Robinhood Q1 Crypto Transaction Revenue Down 47%
Robinhood's weak crypto quarter is colliding with a louder pro‑bitcoin message from Washington, leaving traders to decide whether U.S. exchanges are in a temporary lull or the early stages of a policy driven pivot. At the same time, Visa's stablecoin buildout, fresh bitcoin treasury disclosures, and new mining and AI infrastructure deals are shifting how listed companies earn, hold, and service digital assets around the core bitcoin(BTC-USD)and ether(ETH-USD)trade. Stay up on the crypto news that matters with "Crypto Currents," daily from The Fly. Join us at 2 PM ET for your essential briefing on the fast-moving world of cryptocurrency on FlyCast radio.ROBINHOOD CRYPTO HIT:Robinhood(HOOD)reported Q1 crypto transaction revenue of $134M, down 47% vs. last year, helping pull total revenue to about $1.07B, compared to the roughly $1.14B expected. The stock fell around 10% in early trading as investors reassessed how much of Robinhood's earnings power still rides on episodic crypto volatility rather than steadier brokerage lines.WHITE HOUSE CLARITY PUSH:White House crypto adviser Patrick Witt told the Bitcoin 2026 conference that digital assets will "take off like a rocket ship" once the CLARITY Act passes and hinted at a "big announcement" on a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, according toBSC News in a post made to X..VISA STABLECOIN BUILD:Visa(V)said in a company press release that it has expanded its stablecoin settlement pilot to nine blockchains, adding Arc, Base, Canton, Polygon, and Tempo and citing a $7B annualized settlement run rate, up 50% quarter over quarter. The release highlights Base, Coinbase's layer two network, as one of the additions, underscoring how incumbent card networks are leaning on exchange infrastructure as they push tokenized settlement into mainstream flows.BITCOIN TREASURY MOVES:Next Technology Holding(NXTT)disclosed that it holds 5,833 bitcoin as part of a combined bitcoin treasury and AI software model. GD Culture Group(GDC)filed a prospectus supplement describing a 7,500 bitcoin reserve and board approval to sell tokens to help fund a $100M share repurchase program, effectively turning part of its digital asset stack into a buyback war chest.iPower(IPW)confirmed that collateral exceeds the roughly $3.69M balance on its convertible note and detailed an active bitcoin and ether treasury strategy with BitGo(BTGO)custody. Forum Markets(FRMM), formerly ETHZilla, repurchased and cancelled about 5.65M shares at an average price near $4.26, spending roughly $24.1M and cutting shares outstanding to around 14.65M as of April 28.MINER TO AI PIVOT:Z Squared(ZSQR)signed a binding letter of intent to acquire three North Carolina sites from Skycore Digital totaling 24 megawatts of energized capacity with a path to 42 megawatts, in an all stock deal with up to 22M of Series B preferred consideration and no cash. Separately, Riot Platforms(RIOT)disclosed in a regulatory filing, that it converted a $200M variable rate secured term loan from Coinbase Credit to a fixed rate and extended maturity by 364 days with an additional one year option, while keeping bitcoin, USD coin, and cash collateral at Coinbase Custody unchanged.ON CHAIN ETHER FLOWS:On-chain data shows Bitmine Immersion Technologies(BMNR)bought about 45,000 ether, roughly $103.5M, via over the counter trades through FalconX and BitGo over the past 48 hours, lifting its holdings to 5,078,386 ether, more than 5% of circulating supply.PRICE ACTION:As of time of writing, bitcoin was trading at $76,214.50, while ether was trading at$2,288.72,according to price data from TipRanks.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on HOOD
About HOOD
About the author

- Registration Emails Sent: The U.S. Department of the Treasury has dispatched the first wave of registration emails to parents participating in the Trump Accounts initiative, marking the official launch of a program aimed at enhancing children's savings awareness.
- Asset Management Trust: Robinhood's subsidiary, Robinhood Securities LLC, acts as the preliminary trustee, managing assets for young beneficiaries under fiduciary responsibility, thereby increasing parental trust in the platform.
- Seed Funding Support: Under the program, children born between 2025 and 2028 will receive a $1,000 seed deposit from the U.S. Treasury, with parents and relatives allowed to contribute up to $5,000 annually, facilitating long-term savings for minors.
