Rio Tinto Reports Strong Financial Growth in 2025
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy RIO?
Source: Businesswire
- Safety First: CEO Simon Trott emphasized that safety remains Rio Tinto's highest priority, as the company commits to thoroughly investigating the tragic death of a colleague at the Simandou project last weekend to enhance future safety measures.
- Production Growth: In 2025, Rio Tinto achieved an 8% increase in copper equivalent (CuEq) production, primarily driven by the ongoing ramp-up of the Oyu Tolgoi underground copper mine and record iron ore production from its Pilbara operations since April, showcasing the company's robust operational performance in resource extraction.
- Financial Performance: The company reported a 9% rise in underlying EBITDA to $25.4 billion for 2025, with operating cash flow reaching $16.8 billion, reflecting successful cost control and a diversified portfolio, which further solidifies its financial stability.
- Sustained Dividends: Rio Tinto maintained a 60% payout ratio with a $6.5 billion ordinary dividend, marking the tenth consecutive year at the top end of its dividend range, demonstrating the company's strong cash flow and solid balance sheet.
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Analyst Views on RIO
Wall Street analysts forecast RIO stock price to fall
6 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 96.880
Low
68.00
Averages
83.70
High
129.50
Current: 96.880
Low
68.00
Averages
83.70
High
129.50
About RIO
Rio Tinto plc is a United Kingdom-based mining and materials company. It operates in over 35 countries, and its portfolio includes iron ore, copper, aluminum and a range of other minerals and materials. Its segments include Iron Ore, Aluminum, Copper, and Minerals. The Iron Ore segment includes iron ore mining and salt and gypsum production in Western Australia. Its iron ore operations in Pilbara comprise an integrated network of over 18 iron ore mines and four independent port terminals. The Aluminum segment includes bauxite mining, alumina refining, and aluminum smelting and recycling. The Copper segment includes mining and refining of copper, gold, silver, molybdenum, other by-products and licensing of extraction technologies. The Minerals segment includes mining and processing of borates, diamonds, iron concentrate and pellets from the Iron Ore Company of Canada, lithium and titanium dioxide feedstock.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Safety First: CEO Simon Trott emphasized that safety remains Rio Tinto's highest priority, as the company commits to thoroughly investigating the tragic death of a colleague at the Simandou project last weekend to enhance future safety measures.
- Production Growth: In 2025, Rio Tinto achieved an 8% increase in copper equivalent (CuEq) production, primarily driven by the ongoing ramp-up of the Oyu Tolgoi underground copper mine and record iron ore production from its Pilbara operations since April, showcasing the company's robust operational performance in resource extraction.
- Financial Performance: The company reported a 9% rise in underlying EBITDA to $25.4 billion for 2025, with operating cash flow reaching $16.8 billion, reflecting successful cost control and a diversified portfolio, which further solidifies its financial stability.
- Sustained Dividends: Rio Tinto maintained a 60% payout ratio with a $6.5 billion ordinary dividend, marking the tenth consecutive year at the top end of its dividend range, demonstrating the company's strong cash flow and solid balance sheet.
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- Majority Stake Acquisition: Rio Tinto's stock rose 2.9% on Wednesday after announcing it has taken a 53.9% stake in Nemaska Lithium, aiming to establish a fully integrated lithium supply chain from ore mining to chemical processing, with financial terms undisclosed.
- Provincial Government Investment: The Quebec provincial government owns 46.1% of Nemaska Lithium and plans to invest up to $200 million through share subscriptions, further supporting the company's growth initiatives.
- Future Investment Plans: Rio Tinto intends to invest over $300 million in 2026 to continue developing its lithium business in Quebec, including the Galaxy hard rock lithium project in the James Bay region, which is expected to have a lifespan of 15 to 20 years.
- Acquisition Context: Following its acquisition of Arcadium Lithium in March 2025, Rio Tinto secured a 50% interest in Nemaska, which includes a lithium hydroxide plant in Bécancour and the Whabouchi spodumene mine located in Quebec's Eeyou Istchee James Bay region.
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- Earnings Beat: Rio Tinto's FY Non-GAAP EPS of $6.69 surpasses expectations by $0.04, indicating robust profitability despite market fluctuations.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company reports annual revenue of $57.64 billion, a 7.4% year-over-year increase, exceeding market expectations by $1.33 billion, reflecting strong performance in the global mining sector.
- Strong Cash Flow: With operating cash flow of $16.8 billion, Rio Tinto demonstrates significant progress in cost management and efficiency improvements, enhancing its financial flexibility.
- Robust EBITDA: The underlying EBITDA stands at $25.4 billion, showcasing the profitability of its core operations, providing a solid foundation for future investments despite external challenges.
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- Stock Fluctuation: Vale (VALE) closed at $15.90 on Tuesday, down 1.30%, reflecting overall market sentiment towards iron ore and metals, with investors focusing on commodity prices and capital return plans.
- Surge in Trading Volume: The company saw a trading volume of 56.6 million shares, approximately 50% above its three-month average of 37.7 million shares, indicating increased market interest in its stock.
- Performance Growth: Despite the stock decline, Vale's fourth-quarter results showed increased volumes of iron ore, copper, and nickel, with year-over-year EBITDA rising 17% to $4.8 billion, indicating robust fundamentals.
- Market Dynamics: Ongoing discussions between Rio Tinto and BHP regarding potential collaboration in Pilbara iron ore may affect global pricing, impacting Vale's margins, prompting investors to monitor iron ore price stability and trends in Chinese steel demand.
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- Geographical Uniqueness: Australia is the only country that occupies an entire continent, ranking sixth globally, and claims approximately 40% of Antarctica; if recognized, it would become the second-largest country by territory, highlighting its potential influence in international geopolitics.
- Population Dynamics: With a population of approximately 27.6 to 28.3 million, projected to reach 30 million by 2030, and driven by 60% migration, particularly from Asia, this reflects an increasingly diverse demographic structure that fuels economic growth.
- Economic Overview: Australia ranks 15th globally with a nominal GDP of about $1.8 trillion and $1.9 trillion by purchasing power parity, with the service sector contributing 70-75% of GDP, showcasing its service-oriented economic structure that enhances competitiveness in the global economy.
- Mineral Wealth and Exports: As the world's leading iron ore exporter with about 30% of global uranium reserves, Australia is actively developing rare earth production capacity, committing AUD 1.2 billion by 2026 to establish a Critical Minerals Strategic Reserve, aimed at securing supply chains for high-tech and renewable energy sectors.
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- Production Suspension: Rio Tinto has suspended operations at its Simandou iron ore mine in Guinea following the death of a contractor, which, despite the lack of details regarding the cause, could adversely affect the company's future output and reputation.
- Investigation Launched: The company announced an investigation into the February 14 incident, a decision that may delay the resumption of production and impact its target of 5-6 million metric tons of ore sales per year by 2026.
- Joint Venture Termination: Arizona Sonoran Copper and Rio Tinto-backed Nuton mutually agreed to terminate their joint venture on the Cactus copper project, with Arizona Sonoran set to pay $15 million immediately and another $5 million within a year, plus potentially $15 million more if a change of control occurs.
- Market Reaction: Rio Tinto's stock fell 1.9% in Tuesday's trading, reflecting market concerns over the production halt and project changes, which could negatively impact the company's future financial performance.
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