Rare Earths Market Fluctuates: Stock Prices Plummet as Export Restrictions Ease
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 27 2025
0mins
Source: Benzinga
Market Reaction to China’s Export Controls: Rare earth and critical mineral stocks fell sharply due to expectations that China may pause its export control measures, with significant declines in companies like MP Materials and USA Rare Earth.
U.S.-China Trade Deal Developments: Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced that a trade deal has been drafted between the U.S. and China, potentially averting the threat of 100% tariffs on Chinese imports set for November 1.
Temporary Easing of Export Restrictions: Reports indicate that Chinese regulators may temporarily ease enforcement of export restrictions, leading to a pullback in rare-earth mining stocks, although this may not resolve underlying tensions in resource management.
Future Market Implications: While a pause in China's export controls may alleviate immediate market concerns, ongoing demand for EVs and renewable energy could strain supply chains, benefiting domestic producers as the U.S. invests in mining and processing initiatives.
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Analyst Views on UAMY
Wall Street analysts forecast UAMY stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for UAMY is 10.00 USD with a low forecast of 9.75 USD and a high forecast of 10.25 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
3 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 8.290
Low
9.75
Averages
10.00
High
10.25
Current: 8.290
Low
9.75
Averages
10.00
High
10.25
About UAMY
United States Antimony Corporation is engaged in the production and sale of antimony, precious metals, primarily gold and silver, and zeolite products. The Company has two reportable segments: antimony and zeolite. Its antimony segment consists of its facility located in the Burns Mining District of Sanders County in Montana that processes ore primarily into antimony oxide, antimony metal, antimony trisulfide, and precious metals, and its two facilities in its US Antimony de Mexico, S.A. de C.V. (USAMSA) subsidiary located in Mexico that process ore primarily into antimony metal and a lower grade of antimony oxide. Its zeolite segment includes its vertically integrated Bear River Zeolite (BRZ) facility located in Preston, Idaho that mines, processes, and sells zeolite. Its zeolite has been used in soil amendment and fertilizer, water filtration, and sewage treatment. The Company also operates Fostung Tungsten Property located near Sudbury, Ontario, Canada, near the town of Espanola.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Trump Administration Abandons Mining Price Support Plan
- Withdrawal of Price Support: The Trump administration has abandoned the price support plan for U.S. critical mining projects due to limited congressional funding, meaning future projects will need to secure financing independently, which could hinder competitiveness in the mining sector.
- Reducing Reliance on China: This decision contradicts the administration's strategy to reduce dependence on Chinese rare-earth production, which is crucial for defense, electronics, and clean energy technologies, as the lack of price guarantees poses greater challenges for U.S. projects.
- Technical Analysis: Despite a short-term decline of 18.23% to $13.96, the long-term trend remains bullish, with the 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day moving average, indicating a strong upward trajectory with a 78.06% gain over the past year.
- Market Caution Signals: Currently, CRML's stock is at 42.2% of its 52-week range, closer to highs than lows, suggesting a relatively strong position; however, the absence of clear support and resistance levels necessitates vigilance for potential reversal signals.
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Trump Administration's Policy Shift on Rare Earths Shakes Market
- Policy Shift Impact: The Trump administration informed industry leaders that future rare earth projects must demonstrate “financial independence” without federal price supports, marking a significant reversal from last year's aggressive rhetoric, which could undermine the competitiveness of the U.S. rare earth supply chain.
- Market Reaction: The news triggered a steep sell-off in rare earth and critical minerals stocks, with companies like MP Materials and U.S. Antimony experiencing significant declines, reflecting strong market concerns over policy uncertainty that may affect investor confidence.
- Industry Pushback: MP Materials labeled the report as “fake news” on social media, emphasizing that its existing government contract, which includes a price floor of $110/kg, remains intact, demonstrating the company's determination to counter misleading narratives and protect its interests.
- Clarification Controversy: Following the report's publication, Reuters edited the content, initially implying that existing agreements were being rescinded, later clarifying that the pivot applies only to future projects, raising questions among industry observers about the media's influence on market sentiment.
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