MDA Space Backs FY26 EBITDA View of $320M-$370M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: May 07 2026
0mins
Backs FY26 adjusted EBITDA view $320M-$370M. Backs FY26 capital expenditures view $225M-$275M. The company said, "MDA Space is well positioned to capitalize on strong customer demand and robust market activity given our diverse and proven technology offerings. Our growth pipeline is significant and underpinned by existing and new programs and our book of business is healthy."
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Analyst Views on MDA
Wall Street analysts forecast MDA stock price to rise
0 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Current: 41.190
Low
Averages
High
Current: 41.190
Low
Averages
High
About MDA
MDA Space Ltd. is a space mission partner that operates in the global space industry. The Company’s expertise spans communications satellites, earth and space observation, and space exploration and infrastructure. It has three business areas: Satellite Systems, Robotics & Space Operations, and Geointelligence. In Satellite Systems, it partners on space communication missions across low earth orbit (LEO), medium earth orbit (MEO), and geosynchronous equatorial orbit (GEO), in addition to providing communication systems for human-rated spacecraft. In its Robotics & Space Operations business, it partners with customers in critical space infrastructure missions. As a Geointelligence mission partner, the Company is an owner, operator, and prime contractor for both earth orbit (EO) and space observation missions, in addition to providing key technologies and products. Its EO business includes the collection, processing and dissemination of earth imagery data from space.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Analysis of 2025 Space Stock IPO Opportunities
- MDA Space Performance: Founded in 1969, MDA Space is projected to achieve a record revenue of CA$1.6 billion and a net income of CA$108.5 million in 2025, showcasing its robust profitability and long operational history, making it a focal point for investors.
- HawkEye 360 Market Potential: Established in 2015, HawkEye 360 expects to report a net income of $2.7 million in 2025, with a backlog of approximately $320 million, indicating strong demand in the government contract sector, and anticipates the global RF spectrum market to reach $34 billion by 2030.
- York Space Systems Expansion: Since its founding in 2012, York Space Systems has completed 74 missions, generating $386 million in revenue in 2025, a 52% increase from 2024, and has bolstered its competitive edge through acquisitions of Orbion and ALL.SPACE, emphasizing its strategy of quick delivery and cost efficiency.
- Investment Outlook in Space Sector: While the SpaceX IPO garners significant attention, companies like MDA Space, HawkEye 360, and York Space Systems present their own investment opportunities, particularly MDA Space, which is viewed as the most attractive due to its profitability and established history.
See More
Increased Attention on Space Stocks Ahead of SpaceX IPO
- Space Stock Surge: With the SpaceX IPO approaching, companies like HawkEye 360, York Space Systems, and MDA Space have gone public this year, drawing investor interest, particularly as the SpaceX IPO is anticipated to be the largest space stock offering of the year.
- MDA Space's Strong Performance: Founded in 1969, MDA Space achieved a record revenue of CA$1.6 billion in 2025, along with a net income of CA$108.5 million, demonstrating its robust profitability and long-term operational advantages in the space industry.
- HawkEye's Growth Potential: HawkEye 360 reported a net income of $2.7 million in 2025, and despite its smaller scale, its backlog of $320 million and a total addressable market potential of $34 billion indicate significant future growth opportunities, especially in government contracts.
- York Space Systems Expansion: York Space Systems saw a 52% revenue increase to $386 million in 2025 and holds a backlog of $543 million, showcasing its competitive edge in rapid delivery and low-cost products, making it a potential long-term investment worth considering.
See More
Starfighters Space Partners with NASA to Advance Microgravity Capabilities
- Industry Transformation: The impending SpaceX IPO is set to raise up to $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, marking a historic event that will mainstream the space sector as an investable area, thereby boosting related ETFs.
- Strategic Partnership: Starfighters Space has signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Mu-G Technologies in response to NASA's Request for Information for microgravity services, planning modifications and testing in Texas to fill a gap in U.S. capabilities.
- Technological Edge: By modifying the Falcon 50 aircraft, Starfighters will offer microgravity, reduced gravity, and hypergravity testing, catering to the needs of pharmaceutical, biotech, and materials science sectors, enhancing its competitive position in the market.
- Market Outlook: Starfighters is already collaborating with blue-chip clients like Lockheed Martin, and under CEO Tim Franta's leadership, the company is actively pursuing NASA-defined commercial microgravity capabilities, which is expected to attract more investor interest.
See More
Starfighters Space Partners with NASA to Revitalize Microgravity Capabilities
- IPO Catalyst: SpaceX's upcoming Nasdaq listing aims to raise up to $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, reshaping the entire space sector's valuation landscape and attracting increased investor interest in related companies.
