Nebius Group Poised for 1000% Returns Over Next Decade
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 17 2026
0mins
Should l Buy NBIS?
Source: Fool
- Surging Annual Recurring Revenue: Nebius closed 2025 with $1.25 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR) and projects up to $9 billion for 2026, driven by its growing power contracts, particularly the $19.4 billion deal with Microsoft.
- Power Contract Expansion: The company anticipates having 3 gigawatts of contracted power by the end of 2026, having already secured over 2 gigawatts, which enables it to support nine additional deals like the Microsoft agreement, significantly enhancing its market competitiveness.
- Cash Reserves and Acquisitions: With $3.7 billion in cash, Nebius is well-positioned to accumulate more power and build additional data centers, while strategic acquisitions like Tavily will strengthen its software capabilities, further solidifying its market leadership.
- Industry Demand and Competitive Edge: As AI data centers face electricity shortages and a lack of skilled workers, Nebius is ahead of the competition with completed infrastructure and secured energy contracts, likely attracting more tech giants to sign expensive deals, paving the way for a potential tenfold stock return.
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Analyst Views on NBIS
Wall Street analysts forecast NBIS stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 101.950
Low
130.00
Averages
164.20
High
211.00
Current: 101.950
Low
130.00
Averages
164.20
High
211.00
About NBIS
Nebius Group NV is a Netherlands-based infrastructure company operating in the technology industry. The Company is engaged in developing a portfolio of artificial intelligence-related technology assets. It is involved in creating an artificial intelligence-centric player to integrate the essential elements of artificial intelligence development with infrastructure, data and advisory globally. It offers products and services such as a cloud platform for artificial intelligence-related workloads, development team services for autonomous vehicles, development of generative artificial intelligence. Nebius builds full-stack infrastructure to service the growth of the global AI industry, including GPU clusters, cloud platforms and tools and services for developers. Company is developing three other businesses that operate under their own brands: Toloka AI, TripleTen and Avride.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Nebius Group Partners with Nvidia for Early Technology Access
- Rapid Revenue Growth: Nebius Group reported a staggering 547% increase in total revenue and an 802% rise in its core AI business in Q4 2023, indicating strong market demand during its rapid expansion, with projected annual recurring revenue reaching $7 to $9 billion by 2026, significantly boosting investor confidence.
- Strategic Partnership with Nvidia: By securing a deal with Nvidia, Nebius gains early access to cutting-edge technology, providing its clients with a competitive edge and likely attracting more developers and AI hyperscalers to its platform, thereby accelerating market share growth.
- Market Potential and Risks: With a market value of approximately $25 billion, Nebius is still in the process of expanding its computing footprint and has yet to achieve profitability; however, its growth potential in the AI sector positions it as a multibagger stock, necessitating investor attention on the timing of its profitability transition.
- Elevating Industry Position: As a neocloud company focused on AI-first infrastructure, Nebius is emerging as a leader in the market with its full-stack solutions, and despite profitability challenges, its ongoing technological investments and market demand suggest promising growth opportunities ahead.
See More
Nebius: A Potential Giant in AI Investment
- Surging Market Demand: Nebius is set to expand its data center count from 2 in 2024 to 16 by 2026, reflecting strong demand for its AI computing capabilities, which is expected to drive significant growth in the coming years.
- Impressive Financial Performance: Nebius's core AI business saw a staggering 802% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4 2025, reaching $228 million, with an anticipated annual run rate of $7 billion to $9 billion by the end of 2025, showcasing its robust market performance.
- Strategic Partnerships: Nebius has formed crucial alliances with major AI tech firms like Nvidia, securing billions in investments and ensuring priority access to the latest AI computing equipment, which has attracted significant clients such as Meta and Microsoft.
- Huge Investment Potential: While Nebius is not currently prioritizing profitability, its rapid growth in AI computing demand suggests that if it can capture market share and achieve profitability, it could become a lucrative investment opportunity for investors.
See More
Nebius Forms Key Partnership with Nvidia
- Partnership Formation: Nebius has formed a significant partnership with Nvidia, the leader in AI computing units, with Nvidia investing several billion dollars into Nebius, enabling it to access the latest AI computing equipment and enhancing its market competitiveness.
- Rapid Expansion: Nebius operated two data center sites in 2024, with projections to increase to seven by the end of 2025 and 16 by the end of 2026, demonstrating its swift expansion to meet the growing demand for computing capacity from large tech companies, reflecting strong market demand for its offerings.
