Morgan Stanley Lowers Lightspeed Price Target to $13.50
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2d ago
0mins
Should l Buy LSPD?
Morgan Stanley analyst Josh Baer lowered the firm's price target on Lightspeed to $13.50 from $15 and keeps an Equal Weight rating on the shares. Q3 results displayed evidence showing yield on transition/investments to growth engine markets, the analyst tells investors in a research note.
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Analyst Views on LSPD
Wall Street analysts forecast LSPD stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LSPD is 15.29 USD with a low forecast of 12.00 USD and a high forecast of 21.60 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
15 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
8 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 9.310
Low
12.00
Averages
15.29
High
21.60
Current: 9.310
Low
12.00
Averages
15.29
High
21.60
About LSPD
Lightspeed Commerce Inc. is a provider of point of sale (POS) and payments platform. The Company helps businesses accelerate growth, deliver customer experience, and run smarter across all channels and locations. Through its flexible omnichannel technology, the Company brings together POS, e-commerce, embedded payments, inventory, reporting, staff and supplier management, financial services, and an exclusive wholesale retail network. Its flagship solutions include Lightspeed Restaurant, a unified hospitality commerce offering, and Lightspeed Retail, a retail commerce offering that unites advanced POS, payments, and e-commerce into one cohesive solution. In addition, Lightspeed eCommerce allows merchants to enhance omnichannel reach and increase selling flexibility, including through social media platforms and digital marketplaces. To complement its core cloud solutions, it offers a merchant cash advance program called Lightspeed Capital.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Morgan Stanley Lowers Lightspeed Price Target to $13.50
- Price Target Adjustment: Morgan Stanley analyst Josh Baer has lowered Lightspeed's price target from $15 to $13.50 while maintaining an Equal Weight rating, reflecting a cautious outlook on the company's future growth potential.
- Q3 Performance: The latest research note indicates that Q3 results show evidence of yield from the transition to growth engine markets, although overall performance fell short of expectations, which may impact investor confidence.
- Market Reaction: The price target reduction could lead to negative sentiment regarding Lightspeed's short-term outlook, prompting investors to closely monitor the company's performance in emerging markets and its implications for future earnings.
- Competitive Landscape: With other firms like TD Securities and UBS also lowering their price targets for Lightspeed, it suggests a general cautious sentiment in the market regarding the company's growth prospects, potentially affecting its position in the competitive payments and AI tools market.
See More
Lightspeed Reports Strong Q3 Results with Revenue of $312.3 Million
- Significant Revenue Growth: Lightspeed's Q3 revenue reached $312.3 million, exceeding market expectations with an 11.5% year-over-year increase, demonstrating strong performance in retail and hospitality sectors and further solidifying its market position.
- Improved Gross Margins: The company achieved a gross margin of 43%, with gross profit increasing by 15% year-over-year, indicating significant progress in cost control and operational efficiency, which enhances profitability.
- Strong Cash Flow Performance: Positive cash flow from operating activities amounted to $28.9 million, with Adjusted Free Cash Flow at $14.9 million, reflecting the company's ability to maintain solid cash flow while continuing to invest in growth, thereby enhancing financial stability.
- Customer Base Expansion: Approximately 2,600 net customer locations were added across North American retail and European hospitality, with Gross Transaction Volume (GTV) growing by 16% year-over-year, indicating Lightspeed's success in market penetration and customer acquisition, supporting future growth potential.
See More
Lightspeed Commerce Q3 Earnings Highlights
- Revenue Growth: Lightspeed Commerce reported Q3 revenue of $312.3 million, an 11.5% year-over-year increase, exceeding market expectations by $0.86 million, indicating strong performance and growth potential in the market.
- Transaction Revenue Increase: Transaction-based revenue reached $209.4 million, up 15% year-over-year, reflecting the company's competitiveness in the e-commerce sector and rising customer demand, further solidifying its market position.
- Cash Flow Improvement: Cash flows from operating activities amounted to $28.9 million, a significant increase from $2.7 million in the same period last year, demonstrating notable progress in cash management and operational efficiency.
