Rocket Lab Stock Valuation Compared to SpaceX
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 16 2026
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Valuation Comparison: Rocket Lab's stock is considered more reasonably valued compared to SpaceX, indicating differing market expectations for future growth potential, which could influence investor choices and capital flows.
- Investment Recommendations: The Motley Fool's analyst team has identified ten best stocks for investors, notably excluding Rocket Lab, which may diminish its short-term investment appeal amid increasing market competition.
- Historical Returns: The Motley Fool's Stock Advisor has achieved an average return of 935% since inception, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 207%, highlighting the effectiveness of its stock selection strategy over the long term.
- Market Dynamics: As discussions around AI-driven trillionaires gain traction, investor focus on tech stocks may intensify, potentially impacting the market performance of companies like Rocket Lab.
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Analyst Views on RKLB
Wall Street analysts forecast RKLB stock price to fall
11 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 95.120
Low
63.00
Averages
86.89
High
120.00
Current: 95.120
Low
63.00
Averages
86.89
High
120.00
About RKLB
Rocket Lab Corporation is an end-to-end space company. The Company designs and manufactures small and medium-class rockets, spacecraft and spacecraft components, and related software and services to support the space economy. The Company delivers reliable launch services, satellite manufacture, spacecraft design services, spacecraft components, spacecraft manufacturing, and other spacecraft and on-orbit management solutions that make it easier to access space. Its Launch Services segment provides launch and launch-related services to customers on a dedicated mission or ride-share basis. Its Space Systems segment comprises the design and manufacture of spacecraft components and spacecraft program management services, space data applications, and mission operations. Its space systems solutions are the building blocks for spacecraft, which include composite structures, reaction wheels, star trackers, solar solutions, radios, separation systems, and command and control spacecraft software.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Comparative Investment Analysis: SpaceX vs Rocket Lab
- Market Valuation Comparison: SpaceX boasts a market cap of approximately $2 trillion, making it one of the most valuable stocks globally, and despite incurring over $4 billion in losses in Q1 2023, investor optimism remains high due to its substantial growth potential.
- Rocket Lab Financial Performance: With a market cap around $60 billion, Rocket Lab reported losses of $183 million over the past 12 months, yet its quarterly revenue hit a record of over $200 million, reflecting a robust year-over-year growth of nearly 64%.
- Technological Innovation and Market Opportunities: Rocket Lab plans to launch its larger Neutron rocket later this year, capable of carrying payloads up to 13,000 kg to low Earth orbit, which could significantly enhance its market opportunities and competitive edge.
- Investor Interest and Risk Assessment: While SpaceX trades at a high valuation of 100 times revenue compared to Rocket Lab's 80 times, investors must weigh profitability and market potential, with SpaceX's diversified business model and Elon Musk's leadership making it a more attractive option.
See More
Comparing Investment Prospects of SpaceX and Rocket Lab
- Market Value Comparison: SpaceX boasts a market cap of approximately $2 trillion, making it one of the most valuable stocks globally, while Rocket Lab's market cap stands at only $60 billion, highlighting a significant disparity in market scale.
- Growth Potential Analysis: Despite incurring over $4 billion in losses in Q1 2023, SpaceX's expansion into artificial intelligence and interstellar communications continues to attract substantial investor interest, indicating a positive outlook for future growth.
- Rocket Lab's Financial Performance: Rocket Lab reported losses of $183 million over the past 12 months, but its latest quarterly revenue exceeded $200 million, marking a nearly 64% year-over-year growth, showcasing strong momentum.
- New Rocket Plans: Rocket Lab plans to launch its larger Neutron rocket, capable of carrying payloads up to 13,000 kg to low Earth orbit, and a successful launch could provide new growth opportunities for its stock, enhancing its competitive position in the market.
See More
Investment Opportunities in Defense Stocks: Rocket Lab and AeroVironment
- Rocket Lab's Rise: Rocket Lab signed a $190 million contract with the U.S. Department of Defense for 20 hypersonic test flights, highlighting its growing significance in the defense sector and likely boosting its market position and investor interest.
- New Rocket Launch: The upcoming Neutron rocket from Rocket Lab will enable satellite constellation deployments and support national security missions, enhancing product line diversity and potentially creating new revenue streams for the company.
- AeroVironment's Expansion: AeroVironment announced a $15 million expansion of its Ohio production facility to meet growing demand in the drone and autonomous vehicle sectors, demonstrating the company's confidence in future market opportunities.
