BSM Experiences Significant Drop Below Key Moving Average
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 19 2025
0mins
Should l Buy BSM?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- 52 Week Range: BSM's stock has a 52-week low of $11.78 and a high of $15.60, with the last trade recorded at $13.44.
- Market Analysis: The article mentions other energy stocks that have recently fallen below their 200-day moving average.
- Author's Perspective: The views expressed in the article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent Nasdaq, Inc.
- Stock Performance Context: The information provided gives context to BSM's current stock performance within the broader energy market.
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Analyst Views on BSM
Wall Street analysts forecast BSM stock price to fall
2 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 13.570
Low
13.00
Averages
13.00
High
13.00
Current: 13.570
Low
13.00
Averages
13.00
High
13.00
About BSM
Black Stone Minerals, L.P. is an owner and manager of oil and natural gas mineral interests in the United States. The Company’s principal business is maximizing the value of its existing portfolio of mineral and royalty assets through active management. It owns mineral interests in approximately 16.8 million gross acres. It also owns nonparticipating royalty interests (NPRIs) in 1.8 million gross acres and overriding royalty interests (ORRIs) in 1.6 million gross acres. The Company owns mineral and royalty interests in 41 states in the continental United States, including all of the onshore producing basins. Many of these interests are in active resource plays, including the Haynesville/Bossier shales in East Texas/Western Louisiana, the Wolfcamp/Spraberry/Bone Springs in the Permian Basin, the Bakken/Three Forks in the Williston Basin, and the Eagle Ford shale in South Texas.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Production Growth Momentum: Black Stone Minerals achieved mineral and royalty production of 35.9 MBoe per day in Q1 2026, reflecting a 16% increase from the previous quarter, driven by heightened natural gas activity in Louisiana and robust oil production in the Permian Basin, indicating strong operational performance.
- Solid Financial Performance: The company reported a net income of $13.3 million for the quarter, with adjusted EBITDA reaching $87 million, showcasing strong cash flow from ongoing expansion and mineral rights acquisitions, which further solidifies its market position.
- Ongoing Strategic Acquisitions: During the quarter, Black Stone acquired an additional $12 million in mineral and royalty acreage, bringing total investments since 2023 to over $250 million, demonstrating its commitment to continued development and market expansion in core areas.
- Optimistic Outlook: Management reiterated that 2026 is expected to be a year of production growth, maintaining confidence despite geopolitical and market volatility challenges, which is likely to enhance the company's competitive edge in the industry.
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- Earnings Performance: Black Stone Minerals reported a GAAP EPS of $0.03 for Q1 2026, missing expectations by $0.18, indicating a shortfall in profitability that may negatively impact investor confidence.
- Revenue Growth: Oil and gas revenue reached $117.5 million, an 8.5% year-over-year increase, exceeding expectations by $15.42 million, demonstrating strong performance in the oil and gas market that helps alleviate overall financial pressure.
- Production Data: Mineral and royalty production totaled 35.9 MBoe/d, a 16% increase from the prior quarter, with total production at 37.0 MBoe/d, reflecting positive progress in production recovery that could lay the groundwork for future revenue growth.
- Cash Flow and Dividends: Distributable cash flow was $76.5 million, with a declared distribution of $0.30 per unit and a coverage ratio of 1.20x, indicating stability in shareholder returns despite the overall financial performance being subpar.
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- Production Growth Outlook: Black Stone Minerals reported mineral royalty production of 33,200 BOE per day and total production of 34,600 BOE in Q2 2025, and despite challenges in natural gas production growth, the company expects an incremental increase of 3,000 to 5,000 BOE per day in 2026, reflecting confidence in future performance.
- Acquisition and Expansion Plans: During the quarter, Black Stone completed $31 million in mineral and royalty acquisitions, bringing total acquisitions since September 2023 to approximately $172 million, a strategy that is expected to support a doubling of drilling obligations over the next five years and enhance competitiveness in the natural gas market.
- Distribution and Cash Flow: The company declared a distribution of $0.30 per unit for the quarter, annualized to $1.20, and although the reduction was driven by slower natural gas production growth, the distributable cash flow was $74.8 million, representing a coverage ratio of 1.18x, indicating financial robustness.
- Market Demand Prospects: With growing global LNG demand, the outlook for Black Stone's natural gas is considered positive, and combined with a strong oil portfolio across multiple basins, this positions the company well for long-term growth and ensures the continued execution of its commercial strategy.
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- Earnings Announcement: Black Stone Minerals is set to announce its Q1 2023 earnings on May 4th after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.23, reflecting a substantial year-over-year increase of 475%, indicating a significant improvement in profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: Despite the strong EPS outlook, the revenue estimate stands at $102.08 million, representing a 5.7% year-over-year decline, which reflects a cautious market sentiment regarding the company's revenue growth and may impact investor confidence.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past year, Black Stone Minerals has exceeded EPS and revenue estimates 25% of the time, demonstrating its capability in managing market expectations; however, the lack of upward revisions in recent months may suggest a conservative outlook for future performance.
- Future Development Plans: The company plans to expand drilling in the Shelby Trough and Haynesville regions, targeting 50 new wells by 2031, showcasing its confidence in improved long-term oil prices and strategic positioning in the growing energy demands of data centers.
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- Cash Distribution Announcement: Black Stone Minerals' Board has approved a cash distribution of $0.30 per unit for Q1 2026, consistent with the previous quarter, indicating stable cash flow and a reliable dividend policy that boosts investor confidence.
- Distribution Payment Date: The distribution will be payable on May 15, 2026, to unitholders of record on May 8, 2026, ensuring timely returns for investors and reinforcing trust between the company and its stakeholders.
- Earnings Release Schedule: The Partnership plans to release its Q1 2026 earnings after market close on May 4, 2026, followed by a conference call on May 5, providing a transparent disclosure mechanism that aids investors in understanding the company's financial performance.
- Conference Call Details: The call is scheduled for 9:00 a.m. Central Time (10:00 a.m. Eastern Time), with dial-in numbers for domestic and international participants, ensuring all investors can engage in discussions, thereby enhancing interaction between the company and its investors.
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