SpaceX's integration, arguing it could negatively impact U.S. savers, especially those relying on index funds for their investments.
- Volatility Analysis: SpaceX's implied volatility is nearly 120, three times higher than that of the Bitcoin ETF, making it the most volatile stock in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, highlighting the uncertainty surrounding its market performance.
- Liquidity Impact: The inclusion of SpaceX in indices is expected to reduce its volatility through high-frequency trading and passive inflows, potentially leading to a more stable trading environment in the future.
See More
Coinbase Launches AI Products, Expands Financial Platform
- AI Product Launch: Coinbase unveiled three AI-focused products during its System Update event, including Coinbase for Agents and Coinbase Advisor, aiming to provide financial accounts and payment capabilities for AI agents, thereby advancing the company's financial infrastructure in the intelligence age.
- Strategic Product Expansion: The product rollout also includes pre-IPO perpetuals, stock options, and tokenized equities, marking Coinbase's shift towards an 'everything exchange' model, which further strengthens its position as a comprehensive financial platform.
- Market Reaction Steady: Although Coinbase's stock fell by 1% during pre-market trading, retail sentiment remained neutral, indicating a moderate acceptance of its new products, with discussion levels staying at normal rates.
- Industry Integration Trend: Coinbase, alongside institutions like BlackRock and Strategy Inc., is working to enhance the legitimacy of cryptocurrency, with Saylor highlighting the critical role these companies play in navigating regulatory challenges, reflecting a trend of deeper integration between crypto and financial infrastructure.
See More
Bitmine Achieves 5% ETH Target and Lists Preferred Shares
- Significant ETH Holdings: Bitmine currently holds 4.66% of the total ETH supply, approximately 120.7 million ETH, demonstrating its strong position in the cryptocurrency market and is expected to further enhance the company's influence in the blockchain sector.
- Successful Financing: On June 10, 2026, Bitmine successfully issued 3.5 million shares of 9.50% preferred stock, raising approximately $273.8 million, which is expected to enhance the company's financial flexibility and support its long-term investment strategy.
- Market Recognition: Bitmine has been listed in the 2026 Fortune Crypto 100, reflecting its influence and market recognition in the blockchain industry, which may attract more investor attention.
- Strong Liquidity: Bitmine's stock has an average daily trading volume of $550 million in the U.S. market, ranking 203rd, indicating its active presence among investors and market confidence, further solidifying its position as a major crypto asset holder.
See More
Analysis of Strategy Inc's Stock Decline
- Poor Stock Performance: Strategy Inc (MSTR) fell 6.35% to $122.81 in the latest trading session, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's 0.57% loss, indicating its weakness in the market.
- Significant Monthly Decline: The stock has dropped 21.3% over the past month, contrasting sharply with the Finance sector's gain of 4.57% and the S&P 500's gain of 2.14%, reflecting serious challenges faced by the company.
- Optimistic Earnings Expectations: Strategy is expected to report an EPS of $52.04, up 59.63% year-over-year, with projected revenue of $126.95 million, a 10.88% increase, which may boost investor confidence to some extent.
- Declining Analyst Ratings: Currently, Strategy holds a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell), indicating analysts' concerns about its near-term business trends, despite its forward P/E ratio of 1.12 being well below the industry average of 10.93, suggesting it may be undervalued.
See More
Michael Saylor Addresses Bitcoin Criticism at BTC Prague
- Bitcoin Sale Defense: Michael Saylor addressed criticism regarding Strategy's (Nasdaq: MSTR) recent sale of 32 Bitcoins at BTC Prague, clarifying that his advice was directed at individual holders rather than Bitcoin treasury companies, emphasizing the firm's goal to create Bitcoin-backed credit.
- Holding vs. Selling Strategy: Saylor highlighted that as the world's largest Bitcoin holder and buyer, the ability to sell Bitcoin when necessary is crucial for maintaining the company's credibility and servicing preferred dividends, ensuring the sustainability of the business model.