- Future Outlook: The company projects fiscal 2026 revenue between $1.216 billion and $1.220 billion, showcasing confidence in future growth, while adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $72 million, further bolstering investor confidence.
See More
Lightspeed Commerce Q3 Earnings Announcement Scheduled
- Earnings Release Date: Lightspeed Commerce is set to announce its Q3 earnings on February 5 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.15, reflecting a 25% year-over-year increase, indicating ongoing improvements in profitability that could positively impact stock prices.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q3 is $311.44 million, representing an 11.2% year-over-year growth, which underscores the company's robust growth in market demand and product sales, further solidifying its competitive position in the industry.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Lightspeed Commerce has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, enhancing investor confidence in the upcoming earnings report due to this consistent performance track record.
- Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 8 upward revisions and 2 downward revisions, while revenue estimates have experienced 12 upward revisions and 3 downward revisions, indicating a generally optimistic outlook from analysts regarding the company's future performance, which may attract more investor interest.
See More
Lightspeed Launches New Multi-Brand Shopping Platform, Enhancing Retail Efficiency
- Platform Integration Upgrade: Lightspeed unveiled its Marketplace platform at the National Retail Federation show in New York, allowing retailers to browse and purchase products from thousands of brands in one place, significantly simplifying the procurement process and enhancing efficiency.
- Real-Time Data Connection: By linking wholesale orders directly to retail inventory management, Marketplace creates a data-driven purchasing loop that enables retailers to quickly adjust their product assortments based on seasonal demand, thereby improving market responsiveness.
- Increased Brand Exposure: Marketplace provides brands with broader market access, allowing them to showcase products to more qualified buyers, driving sales growth and enhancing brand influence.
- Future Development Plans: Currently in Beta testing, Marketplace is expected to launch fully in early 2026, marking a significant step for Lightspeed in building a unified retail ecosystem aimed at enhancing the efficiency and profitability of the entire wholesale ecosystem.
See More
Lightspeed Commerce Launches AI Assistant to Enhance Independent Business Decision-Making
- AI Assistant Launch: Lightspeed Commerce has introduced Lightspeed AI, aimed at integrating agentic artificial intelligence directly into the workflows of independent businesses, enhancing decision-making efficiency and business intelligence.
- Conversational Assistant Features: The new system incorporates conversational assistants within Lightspeed Retail and Lightspeed Restaurant, enabling merchants to ask questions and receive answers quickly, thereby allowing them to make smarter business decisions.
- Autonomous Intelligence Evolution: Lightspeed AI will evolve from an assistant into a more autonomous agent capable of analyzing trends and recommending next steps, further enhancing operational efficiency and market competitiveness for merchants.
- Future Feature Expansion: Future AI-powered features, including retail catalog assistants and eCommerce store generators, will be introduced to comprehensively elevate the platform's intelligence level, enhancing user experience and business growth potential.
See More
Morgan Stanley Lowers Lightspeed Price Target to $13.50
- Price Target Adjustment: Morgan Stanley analyst Josh Baer has lowered Lightspeed's price target from $15 to $13.50 while maintaining an Equal Weight rating, reflecting a cautious outlook on the company's future growth potential.
- Q3 Performance: The latest research note indicates that Q3 results show evidence of yield from the transition to growth engine markets, although overall performance fell short of expectations, which may impact investor confidence.
- Market Reaction: The price target reduction could lead to negative sentiment regarding Lightspeed's short-term outlook, prompting investors to closely monitor the company's performance in emerging markets and its implications for future earnings.
- Competitive Landscape: With other firms like TD Securities and UBS also lowering their price targets for Lightspeed, it suggests a general cautious sentiment in the market regarding the company's growth prospects, potentially affecting its position in the competitive payments and AI tools market.
See More
Lightspeed Reports Strong Q3 Results with Revenue of $312.3 Million
- Significant Revenue Growth: Lightspeed's Q3 revenue reached $312.3 million, exceeding market expectations with an 11.5% year-over-year increase, demonstrating strong performance in retail and hospitality sectors and further solidifying its market position.
- Improved Gross Margins: The company achieved a gross margin of 43%, with gross profit increasing by 15% year-over-year, indicating significant progress in cost control and operational efficiency, which enhances profitability.
