Noteworthy SFM Put and Call Options Set for January 2028
Put Contract Overview: The $130.00 put contract for Sprouts Farmers Market Inc (SFM) has a bid of $23.80, allowing investors to buy shares at a cost basis of $106.20, which is attractive compared to the current price of $132.07. There is a 69% chance the contract may expire worthless, potentially yielding an 18.31% return on cash commitment.
Call Contract Overview: The $155.00 call contract has a bid of $25.00, offering a potential total return of 36.29% if the stock is called away by January 2028. There is a 43% chance this contract may also expire worthless, allowing investors to keep both their shares and the premium, resulting in an 18.93% additional return.
Volatility Insights: The implied volatility for the put contract is 41%, while for the call contract it is 39%. The actual trailing twelve-month volatility is calculated at 37%, providing context for the options' pricing.
YieldBoost Concept: The article discusses the concept of YieldBoost, which refers to the additional returns investors can achieve through options strategies, highlighting the potential benefits of both put and call contracts in the current market scenario.
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Analyst Views on SFM
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- Earnings Announcement: Sprouts Farmers Market is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 18, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.89, reflecting a 12.7% year-over-year growth, indicating potential improvement in profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $2.15 billion, representing a 7.5% year-over-year increase, which suggests the company is maintaining stable sales growth in a competitive market environment.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Sprouts Farmers Market has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, demonstrating reliability in financial forecasting and market confidence.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen one upward revision and four downward revisions, while revenue estimates have experienced no upward revisions and two downward revisions, reflecting a cautious market outlook on the company's future performance.
- Earnings Release Date: Sprouts Farmers Market is set to release its Q4 earnings after the market closes on February 19, with analysts expecting earnings per share to reach $0.89, an increase from $0.79 in the same quarter last year, indicating improved profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: Analysts project the company's Q4 revenue to hit $2.15 billion, up from $2 billion a year earlier, reflecting optimistic market expectations regarding its sales growth.
- Q3 Performance Issues: On October 29, Sprouts Farmers Market reported disappointing Q3 sales results and provided adjusted EPS guidance for Q4 that fell below market estimates, which may impact investor confidence.
- Stock Price Movement: As of Wednesday, Sprouts Farmers Market shares rose by 0.2% to close at $67.67, suggesting that despite sales challenges, the market remains cautiously optimistic about its future performance.
- Market Panic and Investment Opportunities: In 2026, many growth stocks have been hit hard as the market worries about AI's economic impact, creating potential buying opportunities for savvy investors looking beyond the next quarter.
- Nintendo's Growth Cycle: Since the launch of the Switch 2 in June 2025, Nintendo has sold 17 million units and expects to reach 19 million by the end of the fiscal year, driving nearly 100% year-over-year revenue growth, indicating strong market demand and future growth potential.
- Sprouts Farmers Market Sales Slowdown: Sprouts is guiding for same-store sales growth of only 0%-2% in Q4 2025, a significant drop from 11.5% in Q4 2024, yet the company continues to expand its store count, planning to enter new markets in the Northeast and Midwest.
- Valuation Appeal: With a P/E ratio of 13.3, Sprouts' stock, trading below $70, is seen as an attractive investment opportunity given its projected double-digit revenue growth over the next five years, making it suitable for long-term investors.
- Earnings Calendar: This week, several retail, energy, and tech giants are set to report earnings, with investors particularly focused on Medtronic, Energy Transfer, and HIVE, while Carvana's Q4 results are due after Wednesday's close.
- Carvana Earnings Expectations: Analysts forecast Carvana to report earnings of $1.10 per share on revenue of $5.26 billion, with strong year-over-year growth in retail units and gross profit per unit, although investor concerns linger over a recent short-seller report alleging accounting irregularities.
- Walmart Earnings Focus: Walmart is expected to report earnings on Thursday, with estimates of $0.72 per share and revenue of $190.24 billion, as investors will closely monitor the growth of high-margin segments and commentary on consumer health.
- Opendoor Earnings Outlook: Opendoor is set to release its Q4 results after Thursday's close, with investors looking for updates on its turnaround plans and progress towards profitability by 2026, particularly regarding improvements in gross margins and the success of its AI-driven “capital-light” platform.
- Stake Change: Promethos Capital sold 34,935 shares of Sprouts Farmers Market for an estimated value of $3.80 million, resulting in a 1.04% reduction in its reported assets under management, indicating a complete exit from the stock.
- Market Performance: As of February 13, 2026, Sprouts Farmers Market shares traded at $68.96, reflecting a 60.9% decline over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500 by 73 percentage points, highlighting its weak market position.
- Investment History: Promethos originally purchased Sprouts shares at approximately $48 each in Q4 2023 and sold about half of its holdings after the stock price more than doubled, demonstrating sensitivity to market volatility.
- Future Outlook: Despite Promethos's exit, Sprouts Farmers Market plans to expand to 1,400 locations over the next decade, with 70% of its products being attribute-driven, indicating a strong competitive differentiation in the market.