- Capital Flow Analysis: He analyzed Bitcoin's underperformance, attributing it to a capital outflow of 1%-2% due to the AI fundraising wave, predicting a reversal in 12 to 24 weeks as capital rotates back into Bitcoin.
- Future Outlook: Saylor anticipates 2026 to be the most exciting year in Bitcoin's history, emphasizing the growth of Bitcoin-backed credit and yield products as key drivers for market recovery.
See More
Allbirds Rebrands to Smartbird, Appoints New CEO
- Executive Change: Allbirds appointed Nadia Carlsten as the new CEO on Wednesday, replacing Joe Vernachio; Carlsten's previous leadership at Amazon Web Services' quantum computing center is expected to drive the company's pivot to AI infrastructure.
- Rebranding: Following an unexpected AI rebranding, Allbirds has changed its name to Smartbird, marking its transformation from a shoe manufacturer to an AI infrastructure firm, reflecting the company's keen insight into emerging technology trends.
- Stock Surge: Shares of Allbirds soared 34% after the new CEO announcement, indicating a positive market reaction to its transformation strategy, which may attract more investor interest in its future prospects.
- Market Performance: Since going public in 2021, Allbirds' stock has plummeted nearly 99% from a high of $577.80; this restructuring and new strategy could present new growth opportunities, especially against the backdrop of rapid advancements in the AI sector.
See More
SpaceX IPO Expected to Cause Market Volatility
- Market Volatility Anticipation: With a market cap of $2.7 trillion, SpaceX is set to become the fifth largest company globally, and its inclusion in major indices is expected to significantly increase market volatility, particularly within ETFs like VUG.
- Investor Reactions: Many financial advisors express concerns about SpaceX's integration, arguing it could negatively impact U.S. savers, especially those relying on index funds for their investments.
- Volatility Analysis: SpaceX's implied volatility is nearly 120, three times higher than that of the Bitcoin ETF, making it the most volatile stock in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, highlighting the uncertainty surrounding its market performance.
- Liquidity Impact: The inclusion of SpaceX in indices is expected to reduce its volatility through high-frequency trading and passive inflows, potentially leading to a more stable trading environment in the future.
See More
Coinbase Launches AI Products, Expands Financial Platform
- AI Product Launch: Coinbase unveiled three AI-focused products during its System Update event, including Coinbase for Agents and Coinbase Advisor, aiming to provide financial accounts and payment capabilities for AI agents, thereby advancing the company's financial infrastructure in the intelligence age.
- Strategic Product Expansion: The product rollout also includes pre-IPO perpetuals, stock options, and tokenized equities, marking Coinbase's shift towards an 'everything exchange' model, which further strengthens its position as a comprehensive financial platform.
- Market Reaction Steady: Although Coinbase's stock fell by 1% during pre-market trading, retail sentiment remained neutral, indicating a moderate acceptance of its new products, with discussion levels staying at normal rates.
- Industry Integration Trend: Coinbase, alongside institutions like BlackRock and Strategy Inc., is working to enhance the legitimacy of cryptocurrency, with Saylor highlighting the critical role these companies play in navigating regulatory challenges, reflecting a trend of deeper integration between crypto and financial infrastructure.
See More
Bitmine Achieves 5% ETH Target and Lists Preferred Shares
- Significant ETH Holdings: Bitmine currently holds 4.66% of the total ETH supply, approximately 120.7 million ETH, demonstrating its strong position in the cryptocurrency market and is expected to further enhance the company's influence in the blockchain sector.
- Successful Financing: On June 10, 2026, Bitmine successfully issued 3.5 million shares of 9.50% preferred stock, raising approximately $273.8 million, which is expected to enhance the company's financial flexibility and support its long-term investment strategy.
- Market Recognition: Bitmine has been listed in the 2026 Fortune Crypto 100, reflecting its influence and market recognition in the blockchain industry, which may attract more investor attention.
- Strong Liquidity: Bitmine's stock has an average daily trading volume of $550 million in the U.S. market, ranking 203rd, indicating its active presence among investors and market confidence, further solidifying its position as a major crypto asset holder.
See More
