Peabody Energy (BTU) Offers October 31st Options
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Sep 11 2025
0mins
Should l Buy BTU?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Put Contract Analysis: The $18.00 put contract for BTU has a bid of $1.03, allowing investors to buy shares at $18.00 while effectively lowering their cost basis to $16.97. There is a 59% chance the contract may expire worthless, potentially yielding a 5.72% return on cash commitment.
Call Contract Overview: The $19.50 call contract has a bid of $0.85, offering a potential total return of 9.94% if the stock is called away at expiration. There is a 52% chance this contract may also expire worthless, allowing investors to retain both shares and premium, resulting in a 4.59% additional return.
Volatility Insights: Both the put and call contracts exhibit an implied volatility of approximately 75%, while the actual trailing twelve-month volatility is calculated at 57%.
YieldBoost Concept: The article discusses the concept of YieldBoost, highlighting the potential annualized returns from both the put and call contracts, which can significantly enhance investor returns.
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Analyst Views on BTU
Wall Street analysts forecast BTU stock price to fall
3 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 32.290
Low
29.00
Averages
31.67
High
34.00
Current: 32.290
Low
29.00
Averages
31.67
High
34.00
About BTU
Peabody Energy Corporation is a coal producer, providing essential products for the production of reliable energy and steel. The Company owns interests in coal mining operations located in the United States and Australia, including interests in Middlemount Coal Pty Ltd. The Company engages in the direct and brokered trading of coal and freight-related contracts. Its segments include Seaborne Thermal, Seaborne Metallurgical, Powder River Basin, Other U.S. Thermal, and Corporate and Other. The Seaborne Thermal operations consist of mines in New South Wales, Australia. The mines in that segment utilize both surface and underground extraction processes to mine low-sulfur, high Btu thermal coal. The Seaborne Metallurgical operations consist of mines in Queensland, Australia, one in New South Wales, Australia and one in Alabama, the United States. The Company owns the southern portion of the Wards Well tenement.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Accelerated Capital Deployment: Beard stated that the Energy Dominance Financing Office will dispense loans at a record pace, with around 80 active loan applications currently in the pipeline, covering both new projects and those reframed to meet the new administration's priorities, which is expected to drive future energy investments in the U.S.
- Nuclear Energy Focus: With support from the Trump administration, the EDF is prioritizing nuclear projects, planning to back up to 80% of project costs, aiming to quadruple U.S. nuclear capacity by 2050 to address challenges posed by climate change and rising electricity demand.
- Breaking China's Mineral Dominance: The EDF will focus on supporting projects that disrupt China's dominance in critical mineral supply chains, with Beard indicating a commitment to intervene and back initiatives that can interrupt China's strategic plans, thereby ensuring U.S. self-sufficiency in essential materials and enhancing national security.
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- Position Value Shift: As of the end of Q4 2025, the remaining position in Peabody Energy was valued at $18.11 million, reflecting a $10.83 million decline from the previous quarter, highlighting the impact of market fluctuations on its assets.
- Performance Overview: Peabody Energy reported $3.86 billion in revenue for 2025, despite a net loss of $52.9 million for the year; however, the fourth quarter saw an adjusted EBITDA of $118.1 million, showcasing strong performance particularly in the Powder River Basin.
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- Funding for Upgrades: The Department of Energy will provide $175 million to upgrade six coal plants in Kentucky, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, and West Virginia, which is anticipated to improve production efficiency and environmental standards at these facilities.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following Trump's signing of the order, Peabody Energy's stock rose 4.5% in after-hours trading, indicating optimistic market sentiment towards the revitalization of the coal industry, while other coal-related companies also saw stock price increases, reflecting investor confidence in policy support.
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See More
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- Positive Market Reaction: Following the announcement of the procurement plan, Peabody Energy's shares rose by 4% in after-hours trading, reflecting market optimism regarding the recovery of the coal industry.
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See More
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- Loan Review Overhaul: New Director Gregory Beard has conducted a comprehensive review of loans approved during the Biden administration, impacting over 80% of the portfolio, approximately $83.6 billion, aimed at ensuring projects align with Trump-era energy goals, thereby protecting taxpayer funds while enhancing project affordability and reliability.
- Accelerated Capital Deployment: Beard stated that the Energy Dominance Financing Office will dispense loans at a record pace, with around 80 active loan applications currently in the pipeline, covering both new projects and those reframed to meet the new administration's priorities, which is expected to drive future energy investments in the U.S.
- Nuclear Energy Focus: With support from the Trump administration, the EDF is prioritizing nuclear projects, planning to back up to 80% of project costs, aiming to quadruple U.S. nuclear capacity by 2050 to address challenges posed by climate change and rising electricity demand.
