Marvell Technology Shares Rise 15% After Earnings
Hope for a quicker resolution to the Middle East conflict after yesterday's rumored contact between Iranian authorities and the CIA have fizzled, and with it, any hints of more positive investors sentiment deteriorated as Wednesday's gains were unwound on Thursday. S&P 500 was down as much as 1.5% at one point today before paring about half of that decline, with Basic Materials and Consumer Discretionary the worst performing sectors in the index. Energy was the bright spot, boosted by more sharp gains in oil prices, though the rally in crude perpetuated the narrative that the inflationary spike due to Iran war will deter the Fed from renewed easing over the coming months. Indeed, Treasury yields continued to rise, particularly in the belly of the curve, with the 10-year now up 20 basis points from Friday's lows. Similarly, CME FedWatch tool is now pricing in a 50/50 scenario of a 50bps in Fed funds rate cuts vs. a 2-to-1 chance of this outcome priced in before the bombing this weekend.In the opening hour of the evening session, U.S. equity futures are up marginally with 0.1% gains for S&P e-minis and Nasdaq 100 contracts. WTI Crude Oil is back below $80 per barrel after rising as high as $82 on Thursday.Among notable earnings out of the Semis space, Marvell Technologyis up 15% after better than expected results and guidance as well as constructive commentary on margins, echoing a strong print from Broadcomovernight. In Application Software - a more resilient market corner of late - Guidewirewas also up notably on better-than-feared outlook.Check out this evening's top movers from around Wall Street, compiled by The Fly.HIGHER AFTER EARNINGS -Marvell Technologyup 15.0%Samsaraup 11.8%Guidewire Softwareup 4.5%DOWN AFTER EARNINGS -Nutex Healthdown 32.9%Owletdown 21.0%AudioEye, Inc.down 10.6%Gapdown 7.6%Costcodown 0.2%ALSO LOWER -Ingram Micro Holdingdown 13.3% after equity offering
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- Strong Earnings Report: Marvell Technology reported a 22% year-over-year revenue increase in fiscal Q4, reaching $2.22 billion, surpassing management's adjusted EPS outlook of $0.79, indicating robust performance in the AI infrastructure sector.
- Data Center Growth: The company's data center revenue climbed 21% year-over-year to $1.65 billion, with expectations for continued revenue growth in upcoming quarters, particularly as its interconnect business is projected to jump by 50%.
- Optimistic Outlook: Marvell anticipates a 27% revenue increase in fiscal Q1 to around $2.4 billion and projects revenue to exceed $11 billion by fiscal 2027, reflecting confidence in future market demand.
- Market Challenges: Despite facing long-term uncertainties in its AI ASIC business, particularly regarding its partnership with Amazon, Marvell's strong networking connectivity business provides a stable growth foundation, making the stock still attractive.
- Deepening AI Discussions: At Morgan Stanley's tech conference in San Francisco, nearly every company delved into their AI strategies, indicating a significant shift towards deeper AI deployment across multiple business units, reflecting the market's heightened focus on AI technologies.
- Optimistic Outlook for Amazon: Analysts set a $300 price target for Amazon, believing its high-margin businesses will drive greater profits and support investments in last-mile delivery and cloud services, despite a recent 7% stock drop due to quarterly earnings misses.
- Strong Demand for Nvidia: Morgan Stanley remains bullish on Nvidia, with analysts noting robust demand for its Blackwell chip series, which is expected to continue pushing upward estimates, while the upcoming Rubin platform is anticipated to maintain Nvidia's leadership in AI computing architecture.
- Growth Potential for Spotify: Analysts highlight Spotify's 15% penetration in the global smartphone market of 3 billion, alongside its advertising business being just a fraction of the $20 billion global radio ad market, indicating substantial future growth opportunities, especially as user engagement continues to rise.
- High-Level Energy Visit: U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright's meeting with Venezuela's interim President Delcy Rodriguez marks the first high-level U.S. visit focused on energy policy in nearly three decades, indicating a strategic interest in rebuilding Venezuela's oil industry.
- Oil Price Volatility: Wright's deleted post about U.S. Navy escorting a tanker led to an over 11% drop in oil prices, which partially recovered after clarifications, highlighting market uncertainty regarding U.S. energy policy.
- Cloud Business Surge: Oracle's shares rose 10% after reporting a 44% increase in cloud revenue to $8.9 billion in Q3, with future performance obligations exceeding $550 billion, showcasing the company's robust growth potential in the cloud sector.
- Diverging Tech Stances: Microsoft supports Anthropic's legal battle against the Pentagon, seeking a temporary restraining order, while Alphabet aims to strengthen ties with the Defense Department by launching custom AI agent features, reflecting differing strategies among tech giants in government collaboration.
- Client Base Expansion: Cerebras Systems has partnered with Oracle, which now incorporates Cerebras chips into its infrastructure, marking a significant expansion in Cerebras' customer base in the cloud computing market and potentially enhancing its attractiveness for future IPO.
- Revenue Source Diversification: In the first half of 2024, 87% of Cerebras' revenue came from its Middle Eastern client G42, and the collaboration with Oracle is expected to reduce reliance on a single customer, thereby strengthening its financial stability and market competitiveness.
- Enhanced Funding Support: After filing for an IPO in 2024, Cerebras successfully completed a $1.1 billion funding round, achieving a valuation of $8.1 billion, which provides robust financial backing for its future expansion and technological innovation.
- Surging Market Demand: As AI model developers' demand for computing power continues to rise, the application of Cerebras' WSE-3 chips in cloud services is expected to further boost its market share, especially in collaborations with major clients like OpenAI.
- Strong Earnings Report: Marvell Technology's fiscal Q4 revenue rose 22% year-over-year to $2.22 billion, surpassing management's forecast of $2.2 billion, indicating robust performance in the AI infrastructure sector.
- Expanding Customer Base: The company has secured design wins with over 20 customers, including Microsoft's Maia chip development, although uncertainties remain regarding its partnership with Amazon, showcasing diverse market demand and potential.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Marvell projects a 27% revenue increase in fiscal Q1 to around $2.4 billion, with fiscal 2027 revenue expected to exceed $11 billion, reflecting strong growth potential in its data center business.
- Competitive Market Challenges: Despite the strong performance of Marvell's networking connectivity business, uncertainties surrounding its AI ASIC business, particularly its long-term relationship with Amazon, may impact future market performance.
- Share Reduction Details: Westerly Capital Management reduced its Lumen Technologies holdings by 2.7 million shares in Q4 2025, with an estimated transaction value of $22.22 million, indicating potential investor skepticism about the company's future direction.
- Impact on Holdings: Following the sale, Lumen now represents only 1.37% of Westerly's assets under management, down from 6.7% in Q3, reflecting a significant loss of confidence in the company's strategic shift.
- Financial Condition Analysis: Lumen reported $12.4 billion in revenue for 2025, down from $13.1 billion in 2024, while capital expenditures rose to $4.4 billion, highlighting financial strain during its transition.
- Future Outlook: Although Lumen aims to focus on fiber solutions to meet AI demands, its over $17 billion debt and declining revenue suggest that it is not an opportune time to invest, with recommendations to monitor performance over the next few quarters.











