Sees FY26 Adjusted EBITDA of $350M-$370M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 6 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy OPLN?
Sees FY26 adjusted EBITDA $350M-$370M.
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Analyst Views on OPLN
Wall Street analysts forecast OPLN stock price to rise
4 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 26.390
Low
29.00
Averages
31.13
High
32.50
Current: 26.390
Low
29.00
Averages
31.13
High
32.50
About OPLN
OPENLANE, Inc. provides sellers and buyers across the global wholesale used vehicle industry with technology-driven remarketing solutions. The Company offers a digital marketplace for used vehicles, connecting sellers and buyers across North America and Europe. Its end-to-end platform supports the whole car, financing, logistics and other ancillary and related services. Its segments include Marketplace and Finance. Marketplace segment serves its customer base through digital marketplaces in the United States, Canada and Europe and vehicle logistics center locations across Canada. This segment includes private label remarketing solutions, which are offered to automobile manufacturers, captive finance companies and other commercial customers to offer vehicles digitally. Through Automotive Finance Corporation, the Finance segment provides short-term, inventory-secured financing, known as floorplan financing, primarily to independent vehicle dealers throughout the United States and Canada.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- New Investment Disclosure: Investment advisor Kimelman & Baird disclosed a new position in Openlane (OPLN) on February 5, 2026, acquiring 809,840 shares in an estimated $24.12 million trade, reflecting confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Significant Position: This acquisition accounts for 1.8529% of Kimelman & Baird's reportable U.S. equity assets, indicating a strategic move to diversify their investment portfolio while capitalizing on Openlane's growth potential.
- Strong Company Performance: Openlane reported a 9% year-over-year revenue growth and a 14% increase in net income in Q4 2025, with a gross merchandise volume of $7.1 billion, showcasing its robust performance in the used vehicle market.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Openlane anticipates earnings per share between $0.95 and $1.09 for 2026, improving from a net loss of $0.96 per share in 2025, and Wall Street rates the stock as a consensus buy with a price target of $34, suggesting a potential growth of 28%.
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- Oversold Indicator: OPENLANE Inc. (Ticker: OPLN) hit an RSI of 27.5 during Monday's trading, indicating an oversold condition that suggests recent heavy selling may be exhausting, prompting bullish investors to seek buying opportunities.
- Price Fluctuation: OPLN shares traded as low as $26.365, with the current price at $26.39, reflecting volatility between a 52-week low of $17.08 and a high of $31.78, indicating market uncertainty.
- Market Comparison: Compared to the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) RSI of 43.4, OPLN's low RSI may attract bullish investors who believe the stock price could rebound, enhancing its appeal in the market.
- Investor Sentiment: The oversold signal may increase investor interest in OPLN, potentially leading to more capital inflow into the stock as investors look for rebound opportunities.
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- Strong Sales Performance: OPENLANE sold nearly 1.5 million vehicles in 2025, generating total revenue of $1.9 billion, with an Adjusted EBITDA of $333 million and cash flow from operations of $392 million, demonstrating the company's ability to sustain growth in a competitive market.
- Digital Transformation Success: Despite a challenging macro environment in Canada, OPENLANE's dealer-to-dealer business continued to accelerate in the U.S., further solidifying its market share in digital transformation and indicating strong growth potential moving forward.
- Optimistic 2026 Financial Outlook: The company projects net income for 2026 to range between $130 million and $147 million, with Adjusted EBITDA expected to be between $350 million and $370 million, reflecting management's confidence in future performance, particularly amid the industry's shift towards digital.
- Investor Day Scheduled: OPENLANE will host its Investor Day on March 3, 2026, in Fort Lauderdale, where the executive team will discuss the company's strategy, operating model, and long-term outlook, further enhancing investor confidence.
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- Earnings Highlights: OPENLANE reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of -$1.77, which may not be comparable to estimates; however, revenue reached $494.3 million, reflecting an 8.6% year-over-year growth and beating market expectations by $20.65 million, demonstrating the company's resilience in the market.
- Future Guidance: The company provided guidance for 2026, projecting net income between $130 million and $147 million, with adjusted EBITDA expected to range from $350 million to $370 million, indicating management's confidence in future performance.
- Earnings Per Share Outlook: The diluted net income per share is anticipated to be between $0.95 and $1.09, while the operating adjusted EPS is forecasted at $1.24 to $1.38, falling short of the consensus estimate of $1.42, which may impact investor sentiment.
- Market Reaction: Despite the overall financial performance exceeding revenue expectations, the failure to meet EPS estimates could lead to short-term stock price volatility, prompting investors to monitor subsequent market reactions.
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- Earnings Release Schedule: OPENLANE is set to announce its Q4 and full year 2025 financial results before the market opens on February 18, 2026, which is expected to provide investors with critical performance metrics and market trend insights.
- Conference Call Details: Following the earnings release, CEO Peter Kelly and CFO Brad Herring will host a conference call at 8:30 a.m. ET to discuss the financial results and address investor inquiries, enhancing transparency and engagement.
- Live Webcast Availability: The conference call can be accessed by calling 1-833-634-2155, and a live webcast will be available on OPENLANE's investor relations website, ensuring global investors can receive real-time updates and participate in discussions.
- Replay Archive: After the call, an archive of the webcast will be accessible on OPENLANE's investor relations site for a limited time, allowing investors who could not attend live to review and analyze the financial information at their convenience.
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- Earnings Release Schedule: OPENLANE will announce its Q4 and full year 2025 financial results before the market opens on February 18, 2026, which is expected to provide investors with critical performance data and market trend analysis.
- Conference Call Details: Following the earnings release, CEO Peter Kelly and CFO Brad Herring will host a conference call at 8:30 AM ET on the same day to interpret the financial results and answer investor questions, enhancing transparency and communication.
- Webcast Availability: Investors can access the live webcast of the conference call through the investor relations section of OPENLANE's website, ensuring broad participation and information sharing to strengthen interaction between the company and its investors.
- Company Background: OPENLANE is a leading operator of digital marketplaces for wholesale used vehicles, connecting automotive manufacturers, dealers, and financial institutions to provide a fast, fair, and transparent trading experience, helping customers make smarter decisions.
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