- Financial Growth: Nebius's core AI business saw a staggering 802% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4 2025, reaching $228 million, with expectations of an annual run rate of $7 billion to $9 billion by the end of 2026, significantly up from $1.25 billion at the end of 2025, showcasing its immense business potential.
- Market Outlook: Although Nebius is not currently prioritizing profitability, its rapid growth in AI computing demand suggests that if it can capture significant market share and achieve profitability, it could emerge as a future tech giant with substantial investment returns.
See More
Nebius Group: A Potential Multibagger Stock
- Rapid Growth: Nebius Group's total revenue surged by 547% in Q4 2023, with its core AI business skyrocketing by 802%, indicating strong performance in the emerging cloud computing market, and it expects annual revenue to reach $7 billion to $9 billion by 2026, significantly boosting investor confidence.
- Technological Advantage: The partnership with Nvidia allows Nebius to access the latest products faster than competitors, which not only attracts more clients but also enhances its market competitiveness, further driving the company's rapid expansion.
- Market Potential: With a current market value of approximately $25 billion, Nebius is not yet profitable; however, its investments in data center construction are viewed as a long-term strategy that is expected to lay the groundwork for future profitability, drawing attention from investors in the AI sector.
- Investment Risks: Despite Nebius's strong growth potential, its ongoing large-scale infrastructure investments may prevent it from achieving profitability in the short term, necessitating careful assessment of the risk-return balance for investors.
See More
Nebius Group Sees Surge in AI Data Center Demand
- Revenue Surge: Nebius Group's revenue skyrocketed by 479% last year to $530 million, reflecting strong demand in the AI data center market, with expectations for continued growth that will further solidify its market position.
- Major Contract Signings: The $17.4 billion five-year contract with Microsoft for dedicated GPU infrastructure is expected to significantly boost Nebius's growth, while a $3 billion contract with Meta Platforms further strengthens the company's revenue base.
- Future Growth Potential: Nebius's potential contract backlog has reached $46 billion, with management planning to achieve 800 to 1,000 megawatts of connected data center capacity by 2026, a substantial increase from 170 megawatts at the end of 2025, ensuring future demand is met.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Analysts project Nebius will generate cumulative revenue of $28 billion over the next three years, and despite fierce competition, its close partnership with Nvidia and ongoing customer demand will drive long-term growth.
See More
AI Infrastructure Investment Continues to Grow Amid Market Uncertainty
- Market Outlook Optimistic: According to Statista, global spending on AI infrastructure is projected to nearly triple to $902 billion by 2029, indicating that the current dip in tech stocks may just be a temporary pullback before another rise in the coming years.
- Dell Technologies Strong Performance: Despite a sluggish PC sales environment, Dell's infrastructure solutions business drove annual revenue to a record $113 billion, up 19%, with AI orders reaching $64 billion, showcasing robust market demand and future growth potential.
- Nebius Group Rapid Expansion: Nebius's AI cloud revenue surged 830% year-over-year last quarter, and its active power capacity has expanded tenfold in 18 months, although it still struggles to meet demand, leading to longer contracts and higher selling prices.
- Vertiv's Growth Potential: Vertiv's organic sales grew 26% last year to over $10 billion, with orders surging 81% and backlog hitting $15 billion, indicating a trend of customers locking in capacity early, with an expected organic sales growth of approximately 28% in 2026.
See More
Nebius Group Partners with Nvidia for Early Technology Access
- Rapid Revenue Growth: Nebius Group reported a staggering 547% increase in total revenue and an 802% rise in its core AI business in Q4 2023, indicating strong market demand during its rapid expansion, with projected annual recurring revenue reaching $7 to $9 billion by 2026, significantly boosting investor confidence.
- Strategic Partnership with Nvidia: By securing a deal with Nvidia, Nebius gains early access to cutting-edge technology, providing its clients with a competitive edge and likely attracting more developers and AI hyperscalers to its platform, thereby accelerating market share growth.
- Market Potential and Risks: With a market value of approximately $25 billion, Nebius is still in the process of expanding its computing footprint and has yet to achieve profitability; however, its growth potential in the AI sector positions it as a multibagger stock, necessitating investor attention on the timing of its profitability transition.
- Elevating Industry Position: As a neocloud company focused on AI-first infrastructure, Nebius is emerging as a leader in the market with its full-stack solutions, and despite profitability challenges, its ongoing technological investments and market demand suggest promising growth opportunities ahead.
See More
Nebius: A Potential Giant in AI Investment
- Surging Market Demand: Nebius is set to expand its data center count from 2 in 2024 to 16 by 2026, reflecting strong demand for its AI computing capabilities, which is expected to drive significant growth in the coming years.