- Strong Order Backlog: AeroVironment currently holds $1.1 billion in funded backlog and $3 billion in unfunded backlog, indicating robust demand for its defense solutions and expected revenue growth in the future.
See More
Rocket Lab and AeroVironment's Defense Opportunities
- Rocket Lab's Defense Opportunity: Rocket Lab signed a $190 million contract with the Department of Defense for 20 hypersonic test flights, highlighting its growing importance in the defense sector and potentially enhancing its market recognition and future revenue prospects.
- New Satellite Development Contract: The company secured a $90 million contract from the U.S. Space Force to develop two geostationary satellites aimed at enhancing U.S. space domain awareness, marking an expansion of Rocket Lab's role as a defense contractor.
- AeroVironment's Production Expansion: AeroVironment announced a $15 million expansion of its Ohio production facility, following $30 million and $20 million expansions in New Mexico and Alabama, respectively, demonstrating its commitment to meet the rising demand for drones.
- Strong Order Backlog: AeroVironment boasts a $1.1 billion funded backlog and an additional $3 billion unfunded backlog, indicating high demand for its defense solutions and expected revenue growth in the future.
See More
SpaceX's Strong First Trading Day Performance
- First Day Trading Performance: Space Exploration Technologies (SpaceX) recorded its first trade at $150 per share, $15 above the official IPO price, with the stock closing above $160 on its debut, indicating strong market demand despite many investors missing the initial price.
- Ongoing Profit Opportunities: Investors who missed the IPO price still had a chance to gain 20% on Day Two and another 10% on Day Three, reflecting sustained interest and confidence in SpaceX shares among market participants.
- Market Capitalization Fluctuation: SpaceX's valuation dropped from over $2.7 trillion to around $2 trillion within days, experiencing a 16% decline, yet it remains a leader in the space industry with significant market potential.
- Investment Choice Analysis: Investors can consider entering at the current price of $154, weighing SpaceX's market potential against its sales figures, or opt for alternatives like Rocket Lab and Nvidia, which offer more attractive valuations and profitability, showcasing the diverse options available in space investment.
See More
Analysis of SpaceX Stock Price Fluctuations
- First Day Trading Performance: SpaceX opened at $150 per share during its IPO, and despite most investors not being able to purchase at the official IPO price, it closed at $160 on the first day, indicating strong initial market demand.
- Price Fluctuation Overview: Following three days of price increases and subsequent declines, SpaceX's stock began to drop on the fourth day, closing at $155 on Monday, reflecting a 16% decrease from its peak and a reassessment of its market valuation.
- Market Valuation Changes: SpaceX's valuation plummeted from over $2.7 trillion to around $2 trillion within days, yet investors can still buy shares at nearly the opening price, showcasing differing opinions on its future potential.
- Investment Choice Recommendations: Analysts suggest that while considering SpaceX, investors might also look at alternatives like Rocket Lab and Nvidia, which offer more attractive profitability and valuation metrics, providing diversified investment options.
See More
Comparative Investment Analysis: SpaceX vs Rocket Lab
- Market Valuation Comparison: SpaceX boasts a market cap of approximately $2 trillion, making it one of the most valuable stocks globally, and despite incurring over $4 billion in losses in Q1 2023, investor optimism remains high due to its substantial growth potential.
- Rocket Lab Financial Performance: With a market cap around $60 billion, Rocket Lab reported losses of $183 million over the past 12 months, yet its quarterly revenue hit a record of over $200 million, reflecting a robust year-over-year growth of nearly 64%.
- Technological Innovation and Market Opportunities: Rocket Lab plans to launch its larger Neutron rocket later this year, capable of carrying payloads up to 13,000 kg to low Earth orbit, which could significantly enhance its market opportunities and competitive edge.
- Investor Interest and Risk Assessment: While SpaceX trades at a high valuation of 100 times revenue compared to Rocket Lab's 80 times, investors must weigh profitability and market potential, with SpaceX's diversified business model and Elon Musk's leadership making it a more attractive option.
See More
Comparing Investment Prospects of SpaceX and Rocket Lab
- Market Value Comparison: SpaceX boasts a market cap of approximately $2 trillion, making it one of the most valuable stocks globally, while Rocket Lab's market cap stands at only $60 billion, highlighting a significant disparity in market scale.
