Opendoor Expected to Report 45% Revenue Decline in Q4
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy OPEN?
Source: stocktwits
- Revenue Decline Expected: Analysts forecast a 45% drop in Opendoor's Q4 revenue to $594 million, with an adjusted loss of $0.09 per share, marking a critical test for the company's future viability.
- Investor Sentiment Shifts: Despite challenges, retail investor sentiment turned bullish early Thursday, reflecting a focus on profitability metrics and 2026 guidance, although some users expressed concerns about the stock's future.
- Shareholder Accumulation Signals: Lennar Corp. increased its stake in Opendoor to 18.8 million shares, with Bank of America and Vanguard also boosting their holdings, indicating strong bullish sentiment despite the stock's over 50% decline from its peak.
- New Management Strategy: Under new CEO Kaz Nejatian, Opendoor is pivoting towards artificial intelligence and adjusting its business model, yet these changes have not significantly boosted stock performance, raising investor concerns about sustained profitability.
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Analyst Views on OPEN
Wall Street analysts forecast OPEN stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
2 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 4.330
Low
1.40
Averages
4.35
High
8.00
Current: 4.330
Low
1.40
Averages
4.35
High
8.00
About OPEN
Opendoor Technologies Inc. is an e-commerce platform for residential real estate transactions. By leveraging software, data science, product design and operations, the Company is engaged in building a technology platform for residential real estate that offers buyers and sellers a digital, on-demand experience. Its product offerings include Sell to Opendoor, List with Opendoor and Opendoor Marketplace. Sell to Opendoor enables sellers to utilize its core product offering to sell their home directly to it, and it resells the home to a home buyer. By selling to Opendoor, homeowners can avoid the stress of open houses, home repair coordination, overlapping mortgages, and the uncertainty that can come with listing a home on the open market. Its capital-light marketplace offering connects home sellers with both institutional and retail buyers, facilitating transactions without Opendoor taking ownership of the home. Its listing product is available in nearly all Opendoor markets.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Opendoor Q4 2025 Earnings Forecast Analysis
- Quarterly Revenue Expectations: Opendoor is projected to report Q4 revenues of $594.02 million based on seven analyst estimates, which represents a nearly 45% decline from $1.1 billion in the same period last year, reflecting challenges in a high-interest-rate environment and a cooled housing market.
- Loss Per Share Forecast: Analysts expect a loss per share of $0.11, an improvement from the $0.16 loss per share reported in the same quarter last year, indicating progress in cost management and operational efficiency despite ongoing market difficulties.
- Leadership Changes: In December 2025, Opendoor appointed Lucas Matheson as President and Christy Schwartz as CFO, aiming to accelerate growth with a new leadership team; Matheson brings extensive experience from Coinbase and Shopify, which could enhance strategic direction.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Retail chatter around Opendoor stock surged 336% on Stocktwits within 24 hours, with sentiment shifting from 'bearish' to 'bullish', indicating investor optimism ahead of earnings, although some users still predict disappointing results.
See More
Opendoor Expected to Report 45% Revenue Decline in Q4
- Revenue Decline Expected: Analysts forecast a 45% drop in Opendoor's Q4 revenue to $594 million, with an adjusted loss of $0.09 per share, marking a critical test for the company's future viability.
- Investor Sentiment Shifts: Despite challenges, retail investor sentiment turned bullish early Thursday, reflecting a focus on profitability metrics and 2026 guidance, although some users expressed concerns about the stock's future.
- Shareholder Accumulation Signals: Lennar Corp. increased its stake in Opendoor to 18.8 million shares, with Bank of America and Vanguard also boosting their holdings, indicating strong bullish sentiment despite the stock's over 50% decline from its peak.
- New Management Strategy: Under new CEO Kaz Nejatian, Opendoor is pivoting towards artificial intelligence and adjusting its business model, yet these changes have not significantly boosted stock performance, raising investor concerns about sustained profitability.
See More
Walmart Earnings Preview and Market Insights
- Walmart Earnings Expectations: Analysts anticipate that Walmart's fourth-quarter net sales will rise approximately 4%, with operating income potentially climbing as much as 11%, indicating a strong holiday performance that will further solidify its market dominance.
- Digital Growth Drivers: Strong pricing strategies and digital momentum are seen as key factors driving performance growth, while the advertising segment may also support gross margin improvements, showcasing Walmart's success in diversifying its revenue streams.