- Strategic Partnership: Starfighters Space has signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Mu-G Technologies in response to NASA's request for microgravity services, planning modifications and testing in Texas to fill the gap in U.S. capabilities, thereby enhancing its market competitiveness.
- Diverse Flight Environments: Under the MOU, Starfighters will utilize the Falcon 50 aircraft to provide microgravity, reduced gravity, and hypergravity testing, combined with the supersonic capabilities of its F-104 aircraft, addressing NASA's demand for novel flight platforms and advancing commercial microgravity research.
- Industry Leadership: Starfighters already serves blue-chip clients like Lockheed Martin and the U.S. Air Force, and under CEO Tim Franta's leadership, the company is actively expanding its aerospace operations, which is expected to further enhance its market share and revenue.
See More
Space and Aerospace Stocks Face Selloff Amid Rising Yields
- Market Sentiment Reversal: Investor interest in space and aerospace stocks waned as rising Treasury yields and inflation concerns took hold, with Rocket Lab shares falling over 9% and Sidus Space nearly 13%, indicating a rapid decline in confidence towards speculative growth stocks.
- High Yield Impact: The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury climbed to its highest level since 2007, pressuring high-growth sectors, particularly those reliant on future earnings expectations, reflecting investor anxiety about profitability in the space and aerospace technology sectors.
- Inflation Concerns Intensify: Although oil prices eased, geopolitical risks remain, especially with NATO discussing ways to ensure commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, potentially leading to persistent high inflation that could force central banks to maintain elevated interest rates or tighten policies again.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: Following a more than 200% surge in Rocket Lab's stock over the past six months, the selloff highlights the fragility of market sentiment, with analysts remaining optimistic about defense spending and satellite deployment growth, yet acknowledging increased volatility in the short term.
See More
Space Investment Holds Significant Potential
- MDA Space Revenue Breakdown: MDA Space derives 69% of its revenue from satellite systems, 18% from robotics and space exploration, and 13% from geointelligence, indicating robust diversification; it anticipates $40 billion in opportunities over the next five years, highlighting its critical role in the global space economy's growth.
- Strong Financial Performance: MDA Space expects revenue between $1.7 billion and $1.9 billion in 2026, with a net income of $108.5 million in 2025; despite a 27% stock price drop in March, it has surged over 90% in 2026, showcasing its appeal for long-term investors.
- Voyager Technologies Development: Founded in 2019, Voyager Technologies has expanded through 13 acquisitions; despite a net loss of $116 million in 2025, its backlog of $275.3 million and liquidity of $641.4 million provide a safety net for future growth, indicating potential in space commerce.
- Expansive Market Outlook: The global space economy is projected to grow from $630 billion in 2023 to $1.8 trillion by 2035, with MDA Space and Voyager Technologies strategically positioned to capitalize on this rapidly expanding market, attracting investor interest.
See More
Analysis of 2025 Space Stock IPO Opportunities
- MDA Space Performance: Founded in 1969, MDA Space is projected to achieve a record revenue of CA$1.6 billion and a net income of CA$108.5 million in 2025, showcasing its robust profitability and long operational history, making it a focal point for investors.
- HawkEye 360 Market Potential: Established in 2015, HawkEye 360 expects to report a net income of $2.7 million in 2025, with a backlog of approximately $320 million, indicating strong demand in the government contract sector, and anticipates the global RF spectrum market to reach $34 billion by 2030.
- York Space Systems Expansion: Since its founding in 2012, York Space Systems has completed 74 missions, generating $386 million in revenue in 2025, a 52% increase from 2024, and has bolstered its competitive edge through acquisitions of Orbion and ALL.SPACE, emphasizing its strategy of quick delivery and cost efficiency.
- Investment Outlook in Space Sector: While the SpaceX IPO garners significant attention, companies like MDA Space, HawkEye 360, and York Space Systems present their own investment opportunities, particularly MDA Space, which is viewed as the most attractive due to its profitability and established history.
See More
Increased Attention on Space Stocks Ahead of SpaceX IPO
- Space Stock Surge: With the SpaceX IPO approaching, companies like HawkEye 360, York Space Systems, and MDA Space have gone public this year, drawing investor interest, particularly as the SpaceX IPO is anticipated to be the largest space stock offering of the year.
- MDA Space's Strong Performance: Founded in 1969, MDA Space achieved a record revenue of CA$1.6 billion in 2025, along with a net income of CA$108.5 million, demonstrating its robust profitability and long-term operational advantages in the space industry.