- AI Technology Integration: Concurrently, Robinhood has launched Agentic Trading and Agentic Credit Card, enabling users to connect custom AI models to the platform, furthering the mission of democratizing finance and enhancing user experience and transaction efficiency.
- Platform Advantage: Analysts recommend Robinhood, Interactive Brokers, and Coinbase as top prediction market stocks due to their large user bases and platforms, which could accelerate adoption and enhance the credibility of new products.
- Market Potential: The importance of prediction markets as forecasting tools is increasing, with analysts believing the segment is still in its early stages, making widespread adoption crucial, and it may eventually become part of an all-in-one app.
- Competitive Edge: Caffital Research highlights DraftKings and Flutter Entertainment's entry into prediction markets, leveraging their brand recognition and previous marketing investments to expand market reach, despite fierce competition in the current market narrative.
- Market Dynamics: Although the rise of prediction markets is seen as a potential headwind, analysts believe that the market launches of DraftKings and Flutter could serve as positive catalysts for stock price rebounds, as current declines do not reflect this potential.
- Robinhood Share Reduction: ARK sold 144,218 shares of Robinhood as the stock surged 11.15% to $94.30, representing about 0.19% of the ARKK fund, indicating a profit-taking strategy amid the market rally.
- Position Overview: Despite the sale, ARK still holds approximately 5.48 million shares of Robinhood worth around $465 million, reflecting substantial unrealized gains and confidence in the stock's future performance.
- Diversified Investments: On the same day, ARK increased its stake in Kratos Defense across three funds, demonstrating ongoing optimism in the defense sector while trimming positions in Teradyne and Intercontinental Exchange, indicating a flexible adjustment in its portfolio.
- Market Sentiment: Although ARK reduced its Robinhood holdings, retail sentiment around HOOD remains in the 'bullish' zone, suggesting that investor optimism could influence ARK's future investment decisions.
- Regulatory Approval: The CFTC has granted KalshiEX LLC the ability to list perpetual contracts tied to Bitcoin's spot price, marking the first approval for such contracts in the U.S., which is expected to drive the growth of the domestic digital asset derivatives market.
- Market Reaction: Following the CFTC's approval, shares of Coinbase and Robinhood rose by 4% and 11% respectively, indicating a positive market response to this new trading product, which may attract more investors to digital asset trading.
- Contract Features: Unlike traditional futures, perpetual contracts have no expiration date, allowing investors to hold positions indefinitely; this flexibility has been widely accepted in global crypto markets and is expected to enhance capital allocation and risk management for American businesses.
- Industry Outlook: Kalshi's CEO stated that this approval will transform Kalshi from a prediction market leader into a next-gen derivatives exchange, and combined with Coinbase's expansion plans, signals significant growth potential for the U.S. digital asset derivatives market.
- Significant Price Surge: Robinhood Markets' stock rose by 11.15% to close at $94.30, reflecting investor enthusiasm following regulatory approval for U.S. perpetual futures trading, indicating strong market performance.
- Volume Spike: Trading volume reached 63.6 million shares, approximately 122% above the three-month average of 28.6 million shares, suggesting a notable increase in investor interest that could drive future market activity.
- Analyst Optimism: Mizuho raised its price target for Robinhood from $110 to $115, while Citizens reiterated its 'market outperform' rating with a $155 target, showcasing analysts' confidence in the company's growth prospects.
- User Base Expansion: Robinhood is actively working to grow its user base and reduce reliance on crypto trading, with the recent introduction of AI agent connectivity for trades potentially enhancing market performance in the coming years.
- Stock Surge: Robinhood Markets closed at $94.30 on Friday, marking an 11.15% increase, driven by investor optimism following regulatory approval for U.S. perpetual futures trading, which could enhance its market position.
- Volume Spike: The trading volume reached 63.6 million shares, approximately 122% above the three-month average of 28.6 million shares, indicating strong market interest that may further propel the stock price upward.
- Analyst Upgrades: Mizuho raised its price target for Robinhood from $110 to $115, while Citizens reiterated its 'market outperform' rating with a $155 target, reflecting increased analyst confidence in the company's growth prospects.
- User Growth Potential: Robinhood is focusing on expanding its user base and reducing reliance on crypto trading; despite being a volatile investment, this strategic shift could help it outperform the market in the coming years.











