Sandisk Q1 Earnings Exceed Expectations
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Apr 30 2026
0mins
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Beat: Sandisk reported a Q1 non-GAAP EPS of $23.41, surpassing expectations by $8.75, indicating strong performance that reinforces its leadership in the NAND memory market.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved $5.95 billion in revenue for Q1, a staggering 252.1% increase year-over-year, exceeding market expectations by $1.22 billion, reflecting robust demand driven by AI and data storage needs, which will support future investments and expansion.
- Optimistic Outlook: Sandisk projects Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue between $7.75 billion and $8.25 billion, with gross margins expected to range from 78.9% to 80.9%, demonstrating management's confidence in sustained growth.
- Cost Control Measures: Operating expenses are anticipated to be between $523 million and $558 million, indicating that despite growth pressures, the company is effectively managing costs to ensure profitability and financial health.
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Analyst Views on SNDK
Wall Street analysts forecast SNDK stock price to fall
14 Analyst Rating
11 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 1831.500
Low
220.00
Averages
283.69
High
410.00
Current: 1831.500
Low
220.00
Averages
283.69
High
410.00
About SNDK
SanDisk Corporation is a developer, manufacturer and provider of data storage devices and solutions based on NAND flash technology and has consumer brands and franchises globally. The Company's solutions include a range of solid state drives (SSDs) embedded products, removable cards, universal serial bus (USB) drives, and wafers and components. Its broad portfolio of technology and products addresses multiple end markets of Datacenter, Edge and Consumer. Its Datacenter end market is composed primarily of products for public or private cloud environments and enterprise customers. The Company, through the Edge end market, provides original equipment manufacturer and channel customers a broad array of high-performance flash solutions across personal computer, mobile, gaming, automotive, virtual reality headsets, at-home entertainment, and industrial spaces. The Company serves the Consumer end market with a broad range of retail and other end-user products.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Stock Performance: Sandisk's stock has surged over 600% in just five months of 2026, indicating strong market performance driven by AI infrastructure demand, with expectations for this growth trend to continue.
- Financial Metrics: In the most recent quarter, Sandisk reported a 251% year-over-year revenue increase, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) reaching $23.41, and analysts project EPS will rise to $175.62 in fiscal 2027, reflecting robust profitability and market confidence.
- Market Outlook: As demand for NAND memory in data centers continues to rise, Sandisk is poised for significant revenue growth in the coming years, especially with Nvidia forecasting global data center spending to reach $3 to $4 trillion by 2030.
- Investment Appeal: Despite the rapid rise in Sandisk's stock price, its P/E ratio remains below 10, indicating attractiveness among fast-growing tech stocks, making it a potential buy for investors looking to capitalize on future growth opportunities.
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- Stock Fluctuation: SanDisk (SNDK) saw a nearly 7% increase yesterday due to Morgan Stanley's support, but shares fell 1.7% today as a result of Broadcom's (AVGO) earnings report, indicating market sensitivity to short-term fluctuations.
- Broadcom Earnings Beat: Broadcom reported fiscal Q2 2026 earnings of $2.44 per share on $22.2 billion in sales, exceeding expectations, and provided a Q3 sales guidance of $29.4 billion, raising concerns about SanDisk's stock performance.
- Memory Market Dynamics: While Morgan Stanley projected a 40% increase in DRAM prices in Q2 and a further 15% rise in Q3, SanDisk, which does not produce DRAM but manufactures high-bandwidth flash memory, faces market uncertainties that impact its stock performance.
- AI Chip Sales Outlook: Broadcom's AI chip revenue grew 143% in Q2, and although the Q3 forecast of $16 billion falls short of the $17.2 billion expected by Wall Street, it still indicates strong growth potential, positively influencing SanDisk's future business prospects.
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- Dow Jones High: The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 1.49% to reach a new all-time high, demonstrating market resilience driven by strong performance in managed healthcare stocks, despite overall market pressures.
- Tech Sector Decline: Broadcom's stock plummeted over 14% due to disappointing AI revenue forecasts, leading to a broader decline in chipmakers, while CrowdStrike fell more than 8% despite beating Q1 earnings expectations, reflecting market caution towards tech stocks.
- Mixed Economic Data: Initial jobless claims rose to 225,000, a 3.75-month high, indicating a weaker labor market, while Q1 nonfarm productivity was revised down to 0.3%, below expectations, potentially impacting future economic growth outlooks.
- Oil Price Impact: WTI crude oil prices fell over 3% amid a ceasefire agreement between Israel and Lebanon, which lowered inflation expectations and provided support for both stock and bond markets, improving investor sentiment.
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- Significant Share Drop: Despite reporting strong quarterly results, Broadcom's decision not to raise revenue guidance led to a 15% drop in its share price during premarket trading on Thursday, reflecting market concerns over future earnings prospects and potentially triggering a broader reassessment of the semiconductor industry.
- Divergent Industry Response: While Broadcom's stock fell, other major tech companies like Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft traded positively on the same day, indicating strong demand driven by the AI trend, suggesting that the semiconductor sector's volatility may be a temporary phenomenon.
- Tech Stock Pullback: The S&P 500 information technology index closed Tuesday 28% above its 200-day moving average with a relative strength index of 82, indicating an overbought condition that may lead investors to take profits, impacting Broadcom and other tech stocks.
- Declining Market Share: Broadcom is expected to lose some market share with Alphabet, as its revenue share for Google's tensor processing units is projected to decline from 95% in 2026 to 65% in 2028, reflecting Google's increasing need for supplier diversification, which could affect Broadcom's long-term growth outlook.
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- Disappointing Outlook Impact: Broadcom's (AVGO) weaker-than-expected AI chip outlook led to a nearly 15% plunge in its shares, triggering a selloff across the semiconductor sector, affecting major players like Intel (INTC) and AMD (AMD), indicating a sharp shift in market sentiment.
- Severe Market Reaction: Semiconductor stocks including Intel, AMD, Arm Holdings (ARM), and Marvell Technology (MRVL) fell over 3% in pre-market trading on Thursday, while Micron (MU) and SanDisk (SNDK) dropped 6% and 4% respectively, reflecting investor concerns about the industry's future.
- Highs Followed by Declines: After a strong rally that pushed many semiconductor stocks to record highs, the selloff indicates that investors are cashing in on profits amid Broadcom's disappointing outlook, which could lead to further market volatility.
- Impact of Market Leaders: Micron surpassed a $1 trillion market cap for the first time last month, establishing itself as an industry leader, while Marvell surged nearly 40% following praise from Nvidia's CEO, but the overall market decline may affect their future performance.
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- Nvidia Valuation Advantage: Nvidia's PE ratio stands at 25 times, which, while not cheap, is relatively low compared to peers like Broadcom and AMD at 40 and 69 times, respectively, and its impressive 85% quarterly growth rate highlights strong long-term growth potential.
- Meta Platforms Growth Potential: With a PE ratio of 18.6 times, Meta is undervalued compared to Nvidia, yet it is projected to grow 26% this year and 19% next year, indicating that its successful integration of AI into its advertising platform positions it as a solid investment choice.
- SanDisk's Strong Performance: SanDisk's stock has surged nearly 650% this year, which may seem counterintuitive for a bargain stock, but its NAND memory products are in high demand in data centers, driving robust revenue and earnings growth, with a projected 332% year-over-year growth in Q4 of fiscal 2026.
- Market Supply-Demand Imbalance: The shortage of NAND memory and solid-state drives allows SanDisk to significantly raise product prices, with analysts forecasting a 116% revenue growth for fiscal 2027, trading at just 10 times fiscal 2027 earnings estimates, making it an attractive bargain stock.
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