- Klarna Earnings Focus: Klarna is set to release its fourth-quarter and first annual report, with analysts expecting volume growth around 21% and revenue gains near 25%, which will be a crucial indicator of its ability to sustain growth amid intensifying competition in the payments market.
- Labor Market Data: Economists forecast that initial jobless claims for the week ending February 14 will reach 225,000, slightly down from the previous week, providing important insights into labor market health that could influence investor sentiment regarding economic outlook.
See More
Opendoor Technologies to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 19
- Earnings Announcement: Opendoor Technologies is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 19 after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at -$0.09 and revenue forecast at $594.02 million, reflecting a 45% year-over-year decline.
- Performance Expectations: Over the past year, Opendoor has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, indicating a degree of resilience amid market fluctuations.
- Market Reaction: Real estate tech stocks have surged amid Trump's housing relief initiatives, drawing investor attention to Opendoor's stock performance, which is viewed with cautious optimism regarding its future outlook.
- Investment Activity: SRx Health's recent investment in Opendoor's common stock signals market confidence in its long-term growth potential, despite current profitability pressures.
See More
Lennar's Stake in Opendoor Signals Confidence in Housing Market
- Significant Holdings: Lennar holds approximately 18.8 million shares and several series of tradable warrants in Opendoor, indicating a substantial bet on the stock and confidence in the digital, instant-offer home sales model.
- Positive Market Reaction: The support from Lennar, a major industry player, is interpreted by the market as reducing the risk of Lennar exiting its position, which naturally boosts Opendoor's share price and reflects investor optimism regarding housing demand.
- Earnings Outlook: Opendoor is set to report earnings on Thursday, with Wall Street expecting a loss of about 10 cents per share on quarterly revenue near $595 million; any signs of narrowing losses or stronger builder-channel growth could extend the stock's rally.
- Mixed Technical Signals: While Opendoor's stock is trading 12.4% below its 20-day SMA, it is 0.2% above its 200-day SMA, indicating a mix of short-term weakness and long-term bullish potential, reflecting market uncertainty about its near-term direction.
See More
Retail Giants Earnings Season Nears Conclusion
- Earnings Calendar: This week, several retail, energy, and tech giants are set to report earnings, with investors particularly focused on Medtronic, Energy Transfer, and HIVE, while Carvana's Q4 results are due after Wednesday's close.
- Carvana Earnings Expectations: Analysts forecast Carvana to report earnings of $1.10 per share on revenue of $5.26 billion, with strong year-over-year growth in retail units and gross profit per unit, although investor concerns linger over a recent short-seller report alleging accounting irregularities.
- Walmart Earnings Focus: Walmart is expected to report earnings on Thursday, with estimates of $0.72 per share and revenue of $190.24 billion, as investors will closely monitor the growth of high-margin segments and commentary on consumer health.
- Opendoor Earnings Outlook: Opendoor is set to release its Q4 results after Thursday's close, with investors looking for updates on its turnaround plans and progress towards profitability by 2026, particularly regarding improvements in gross margins and the success of its AI-driven “capital-light” platform.
See More
Opendoor Q4 2025 Earnings Forecast Analysis
- Quarterly Revenue Expectations: Opendoor is projected to report Q4 revenues of $594.02 million based on seven analyst estimates, which represents a nearly 45% decline from $1.1 billion in the same period last year, reflecting challenges in a high-interest-rate environment and a cooled housing market.
- Loss Per Share Forecast: Analysts expect a loss per share of $0.11, an improvement from the $0.16 loss per share reported in the same quarter last year, indicating progress in cost management and operational efficiency despite ongoing market difficulties.
- Leadership Changes: In December 2025, Opendoor appointed Lucas Matheson as President and Christy Schwartz as CFO, aiming to accelerate growth with a new leadership team; Matheson brings extensive experience from Coinbase and Shopify, which could enhance strategic direction.
- Market Sentiment Shift: Retail chatter around Opendoor stock surged 336% on Stocktwits within 24 hours, with sentiment shifting from 'bearish' to 'bullish', indicating investor optimism ahead of earnings, although some users still predict disappointing results.
See More
Opendoor Expected to Report 45% Revenue Decline in Q4
- Revenue Decline Expected: Analysts forecast a 45% drop in Opendoor's Q4 revenue to $594 million, with an adjusted loss of $0.09 per share, marking a critical test for the company's future viability.
