Ondas Reports Strong Q1 Results, Raises Full-Year Guidance
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 32 minutes ago
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Should l Buy ONDS?
Source: stocktwits
- Significant Revenue Growth: Ondas reported Q1 revenue of $50.1 million, more than tenfold increase from last year, surpassing the market expectation of $39.4 million, indicating robust demand in unmanned systems and private wireless solutions.
- Raised Full-Year Guidance: The company raised its full-year revenue guidance from $375 million to at least $390 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $379.1 million, reflecting broad growth potential across its product portfolio.
- Profitability Outlook: Ondas' Autonomous Systems unit is now expected to achieve adjusted EBITDA profitability by Q1 2027, earlier than the previous Q3 2027 forecast, demonstrating strong positioning in the defense robotics market.
- Shift in Market Sentiment: Retail sentiment towards ONDS has shifted from neutral to extremely bullish, particularly with high message volumes on Stocktwits over the last 24 hours, indicating increased confidence in the company's future growth prospects.
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Analyst Views on ONDS
Wall Street analysts forecast ONDS stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 8.860
Low
13.00
Averages
17.50
High
25.00
Current: 8.860
Low
13.00
Averages
17.50
High
25.00
About ONDS
Ondas Inc. is a provider of autonomous systems, robotics, and mission-critical connectivity solutions for defense, security, and industrial markets. Through its business units, Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS), Ondas Capital and Ondas Networks, it develops and deploys integrated technologies that deliver advanced sensing, mobility, and communications capabilities. OAS delivers a portfolio of artificial-intelligence (AI)-powered defense and security platforms to protect sensitive sites, populations, and critical infrastructure. OAS also provides an integrated suite of autonomous aerial, ground, and counter-UAS solutions through its operating companies. It also provides Airborne Missile Protection Systems (AMPS) and airborne intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR) solutions for the military, government and others. It also specializes in the procurement, integration, and lifecycle support of heavy engineering equipment for military and national infrastructure programs.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Announcement Schedule: Ondas is set to release its Q1 2023 earnings report on May 14 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of -$0.06, indicating ongoing challenges in profitability.
- Revenue Surge Expected: The anticipated revenue of $39.36 million represents a staggering 826.1% year-over-year increase, reflecting significant improvements in market demand and product acceptance, which could positively impact stock performance.
- Market Focus: Despite the strong revenue growth, analysts express caution regarding Ondas's high uncertainty in future growth, suggesting a wait-and-see approach for investors, which may influence short-term investment decisions.
- Competitive Pressure: The U.S. faces significant challenges in the drone race, particularly due to China's dominance in the supply chain, which could pose threats to Ondas's market share and strategic development.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Ondas reported Q1 revenue of $50.1 million, more than tenfold increase from last year, surpassing the market expectation of $39.4 million, indicating robust demand in unmanned systems and private wireless solutions.
- Raised Full-Year Guidance: The company raised its full-year revenue guidance from $375 million to at least $390 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $379.1 million, reflecting broad growth potential across its product portfolio.
- Profitability Outlook: Ondas' Autonomous Systems unit is now expected to achieve adjusted EBITDA profitability by Q1 2027, earlier than the previous Q3 2027 forecast, demonstrating strong positioning in the defense robotics market.
- Shift in Market Sentiment: Retail sentiment towards ONDS has shifted from neutral to extremely bullish, particularly with high message volumes on Stocktwits over the last 24 hours, indicating increased confidence in the company's future growth prospects.
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- Drone Advantages: Drones are replacing traditional soldiers in reconnaissance and precision targeting at a low cost, providing wider visibility and faster maneuverability, thus reducing personnel risk and altering the economics of warfare.
- Combat Efficiency: The integration of drones has dramatically compressed the timeline between target detection and attack, with traditional methods taking minutes while drones can strike almost instantly, reflecting a trend towards real-time, data-driven warfare.
- Reshaping Traditional Roles: As drone capabilities expand, conventional roles such as snipers and artillery spotters are being reassessed, with many functions becoming less central or reconfigured to support drone operations, increasing risks for soldiers near enemy lines.
- Hybrid Combat Model: Despite the rapid rise of drones, military planners are not abandoning traditional capabilities entirely; instead, human expertise is being integrated with autonomous systems, with soldiers transitioning to roles as coordinators and support operators in an increasingly automated warfare landscape.
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- Record Backlog: Ondas's Q1 pro forma backlog reached $457 million, a substantial increase from $68.3 million at the end of 2025, driven by significant order activity and contributions from newly acquired companies, indicating strong future revenue potential.
- Profitability Ahead of Schedule: Product companies achieved positive EBITDA in Q1, six months ahead of targets, demonstrating success in cost control and operational efficiency, which enhances investor confidence in the company's financial health.
- Revenue Surge: Q1 revenue hit $50.12 million, reflecting a staggering 1079.3% year-over-year increase and surpassing market expectations by $10.76 million, showcasing robust demand in the unmanned and autonomous systems sector and successful organic growth.
- Upgraded Annual Revenue Target: Ondas raised its full-year 2026 revenue target to at least $390 million, up from a prior estimate of $375 million and exceeding consensus of $379.05 million, projecting approximately 670% year-over-year growth, underscoring the effectiveness of its strategic growth initiatives.
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- BlackRock Stake Increase: BlackRock reported holding over 9.3 million shares of Ondas, valued at approximately $84 million, signaling strong endorsement from one of the world's largest asset managers, likely attracting further institutional interest.
- J.P. Morgan Investment: J.P. Morgan established a sizable stake by purchasing nearly 7 million shares, with an estimated market value of about $56.6 million, further boosting market confidence in Ondas and potentially driving stock price increases.
- Backlog Growth: Ondas' backlog reached approximately $457 million by the end of Q1, with the Mistral acquisition alone contributing around $264 million, indicating ongoing expansion in defense-related operations and expected revenue growth.
- Retail Investor Sentiment Shift: Retail sentiment on Stocktwits shifted from neutral to bullish, with investors anticipating strong earnings results and potential new contracts, which could lead to significant stock price movements.
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- Scaled Production: Perennial Autonomy's partnership with Munich's Twentyfour Industries to manufacture the Merops counter-drone system in Germany highlights Europe's increasing demand for battle-tested defense technologies, which is expected to drive investment opportunities across defense supply chains.
- Significant Technological Edge: The Merops system utilizes a combination of radio frequency detection, radar, and heat tracking to identify and neutralize incoming drones at speeds exceeding 180 miles per hour (approximately 289.68 km/h), showcasing its critical role in modern warfare.
- Cost-Effectiveness: With unit costs estimated below $10,000 and potential further reductions with scale, this high-volume model could reshape traditional defense economics, attracting greater investor interest in the sector.
- Shifting Market Dynamics: The rapid integration of Ukrainian-developed technologies by European nations indicates an enhancement of their competitive edge in the defense industrial base, while the cautious approach of the U.S. may lead to a relative lag in the global defense market.
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