- Breaking China's Mineral Dominance: The EDF will focus on supporting projects that disrupt China's dominance in critical mineral supply chains, with Beard indicating a commitment to intervene and back initiatives that can interrupt China's strategic plans, thereby ensuring U.S. self-sufficiency in essential materials and enhancing national security.
See More
Gate City Capital Management Sells Peabody Energy Shares
- Share Reduction: Gate City Capital Management sold 481,537 shares of Peabody Energy in Q4 2025, with an estimated transaction value of $14.15 million, indicating a cautious approach to its holdings in the company.
- Position Value Shift: As of the end of Q4 2025, the remaining position in Peabody Energy was valued at $18.11 million, reflecting a $10.83 million decline from the previous quarter, highlighting the impact of market fluctuations on its assets.
- Performance Overview: Peabody Energy reported $3.86 billion in revenue for 2025, despite a net loss of $52.9 million for the year; however, the fourth quarter saw an adjusted EBITDA of $118.1 million, showcasing strong performance particularly in the Powder River Basin.
- Strategic Outlook: With the Centurion longwall mining project starting two months ahead of schedule and targeting 3.5 million tons in 2026, ramping up to 4.7 million tons annually, this significantly enhances its leverage in the premium metallurgical coal market.
See More
Trump Signs Executive Order for Coal Purchases
- Coal Procurement Directive: President Trump signed an executive order directing the Department of Defense to purchase electricity from coal-fired power plants, aiming to support the struggling coal industry and enhance national energy security through military procurement of significant coal supplies.
- Funding for Upgrades: The Energy Department will allocate $175 million to upgrade six coal plants across Kentucky, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, and West Virginia, aiming to improve operational efficiency and environmental compliance of these facilities.
- Closure Delay Announcement: The Tennessee Valley Authority announced plans to delay the closure of two older coal-fired plants in Tennessee, indicating government support for the coal industry, which may impact the future energy landscape.
- Industry Outlook Analysis: While coal generation rose approximately 13% year-over-year, the International Energy Agency projects that U.S. coal consumption will decline by 6% annually through 2030, reflecting a gradual shift towards renewable energy and natural gas alternatives.
See More
Trump Signs Executive Order to Revitalize Coal Industry
- Government Procurement Commitment: Trump signed an executive order committing the federal government to long-term electricity purchase agreements with coal plants to support U.S. military operations, which is expected to enhance market demand and stability for the coal industry.
- Funding for Upgrades: The Department of Energy will provide $175 million to upgrade six coal plants in Kentucky, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, and West Virginia, which is anticipated to improve production efficiency and environmental standards at these facilities.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following Trump's signing of the order, Peabody Energy's stock rose 4.5% in after-hours trading, indicating optimistic market sentiment towards the revitalization of the coal industry, while other coal-related companies also saw stock price increases, reflecting investor confidence in policy support.
- Environmental Controversy Intensifies: Despite Trump's efforts to revitalize the coal industry, environmental groups criticized the move as placing a financial burden on taxpayers for high-pollution power plants, potentially leading to increased energy costs in the future and raising social risks associated with policy implementation.
See More
Trump Orders Defense Department to Purchase Coal Power
- Coal Procurement Order: President Trump signed an executive order directing the Defense Department to secure long-term power purchase agreements with coal plants for military installations, which is expected to significantly boost market demand and stability for the coal industry.
- Industry Revival Plan: This order aims to revitalize the coal sector amid fierce competition from natural gas and renewable energy, with Trump reiterating the importance of coal to U.S. national and economic security.
- Positive Market Reaction: Following the announcement of the procurement plan, Peabody Energy's shares rose by 4% in after-hours trading, reflecting market optimism regarding the recovery of the coal industry.
- Funding Support Measures: Trump also directed the Department of Energy to provide funds to keep coal plants operational in West Virginia, Ohio, North Carolina, and Kentucky, further solidifying coal's position in the U.S. energy landscape.
See More
Peabody Energy Restarts Longwall Production at Centurion Mine
- Production Restart: Peabody Energy has restarted longwall production at its Centurion coking coal mine in Australia after an eight-year hiatus, marking a strategic return to the coal market with plans to produce 3.5 million tons of coking coal in 2026 and ramping up to 4.7 million tons annually by 2028.
- Historical Context: The Centurion mine, previously known as the North Goonyella mine, halted production in September 2018 due to a fire, and its restart is expected to significantly enhance the company's coal production capacity, addressing the growing market demand while reflecting confidence in coal as a vital U.S. energy asset.
- CEO Statement: Peabody's CEO James Grech emphasized during the earnings call that coal remains America's most valuable energy asset, with more energy in U.S. coal than any other nation has in a single energy source, surpassing Saudi Arabia's oil and Russia's natural gas, highlighting coal's critical role in future energy security.
- Market Outlook: The restart of the Centurion mine not only strengthens Peabody's competitive position in the market but also ensures future energy supply security, further solidifying its standing in the global coal industry.
See More