- Impressive Financial Performance: Nebius's core AI business saw a staggering 802% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4 2025, reaching $228 million, with an anticipated annual run rate of $7 billion to $9 billion by the end of 2025, showcasing its robust market performance.
- Strategic Partnerships: Nebius has formed crucial alliances with major AI tech firms like Nvidia, securing billions in investments and ensuring priority access to the latest AI computing equipment, which has attracted significant clients such as Meta and Microsoft.
- Huge Investment Potential: While Nebius is not currently prioritizing profitability, its rapid growth in AI computing demand suggests that if it can capture market share and achieve profitability, it could become a lucrative investment opportunity for investors.
See More
Nebius Forms Key Partnership with Nvidia
- Partnership Formation: Nebius has formed a significant partnership with Nvidia, the leader in AI computing units, with Nvidia investing several billion dollars into Nebius, enabling it to access the latest AI computing equipment and enhancing its market competitiveness.
- Rapid Expansion: Nebius operated two data center sites in 2024, with projections to increase to seven by the end of 2025 and 16 by the end of 2026, demonstrating its swift expansion to meet the growing demand for computing capacity from large tech companies, reflecting strong market demand for its offerings.
- Financial Growth: Nebius's core AI business saw a staggering 802% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4 2025, reaching $228 million, with expectations of an annual run rate of $7 billion to $9 billion by the end of 2026, significantly up from $1.25 billion at the end of 2025, showcasing its immense business potential.
- Market Outlook: Although Nebius is not currently prioritizing profitability, its rapid growth in AI computing demand suggests that if it can capture significant market share and achieve profitability, it could emerge as a future tech giant with substantial investment returns.
See More
Nebius Group: A Potential Multibagger Stock
- Rapid Growth: Nebius Group's total revenue surged by 547% in Q4 2023, with its core AI business skyrocketing by 802%, indicating strong performance in the emerging cloud computing market, and it expects annual revenue to reach $7 billion to $9 billion by 2026, significantly boosting investor confidence.
- Technological Advantage: The partnership with Nvidia allows Nebius to access the latest products faster than competitors, which not only attracts more clients but also enhances its market competitiveness, further driving the company's rapid expansion.
- Market Potential: With a current market value of approximately $25 billion, Nebius is not yet profitable; however, its investments in data center construction are viewed as a long-term strategy that is expected to lay the groundwork for future profitability, drawing attention from investors in the AI sector.
- Investment Risks: Despite Nebius's strong growth potential, its ongoing large-scale infrastructure investments may prevent it from achieving profitability in the short term, necessitating careful assessment of the risk-return balance for investors.
See More
Nebius Group Sees Surge in AI Data Center Demand
- Revenue Surge: Nebius Group's revenue skyrocketed by 479% last year to $530 million, reflecting strong demand in the AI data center market, with expectations for continued growth that will further solidify its market position.
- Major Contract Signings: The $17.4 billion five-year contract with Microsoft for dedicated GPU infrastructure is expected to significantly boost Nebius's growth, while a $3 billion contract with Meta Platforms further strengthens the company's revenue base.
- Future Growth Potential: Nebius's potential contract backlog has reached $46 billion, with management planning to achieve 800 to 1,000 megawatts of connected data center capacity by 2026, a substantial increase from 170 megawatts at the end of 2025, ensuring future demand is met.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Analysts project Nebius will generate cumulative revenue of $28 billion over the next three years, and despite fierce competition, its close partnership with Nvidia and ongoing customer demand will drive long-term growth.
See More
AI Infrastructure Investment Continues to Grow Amid Market Uncertainty
- Market Outlook Optimistic: According to Statista, global spending on AI infrastructure is projected to nearly triple to $902 billion by 2029, indicating that the current dip in tech stocks may just be a temporary pullback before another rise in the coming years.
- Dell Technologies Strong Performance: Despite a sluggish PC sales environment, Dell's infrastructure solutions business drove annual revenue to a record $113 billion, up 19%, with AI orders reaching $64 billion, showcasing robust market demand and future growth potential.
- Nebius Group Rapid Expansion: Nebius's AI cloud revenue surged 830% year-over-year last quarter, and its active power capacity has expanded tenfold in 18 months, although it still struggles to meet demand, leading to longer contracts and higher selling prices.
- Vertiv's Growth Potential: Vertiv's organic sales grew 26% last year to over $10 billion, with orders surging 81% and backlog hitting $15 billion, indicating a trend of customers locking in capacity early, with an expected organic sales growth of approximately 28% in 2026.
See More
