Microsoft's Azure Cloud Computing Grows Rapidly
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 14h ago
0mins
Should l Buy MSFT?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Azure Growth Momentum: Microsoft's Azure cloud computing division achieved a remarkable 39% revenue growth in Q2 2025, highlighting its critical role in the company's overall 17% growth, indicating that cloud computing will continue to drive Microsoft's future development.
- Market Competition Analysis: Although Microsoft does not disclose Azure's financials separately, its operating margins are likely between 25% and 35%, compared to competitors Amazon AWS and Google Cloud's margins of 35% and 24%, respectively, which may exert some pressure on overall profitability.
- Investment Opportunity: Microsoft's expansion in the cloud computing sector presents a significant market opportunity, especially as demand for AI surges, leading enterprise clients to prefer renting data centers rather than building them, thus fueling Azure's rapid growth.
- Stock Market Performance Challenges: Despite Microsoft's stock price dropping 11% at the start of 2026, Azure's strong growth could help it outperform the market in the future, particularly as the broader market has only risen by 1%, providing Microsoft with a chance to regain its market position.
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Analyst Views on MSFT
Wall Street analysts forecast MSFT stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MSFT is 631.36 USD with a low forecast of 500.00 USD and a high forecast of 678.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
34 Analyst Rating
32 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 393.670
Low
500.00
Averages
631.36
High
678.00
Current: 393.670
Low
500.00
Averages
631.36
High
678.00
About MSFT
Microsoft Corporation is a technology company that develops and supports software, services, devices, and solutions. Its Productivity and Business Processes segment consists of products and services in its portfolio of productivity, communication, and information services, spanning a variety of devices and platforms. It comprises Microsoft 365 Commercial products and cloud services; Microsoft 365 Consumer products and cloud services; LinkedIn, and Dynamics products and cloud services. The Intelligent Cloud segment consists of its public, private, and hybrid server products and cloud services. It comprises server products and cloud services, including Azure, and enterprise and partner services, including Enterprise Support Services. Its More Personal Computing segment primarily comprises Windows and Devices, including Windows OEM licensing; Gaming, including Xbox hardware and Xbox content; Search and news advertising, comprising Bing and Copilot, Microsoft News, and Microsoft Edge.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Azure Revenue Growth Slowdown: Azure's revenue grew 39% year-over-year in Q2, surpassing Wall Street's 37.1% forecast, yet slower than the previous quarter's 40%, suggesting a potential loss of momentum that may affect investor confidence.
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See More
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- Performance Concerns: Microsoft's fiscal Q2 2026 results revealed strong overall performance; however, modest weaknesses in AI software and cloud services led to a more than 10% drop in stock price in one day, raising investor concerns about future growth.
- Copilot License Sales Growth: As of Q2 2026, Microsoft 365's Copilot licenses reached 15 million, doubling year-over-year but representing only a 3.7% market penetration, indicating limited market uptake that could hinder future revenue growth.
- Azure Revenue Growth Slowdown: Azure's revenue grew 39% year-over-year in Q2, surpassing Wall Street's 37.1% forecast, yet slower than the previous quarter's 40%, suggesting a potential loss of momentum that may affect investor confidence.
- Data Center Capacity Shortage: Microsoft's order backlog surged 110% year-over-year to $625 billion, with 45% from OpenAI, which may limit Azure's expansion and increase investment risks due to reliance on external funding and revenue growth.
See More
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- Slow Copilot License Sales: As of the fiscal 2026 second quarter, only 15 million Copilot licenses for Microsoft 365 were sold, doubling year-over-year but representing a mere 3.7% market penetration, indicating insufficient market uptake that could hinder future revenue growth.
- Azure Growth Deceleration: Azure achieved a 39% year-over-year growth rate in the second quarter, exceeding Wall Street's expectations, yet slower than the previous quarter's 40%, with a staggering 110% year-over-year increase in order backlog to $625 billion due to data center capacity shortages, highlighting potential growth bottlenecks.
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- Economic Policy Initiatives: Takaichi's agenda includes increasing defense spending and suspending certain food-related taxes, which is expected to stimulate economic growth and enhance consumer confidence, positively impacting Japan's economy.
- Market Reaction: Following the election results, Japanese stocks reached a record high, with the yen strengthening to 156.88 per dollar, reflecting renewed investor confidence in the government's future policies and economic direction.
- International Market Trends: U.S. markets also showed strong performance post-election, with major index futures rising, indicating global investor interest in tech stocks, particularly in the AI sector, further contributing to the overall market recovery.
See More
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- US-India Trade Deal Framework: The U.S. and India released a framework for a trade deal, although India showed resistance to U.S. demands for opening its agricultural market to imports, while Trump removed a 25% tariff on India for purchasing Russian oil, which could impact trade relations and future economic cooperation between the two nations.
- Luckin Coffee's High-End Store Launch: China's Luckin Coffee opened its first high-end store in Shenzhen, marking a shift from its original budget coffee kiosk strategy to directly compete with Starbucks, a strategic move that could attract a more affluent consumer base and enhance brand image and market share.
- Dow Jones Surpasses 50,000: The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 50,000 for the first time on Friday, driven by a rebound in tech stocks, a milestone that not only reflects a strong market recovery but may also attract more investors to focus on the long-term growth potential of the U.S. stock market.
See More
Investors Show Caution Towards Tech Stocks Amid High Valuations
- Tech Sector Weakness: As of February 4, 2026, large-cap tech stocks have declined about 3%, making them the worst-performing sector, reflecting investor concerns over high valuations and AI spending without returns, potentially increasing the risk of a market correction.
- Microsoft's Investment Appeal: Microsoft reported a 66% year-over-year increase in capital expenditures in Q2 2026, and despite a slowdown in Azure's growth, its remaining performance obligation surged 110% to $625 billion, making it attractive for long-term investors with a current P/E ratio of 26, below S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 averages.
- Oracle's Upside Potential: Oracle's stock is viewed by analysts as having higher upside potential, with a median price target of around $272, indicating an 88% upside over the next 12 months; however, concerns over its AI spending persist, despite a 438% year-over-year increase in its contract backlog to $523 billion, indicating strong market demand.
- Market Focus on AI Spending: Investors are wary of Oracle's AI expenditures, especially after its announcement to raise $50 billion for new data centers, and while its client list includes industry giants like Nvidia and Meta, concerns about OpenAI's funding capabilities may impact its stock performance.
See More
Investors Concerned About Large-Cap Tech Valuations
- Large-Cap Tech Underperformance: As of February 4, 2026, large-cap tech stocks have declined approximately 3%, making them the worst-performing sector, reflecting investor concerns over high valuations and excessive AI spending, which may increase the risk of a market correction.
- Microsoft's Investment Appeal: Microsoft reported a 66% year-over-year increase in capital expenditures in Q2 2026, and despite a slowdown in growth for its AI cloud engine Azure, its remaining performance obligation rose 110% to $625 billion, making it attractive for long-term investors with a current P/E ratio of 26, below the S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 averages.
- Oracle's Potential Upside: Oracle's stock is rated by Wall Street analysts to have an 88% upside potential with a target price of around $272, despite investor concerns over its AI spending; its contract backlog surged 438% year-over-year to $523 billion, indicating strong demand for cloud computing.
- Caution on AI Spending: Investors are cautious about companies with high AI expenditures, particularly Oracle due to its $300 billion contract with OpenAI, which has raised concerns despite its increasing debt, yet it remains attractive from a valuation perspective.
See More
