<Research>Citi: TINGYI (00322.HK) Continues to Lose Mkt Shrs; Rating Sell w/ TP $10.1
TINGYI's Performance: Citi's report highlights TINGYI's 3% YoY decline in sales for 1H25, significantly underperforming compared to U-PRESID CHINA's 11% growth, raising concerns about TINGYI's market share and revenue stability.
Investment Ratings: Citi maintains a preference for NONGFU SPRING and U-PRESID CHINA as top picks in the China F&B sector, while rating TINGYI as a sell with a target price of HKD 10.1.
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Stock Performance: Several stocks experienced declines, with CATL dropping 3.44% and BABA-W down 1.57%, while some stocks like WUXI APPTEC and Luckin Coffee saw gains.
Short Selling Activity: High short selling ratios were noted for multiple companies, including NETEASE MUSIC at 32.83% and SHENZHOU INTL at 34.31%, indicating significant bearish sentiment.
Market Predictions: Analysts from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley provided forecasts, predicting weak construction activity in China's housing market and potential upside for metal stocks driven by ESS demand.
Overall Market Trends: The overall market showed mixed results, with some stocks facing pressure while others managed to gain, reflecting a volatile trading environment.

China's Economic Transition: Under the "15th Five-Year Plan," China is shifting towards an AI and high-tech manufacturing era, focusing on private enterprise and presenting significant growth opportunities, as highlighted by a Jefferies research report.
Investment Themes for 2026: Jefferies identified five key investment themes for 2026, including high-growth technology stocks, companies with upwardly revised earnings forecasts, and those with sustainable yields and buyback programs.
Recommended Stocks: The report suggests various Hong Kong-listed companies for investment, such as TENCENT, ICBC, and WUXI APPTEC, based on their growth potential and financial metrics.
Focus on A-Shares and ROIC: Attention is also directed towards A-shares that may list in Hong Kong and stocks with high Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), while advising against those whose ROIC has peaked.

Financial Performance: U-PRESID CHINA reported a net profit growth of 8% YoY to RMB726 million in 3Q25, falling short of market expectations for double-digit growth, with revenue remaining flat YoY.
Segment Performance: The food segment experienced low- to mid-single-digit growth, while the beverage segment saw a decline, highlighting ongoing challenges in the competitive landscape.
OEM Business Growth: The OEM business achieved triple-digit growth, indicating potential despite the company's struggles with competition and execution risks related to its growth strategy.
Analyst Ratings and Valuation: CLSA and G Sachs have lowered their target prices for U-PRESID CHINA, maintaining a Neutral rating, while the company's dividend yield of 6.5% is noted as increasingly attractive amidst a reasonable risk-reward valuation.
Stock Performance: Various Hong Kong stocks showed mixed performance, with CCB and CNOOC experiencing gains, while HSBC and SITC saw declines.
Short Selling Data: Significant short selling activity was noted across multiple stocks, with PetroChina having the highest short selling ratio at 31.571%.
Projected Dividend Yields: The projected dividend yields for the listed stocks range from 5.3% to 8.1%, indicating potential returns for investors.
Related News: BOCI has raised PetroChina's target price to HKD8.83 following a strong performance in their 3Q earnings report.
Sales Growth and Market Expectations: U-PRESID CHINA experienced a slowdown in its 3Q25 sales growth, remaining flat year-over-year, which aligns with market expectations amid increased competition and subsidies from food delivery platforms.
Management's Sales Target: Despite ongoing pressure on its beverage business, U-PRESID CHINA's management has maintained its full-year sales growth target at 6-8%.
Profit Performance: The company's post-tax profit for the first three quarters of 2025 surged by 23.1% year-over-year, reaching RMB2.01 billion.
Target Price Adjustment: CLSA has reduced its target price for U-PRESID CHINA from HKD10.5 to HKD10, while still maintaining an Outperform rating.

Company Performance: U-PRESID CHINA reported a 23.1% year-on-year increase in its unaudited post-tax profit for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, reaching RMB2.01 billion.
Stock Information: The company's stock (00220.HK) experienced a slight increase of 0.336%, with a short selling amount of $3.28 million and a short selling ratio of 7.428%.