- Strong Cash Flow Performance: Positive cash flow from operating activities amounted to $28.9 million, with Adjusted Free Cash Flow at $14.9 million, reflecting the company's ability to maintain solid cash flow while continuing to invest in growth, thereby enhancing financial stability.
- Customer Base Expansion: Approximately 2,600 net customer locations were added across North American retail and European hospitality, with Gross Transaction Volume (GTV) growing by 16% year-over-year, indicating Lightspeed's success in market penetration and customer acquisition, supporting future growth potential.
See More
Lightspeed Commerce Q3 Earnings Highlights
- Revenue Growth: Lightspeed Commerce reported Q3 revenue of $312.3 million, an 11.5% year-over-year increase, exceeding market expectations by $0.86 million, indicating strong performance and growth potential in the market.
- Transaction Revenue Increase: Transaction-based revenue reached $209.4 million, up 15% year-over-year, reflecting the company's competitiveness in the e-commerce sector and rising customer demand, further solidifying its market position.
- Cash Flow Improvement: Cash flows from operating activities amounted to $28.9 million, a significant increase from $2.7 million in the same period last year, demonstrating notable progress in cash management and operational efficiency.
- Future Outlook: The company projects fiscal 2026 revenue between $1.216 billion and $1.220 billion, showcasing confidence in future growth, while adjusted EBITDA is expected to be approximately $72 million, further bolstering investor confidence.
See More
Lightspeed Commerce Q3 Earnings Announcement Scheduled
- Earnings Release Date: Lightspeed Commerce is set to announce its Q3 earnings on February 5 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.15, reflecting a 25% year-over-year increase, indicating ongoing improvements in profitability that could positively impact stock prices.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q3 is $311.44 million, representing an 11.2% year-over-year growth, which underscores the company's robust growth in market demand and product sales, further solidifying its competitive position in the industry.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Lightspeed Commerce has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, enhancing investor confidence in the upcoming earnings report due to this consistent performance track record.
- Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 8 upward revisions and 2 downward revisions, while revenue estimates have experienced 12 upward revisions and 3 downward revisions, indicating a generally optimistic outlook from analysts regarding the company's future performance, which may attract more investor interest.
See More
Lightspeed Launches New Multi-Brand Shopping Platform, Enhancing Retail Efficiency
- Platform Integration Upgrade: Lightspeed unveiled its Marketplace platform at the National Retail Federation show in New York, allowing retailers to browse and purchase products from thousands of brands in one place, significantly simplifying the procurement process and enhancing efficiency.
- Real-Time Data Connection: By linking wholesale orders directly to retail inventory management, Marketplace creates a data-driven purchasing loop that enables retailers to quickly adjust their product assortments based on seasonal demand, thereby improving market responsiveness.
- Increased Brand Exposure: Marketplace provides brands with broader market access, allowing them to showcase products to more qualified buyers, driving sales growth and enhancing brand influence.
- Future Development Plans: Currently in Beta testing, Marketplace is expected to launch fully in early 2026, marking a significant step for Lightspeed in building a unified retail ecosystem aimed at enhancing the efficiency and profitability of the entire wholesale ecosystem.
See More
Lightspeed Commerce Launches AI Assistant to Enhance Independent Business Decision-Making
- AI Assistant Launch: Lightspeed Commerce has introduced Lightspeed AI, aimed at integrating agentic artificial intelligence directly into the workflows of independent businesses, enhancing decision-making efficiency and business intelligence.
- Conversational Assistant Features: The new system incorporates conversational assistants within Lightspeed Retail and Lightspeed Restaurant, enabling merchants to ask questions and receive answers quickly, thereby allowing them to make smarter business decisions.
- Autonomous Intelligence Evolution: Lightspeed AI will evolve from an assistant into a more autonomous agent capable of analyzing trends and recommending next steps, further enhancing operational efficiency and market competitiveness for merchants.
- Future Feature Expansion: Future AI-powered features, including retail catalog assistants and eCommerce store generators, will be introduced to comprehensively elevate the platform's intelligence level, enhancing user experience and business growth potential.
See More
