Nucor's Q3 Earnings Forecast Falls Short of Expectations, Shares Decline
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Sep 17 2025
0mins
Source: SeekingAlpha
Earnings Guidance: Nucor's shares dropped over 5% after the company projected third-quarter earnings between $2.05 and $2.15 per diluted share, falling short of analysts' expectations of $2.56.
Segment Performance: The company anticipates a decline in earnings across all operating segments due to lower volumes and margin compression, particularly in the steel mills and products segments.
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Analyst Views on NUE
Wall Street analysts forecast NUE stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NUE is 179.00 USD with a low forecast of 168.00 USD and a high forecast of 200.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
10 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 173.180
Low
168.00
Averages
179.00
High
200.00
Current: 173.180
Low
168.00
Averages
179.00
High
200.00
About NUE
Nucor Corporation is a manufacturer of steel and steel products, with operating facilities in the United States, Canada and Mexico. The Company also produces and procures ferrous and non-ferrous materials primarily for use in its steel manufacturing business. Its segments include steel mills, steel products and raw materials. Its products include carbon and alloy steel in bars, beams, sheet and plate; hollow structural section tubing; electrical conduit; steel racking; steel piling; steel joists and joist girders; steel deck; fabricated concrete reinforcing steel; cold finished steel; precision castings; steel fasteners; metal building systems; insulated metal panels; overhead doors; steel grating; wire and wire mesh; and utility structures. The Company, through The David J. Joseph Company and its affiliates, also brokers ferrous and nonferrous metals, pig iron and hot briquetted iron / direct reduced iron; supplies ferro-alloys; and processes ferrous and nonferrous scrap.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Nucor Corp: A Top Stock in the Steel Industry
- Earnings Reaction Analysis: Nucor's latest earnings report missed both revenue and profit expectations, causing a 6% drop in stock price post-release, but subsequent buying activity indicates investor confidence in future performance.
- Growing Market Demand: Nucor's steel mill shipments are expected to grow by 5% year-over-year, with a 15% increase in backlog for the steel products segment, reflecting robust demand across infrastructure and advanced manufacturing sectors.
- Optimistic Profit Outlook: Management anticipates improved earnings across all segments in the coming quarters due to higher volumes and price increases, with price hikes announced across nearly all product categories.
- Risk Management Strategy: Nucor's stock price is supported near the 50-day moving average, and despite the pullback, market confidence remains strong, prompting investors to watch for a breakout to new highs to confirm the upward trend.
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