- Investor Sentiment Shifts: Despite challenges, retail investor sentiment turned bullish early Thursday, reflecting a focus on profitability metrics and 2026 guidance, although some users expressed concerns about the stock's future.
- Shareholder Accumulation Signals: Lennar Corp. increased its stake in Opendoor to 18.8 million shares, with Bank of America and Vanguard also boosting their holdings, indicating strong bullish sentiment despite the stock's over 50% decline from its peak.
- New Management Strategy: Under new CEO Kaz Nejatian, Opendoor is pivoting towards artificial intelligence and adjusting its business model, yet these changes have not significantly boosted stock performance, raising investor concerns about sustained profitability.
See More
Walmart Earnings Preview and Market Insights
- Walmart Earnings Expectations: Analysts anticipate that Walmart's fourth-quarter net sales will rise approximately 4%, with operating income potentially climbing as much as 11%, indicating a strong holiday performance that will further solidify its market dominance.
- Digital Growth Drivers: Strong pricing strategies and digital momentum are seen as key factors driving performance growth, while the advertising segment may also support gross margin improvements, showcasing Walmart's success in diversifying its revenue streams.
- Klarna Earnings Focus: Klarna is set to release its fourth-quarter and first annual report, with analysts expecting volume growth around 21% and revenue gains near 25%, which will be a crucial indicator of its ability to sustain growth amid intensifying competition in the payments market.
- Labor Market Data: Economists forecast that initial jobless claims for the week ending February 14 will reach 225,000, slightly down from the previous week, providing important insights into labor market health that could influence investor sentiment regarding economic outlook.
See More
Opendoor Technologies to Announce Q4 Earnings on February 19
- Earnings Announcement: Opendoor Technologies is set to release its Q4 earnings on February 19 after market close, with consensus EPS estimate at -$0.09 and revenue forecast at $594.02 million, reflecting a 45% year-over-year decline.
- Performance Expectations: Over the past year, Opendoor has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, indicating a degree of resilience amid market fluctuations.
- Market Reaction: Real estate tech stocks have surged amid Trump's housing relief initiatives, drawing investor attention to Opendoor's stock performance, which is viewed with cautious optimism regarding its future outlook.
- Investment Activity: SRx Health's recent investment in Opendoor's common stock signals market confidence in its long-term growth potential, despite current profitability pressures.
See More
Lennar's Stake in Opendoor Signals Confidence in Housing Market
- Significant Holdings: Lennar holds approximately 18.8 million shares and several series of tradable warrants in Opendoor, indicating a substantial bet on the stock and confidence in the digital, instant-offer home sales model.
- Positive Market Reaction: The support from Lennar, a major industry player, is interpreted by the market as reducing the risk of Lennar exiting its position, which naturally boosts Opendoor's share price and reflects investor optimism regarding housing demand.
- Earnings Outlook: Opendoor is set to report earnings on Thursday, with Wall Street expecting a loss of about 10 cents per share on quarterly revenue near $595 million; any signs of narrowing losses or stronger builder-channel growth could extend the stock's rally.
- Mixed Technical Signals: While Opendoor's stock is trading 12.4% below its 20-day SMA, it is 0.2% above its 200-day SMA, indicating a mix of short-term weakness and long-term bullish potential, reflecting market uncertainty about its near-term direction.
See More
Retail Giants Earnings Season Nears Conclusion
- Earnings Calendar: This week, several retail, energy, and tech giants are set to report earnings, with investors particularly focused on Medtronic, Energy Transfer, and HIVE, while Carvana's Q4 results are due after Wednesday's close.
- Carvana Earnings Expectations: Analysts forecast Carvana to report earnings of $1.10 per share on revenue of $5.26 billion, with strong year-over-year growth in retail units and gross profit per unit, although investor concerns linger over a recent short-seller report alleging accounting irregularities.
- Walmart Earnings Focus: Walmart is expected to report earnings on Thursday, with estimates of $0.72 per share and revenue of $190.24 billion, as investors will closely monitor the growth of high-margin segments and commentary on consumer health.
- Opendoor Earnings Outlook: Opendoor is set to release its Q4 results after Thursday's close, with investors looking for updates on its turnaround plans and progress towards profitability by 2026, particularly regarding improvements in gross margins and the success of its AI-driven “capital-light” platform.
See More
