Management Insights: Rigetti Computing's CEO highlighted strong demand for quantum computers and outlined a roadmap for delivering systems with increasing qubit counts and fidelity, aiming for a 1,000-plus qubit system by 2027.
Financial Performance: The company reported Q3 2025 revenues of $1.9 million, down from $2.4 million in Q3 2024, with gross margins significantly lower at 21%, attributed to contract pricing variability and the expiration of government funding.
Future Outlook: Rigetti expects revenue growth from recent contracts and system sales, while maintaining focus on achieving higher fidelity and error correction to reach quantum advantage between 2027 and 2029.
Risks and Challenges: Management acknowledged potential impacts from the pending reauthorization of the National Quantum Initiative and the need for significant capital expenditures for future upgrades, while also addressing feedback from DARPA on technical challenges.
Wall Street analysts forecast RGTI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RGTI is 39.75 USD with a low forecast of 30.00 USD and a high forecast of 51.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
10 Analyst Rating
Wall Street analysts forecast RGTI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for RGTI is 39.75 USD with a low forecast of 30.00 USD and a high forecast of 51.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
7 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 24.960
Low
30.00
Averages
39.75
High
51.00
Current: 24.960
Low
30.00
Averages
39.75
High
51.00
B. Riley
Craig Ellis
Neutral -> Buy
upgrade
$35
2026-01-22
New
Reason
B. Riley
Craig Ellis
Price Target
$35
AI Analysis
2026-01-22
New
upgrade
Neutral -> Buy
Reason
B. Riley analyst Craig Ellis upgraded Rigetti Computing to Buy from Neutral with an unchanged price target of $35. The firm cites valuation for the upgrade and remains encouraged with Rigetti's near-term commercial trajectory. It sees greater visibility into the company's 2026 estimates following the India C-DAC order. B. Riley now has a more constructive 12-month stance on the shares.
Wedbush
Outperform
initiated
$35
2025-12-17
Reason
Wedbush
Price Target
$35
2025-12-17
initiated
Outperform
Reason
Wedbush initiated coverage of Rigetti Computing with an Outperform rating and $35 price target. With over a decade of experience in quantum computing research and development and as one of the current leaders in the superconducting qubit modality, the firm believes Rigetti is well positioned to benefit from the long-term growth in the quantum hardware addressable market. The superconducting qubits modality currently offers the broadest range of actively explored quantum computing use cases due to the rapid progress and industry momentum, and the large amounts of funding invested in this modality by some of the world's largest companies as well as the Government of China, Wedbush adds.
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Jefferies
Hold
initiated
$30
2025-12-16
Reason
Jefferies
Price Target
$30
2025-12-16
initiated
Hold
Reason
Jefferies initiated coverage of Rigetti Computing with a Hold rating and $30 price target. The company will benefit from early-cycle quantum tailwinds, but the stock is balanced by execution and revenue mix risks, the analyst tells investors in a research note. The firm says Rigetti's credibility from past roadmap slips require sustained delivery while its revenue remains heavily government-dependent, which hinders near-term visibility.
Mizuho
Vijay Rakesh
Outperform
initiated
$50
2025-12-11
Reason
Mizuho
Vijay Rakesh
Price Target
$50
2025-12-11
initiated
Outperform
Reason
Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh initiated coverage of Rigetti Computing with an Outperform rating and $50 price target. The firm sees the company scaling with $450M in cash, equivalents, and investments on hand. This could be sufficient to operate through at least 2030, the analyst tells investors in a research note. Mizuho says Rigetti is the closest scalable superconducting quantum computing peer to IBM and Google.
About RGTI
Rigetti Computing, Inc. is a full-stack quantum computing company. The Company operates quantum computers over the cloud and serves global enterprise, government, and research clients through its Rigetti Quantum Cloud Services platform. The Company’s quantum-classical infrastructure provides high-performance integration with public and private clouds for practical quantum computing. It has developed a multi-chip quantum processor for scalable quantum computing systems. Through the Company’s Quantum Computing as a Service (QCaaS) platform, its machines can be integrated into any public, private or hybrid cloud. It is also engaged in the sale of quantum processing units (QPUs) and custom computing components, and development contracts and other services. Its QPUs contain fabricated silicon-based chips featuring superconducting qubits. The Company designs and manufactures its chips in-house at Fab-1, an integrated quantum device manufacturing facility.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