- HawkEye's Growth Potential: HawkEye 360 reported a net income of $2.7 million in 2025, and despite its smaller scale, its backlog of $320 million and a total addressable market potential of $34 billion indicate significant future growth opportunities, especially in government contracts.
- York Space Systems Expansion: York Space Systems saw a 52% revenue increase to $386 million in 2025 and holds a backlog of $543 million, showcasing its competitive edge in rapid delivery and low-cost products, making it a potential long-term investment worth considering.
See More
Starfighters Space Partners with NASA to Advance Microgravity Capabilities
- Industry Transformation: The impending SpaceX IPO is set to raise up to $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, marking a historic event that will mainstream the space sector as an investable area, thereby boosting related ETFs.
- Strategic Partnership: Starfighters Space has signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Mu-G Technologies in response to NASA's Request for Information for microgravity services, planning modifications and testing in Texas to fill a gap in U.S. capabilities.
- Technological Edge: By modifying the Falcon 50 aircraft, Starfighters will offer microgravity, reduced gravity, and hypergravity testing, catering to the needs of pharmaceutical, biotech, and materials science sectors, enhancing its competitive position in the market.
- Market Outlook: Starfighters is already collaborating with blue-chip clients like Lockheed Martin, and under CEO Tim Franta's leadership, the company is actively pursuing NASA-defined commercial microgravity capabilities, which is expected to attract more investor interest.
See More
Starfighters Space Partners with NASA to Revitalize Microgravity Capabilities
- IPO Catalyst: SpaceX's upcoming Nasdaq listing aims to raise up to $75 billion at a $1.75 trillion valuation, reshaping the entire space sector's valuation landscape and attracting increased investor interest in related companies.
- Strategic Partnership: Starfighters Space has signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Mu-G Technologies in response to NASA's request for microgravity services, planning modifications and testing in Texas to fill the gap in U.S. capabilities, thereby enhancing its market competitiveness.
- Diverse Flight Environments: Under the MOU, Starfighters will utilize the Falcon 50 aircraft to provide microgravity, reduced gravity, and hypergravity testing, combined with the supersonic capabilities of its F-104 aircraft, addressing NASA's demand for novel flight platforms and advancing commercial microgravity research.
- Industry Leadership: Starfighters already serves blue-chip clients like Lockheed Martin and the U.S. Air Force, and under CEO Tim Franta's leadership, the company is actively expanding its aerospace operations, which is expected to further enhance its market share and revenue.
See More
Space and Aerospace Stocks Face Selloff Amid Rising Yields
- Market Sentiment Reversal: Investor interest in space and aerospace stocks waned as rising Treasury yields and inflation concerns took hold, with Rocket Lab shares falling over 9% and Sidus Space nearly 13%, indicating a rapid decline in confidence towards speculative growth stocks.
- High Yield Impact: The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury climbed to its highest level since 2007, pressuring high-growth sectors, particularly those reliant on future earnings expectations, reflecting investor anxiety about profitability in the space and aerospace technology sectors.
- Inflation Concerns Intensify: Although oil prices eased, geopolitical risks remain, especially with NATO discussing ways to ensure commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, potentially leading to persistent high inflation that could force central banks to maintain elevated interest rates or tighten policies again.
- Investor Sentiment Shift: Following a more than 200% surge in Rocket Lab's stock over the past six months, the selloff highlights the fragility of market sentiment, with analysts remaining optimistic about defense spending and satellite deployment growth, yet acknowledging increased volatility in the short term.
See More
Space Investment Holds Significant Potential
- MDA Space Revenue Breakdown: MDA Space derives 69% of its revenue from satellite systems, 18% from robotics and space exploration, and 13% from geointelligence, indicating robust diversification; it anticipates $40 billion in opportunities over the next five years, highlighting its critical role in the global space economy's growth.
- Strong Financial Performance: MDA Space expects revenue between $1.7 billion and $1.9 billion in 2026, with a net income of $108.5 million in 2025; despite a 27% stock price drop in March, it has surged over 90% in 2026, showcasing its appeal for long-term investors.
- Voyager Technologies Development: Founded in 2019, Voyager Technologies has expanded through 13 acquisitions; despite a net loss of $116 million in 2025, its backlog of $275.3 million and liquidity of $641.4 million provide a safety net for future growth, indicating potential in space commerce.
- Expansive Market Outlook: The global space economy is projected to grow from $630 billion in 2023 to $1.8 trillion by 2035, with MDA Space and Voyager Technologies strategically positioned to capitalize on this rapidly expanding market, attracting investor interest.
See More