- Growth Potential Analysis: Despite incurring over $4 billion in losses in Q1 2023, SpaceX's expansion into artificial intelligence and interstellar communications continues to attract substantial investor interest, indicating a positive outlook for future growth.
- Rocket Lab's Financial Performance: Rocket Lab reported losses of $183 million over the past 12 months, but its latest quarterly revenue exceeded $200 million, marking a nearly 64% year-over-year growth, showcasing strong momentum.
- New Rocket Plans: Rocket Lab plans to launch its larger Neutron rocket, capable of carrying payloads up to 13,000 kg to low Earth orbit, and a successful launch could provide new growth opportunities for its stock, enhancing its competitive position in the market.
See More
Investment Opportunities in Defense Stocks: Rocket Lab and AeroVironment
- Rocket Lab's Rise: Rocket Lab signed a $190 million contract with the U.S. Department of Defense for 20 hypersonic test flights, highlighting its growing significance in the defense sector and likely boosting its market position and investor interest.
- New Rocket Launch: The upcoming Neutron rocket from Rocket Lab will enable satellite constellation deployments and support national security missions, enhancing product line diversity and potentially creating new revenue streams for the company.
- AeroVironment's Expansion: AeroVironment announced a $15 million expansion of its Ohio production facility to meet growing demand in the drone and autonomous vehicle sectors, demonstrating the company's confidence in future market opportunities.
- Strong Order Backlog: AeroVironment currently holds $1.1 billion in funded backlog and $3 billion in unfunded backlog, indicating robust demand for its defense solutions and expected revenue growth in the future.
See More
Rocket Lab and AeroVironment's Defense Opportunities
- Rocket Lab's Defense Opportunity: Rocket Lab signed a $190 million contract with the Department of Defense for 20 hypersonic test flights, highlighting its growing importance in the defense sector and potentially enhancing its market recognition and future revenue prospects.
- New Satellite Development Contract: The company secured a $90 million contract from the U.S. Space Force to develop two geostationary satellites aimed at enhancing U.S. space domain awareness, marking an expansion of Rocket Lab's role as a defense contractor.
- AeroVironment's Production Expansion: AeroVironment announced a $15 million expansion of its Ohio production facility, following $30 million and $20 million expansions in New Mexico and Alabama, respectively, demonstrating its commitment to meet the rising demand for drones.
- Strong Order Backlog: AeroVironment boasts a $1.1 billion funded backlog and an additional $3 billion unfunded backlog, indicating high demand for its defense solutions and expected revenue growth in the future.
See More
SpaceX's Strong First Trading Day Performance
- First Day Trading Performance: Space Exploration Technologies (SpaceX) recorded its first trade at $150 per share, $15 above the official IPO price, with the stock closing above $160 on its debut, indicating strong market demand despite many investors missing the initial price.
- Ongoing Profit Opportunities: Investors who missed the IPO price still had a chance to gain 20% on Day Two and another 10% on Day Three, reflecting sustained interest and confidence in SpaceX shares among market participants.
- Market Capitalization Fluctuation: SpaceX's valuation dropped from over $2.7 trillion to around $2 trillion within days, experiencing a 16% decline, yet it remains a leader in the space industry with significant market potential.
- Investment Choice Analysis: Investors can consider entering at the current price of $154, weighing SpaceX's market potential against its sales figures, or opt for alternatives like Rocket Lab and Nvidia, which offer more attractive valuations and profitability, showcasing the diverse options available in space investment.
See More
Analysis of SpaceX Stock Price Fluctuations
- First Day Trading Performance: SpaceX opened at $150 per share during its IPO, and despite most investors not being able to purchase at the official IPO price, it closed at $160 on the first day, indicating strong initial market demand.
- Price Fluctuation Overview: Following three days of price increases and subsequent declines, SpaceX's stock began to drop on the fourth day, closing at $155 on Monday, reflecting a 16% decrease from its peak and a reassessment of its market valuation.
- Market Valuation Changes: SpaceX's valuation plummeted from over $2.7 trillion to around $2 trillion within days, yet investors can still buy shares at nearly the opening price, showcasing differing opinions on its future potential.
- Investment Choice Recommendations: Analysts suggest that while considering SpaceX, investors might also look at alternatives like Rocket Lab and Nvidia, which offer more attractive profitability and valuation metrics, providing diversified investment options.
See More
