Market Volatility and Investment Strategy Analysis
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 7 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy DELL?
Source: CNBC
- Market Volatility: The S&P 500 fell on Thursday as tensions between the U.S. and Iran escalated, indicating that investors may be reducing equity exposure ahead of the weekend, reflecting concerns over geopolitical uncertainty.
- CrowdStrike Performance: Despite the broader market weakness, CrowdStrike's stock rose about 1%, although it remains down approximately 10% year-to-date; Jim Cramer believes that the increasing security risks associated with AI adoption will drive business growth, making it a top buy.
- Texas Roadhouse Earnings: Texas Roadhouse is set to report quarterly earnings after the bell, with expectations for strong same-store sales; however, Jim is concerned about declining margins due to beef inflation, with management guiding for a 7% commodity inflation rate in 2026.
- Boeing Order Situation: Boeing's stock fell nearly 1% despite signing a deal worth over $30 billion to sell around 100 aircraft to Vietnamese carriers, yet Jim remains steadfast in his confidence in Boeing's turnaround plan under CEO Kelly Ortberg's leadership.
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Analyst Views on DELL
Wall Street analysts forecast DELL stock price to rise
15 Analyst Rating
11 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 116.780
Low
113.00
Averages
164.85
High
180.00
Current: 116.780
Low
113.00
Averages
164.85
High
180.00
About DELL
Dell Technologies Inc. is engaged in designing, developing, manufacturing, marketing, selling, and supporting a wide range of comprehensive and integrated solutions, products, and services. The Company operates through two segments: Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) and Client Solutions Group (CSG). Its ISG segment enables the Company’s customer’s digital transformation with solutions that address artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, data analytics, and multi cloud environments. Its comprehensive storage portfolio includes modern and traditional storage solutions, including all-flash arrays, scale-out file, object platforms, hyper-converged infrastructure, and software-defined storage. Its CSG segment offers branded personal computers (PCs) including notebooks, desktops, and workstations and branded peripherals that include displays, docking stations, keyboards, mice, and webcam and audio devices, as well as third-party software and peripherals.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.

- Upward Earnings Expectations: Evercore analysts anticipate that Dell Technologies will exceed current revenue and EPS expectations of $31.4 billion and $3.52, respectively, driven by strong demand trends in traditional hardware and AI computing ahead of its quarterly results.
- Strong AI Server Orders: Dell exited FQ3 with AI orders totaling $12.3 billion and a backlog of $18.4 billion, with FY26 AI server revenues projected to reach $25 billion, indicating significant growth potential in its AI business.
- Market Share Recovery: Early IDC data suggests that Dell gained approximately 100 basis points of market share in Q4, marking its first share gain in over three years, reflecting a recovery in a highly competitive market.
- Gross Margin Pressure: Despite facing rising memory costs, analysts expect Dell to mitigate this impact through internal measures, although some costs will inevitably be passed on to end customers, potentially affecting gross margins in the short term.
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- Economic Data Focus: Investors are closely monitoring upcoming economic data following the end of a three-day winning streak for the Dow and S&P 500, particularly the Personal Consumption Expenditures index (PCE), which is expected to rise 2.8% year-over-year, with core PCE at 3%, influencing future monetary policy directions.
- Rising Oil Prices: Amid escalating tensions between the US and Iran, both Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude futures continue to rise, with market attention on President Trump's potential decision on military action within ten days, which could significantly impact the global oil market.
- Fed Policy Divergence: Although inflation has moderated, it remains above the Fed's 2% target, and minutes from the January meeting indicate that some officials want clearer evidence of cooling price pressures before endorsing further rate cuts, while others focus on maintaining labor market strength.
- Ongoing Earnings Season: As earnings season progresses, major companies like Nvidia and Dell are set to report next week, with analysts suggesting that the recent AI sell-off may be overblown, which could significantly affect market sentiment, especially with the S&P 500 up 0.4% this week.
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- Stock Price Surge: Super Micro Computer (SMCI) shares rose 8.25% to $32.16, primarily driven by analyst upgrades, institutional buying disclosures, and potential news of an AI server expansion under the 'Make in India' initiative, reflecting strong market confidence in the company's growth prospects.
- Significant Volume Increase: The trading volume reached 42.1 million shares, approximately 47% above the three-month average of 28.6 million shares, indicating a notable increase in investor interest and potentially signaling future market activity.
- Strong Financial Performance: The company reported quarterly net sales of $12.68 billion and net income of $400.56 million, with over 90% of revenue derived from AI platforms, demonstrating robust and scalable demand for AI servers that further fueled the stock's rise.
- Optimistic Outlook: Super Micro Computer raised its full-year guidance to at least $40 billion, with analysts upgrading the stock to 'strong buy' due to expected margin expansion from its Data Center Building Block Solutions platform, leading investors to closely monitor whether AI server demand and margin growth can support the higher revenue outlook.
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- Stock Surge: Super Micro Computer (NASDAQ:SMCI) closed at $32.16, up 8.25%, driven by analyst upgrades and institutional buying, reflecting strong market confidence in its future growth prospects.
- Volume Spike: The company's trading volume reached 42.1 million shares, approximately 47% above its three-month average of 28.6 million shares, indicating heightened investor interest in its AI server expansion plans.
- Strong Financials: Super Micro reported quarterly net sales of $12.68 billion and net income of $400.56 million, with over 90% of revenue derived from AI platforms, showcasing robust demand and scalability for AI servers.
- Optimistic Outlook: The company raised its full-year guidance to at least $40 billion, with analysts upgrading the stock to “strong buy,” suggesting potential for enhanced profitability and market share growth in the future.
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- Analyst Upgrade: Evercore ISI raised Dell's rating to Tactical Outperform, despite lowering its price target from $180 to $160, indicating confidence that Dell will exceed revenue and EPS estimates of $31.4 billion and $3.52, thereby boosting market sentiment.
- Memory Price Impact: Rising memory prices are prompting customers to accelerate purchases of PCs and traditional servers to preempt expected price increases, which has positively influenced Dell's demand environment in the short term, showcasing the company's resilience amid market fluctuations.
- Technical Indicators: Dell's stock is currently trading at $118.50, showing a modest gain of 0.4% above its 20-day SMA but remains 11.5% below its 100-day SMA, indicating potential for recovery, although the stock has seen a slight decline of 2.31% over the past 12 months.
- Market Sentiment and Outlook: Despite a weak momentum score of 20.44, Dell's average price target stands at $163.71, reflecting cautious optimism among investors regarding future earnings, suggesting close monitoring of the upcoming earnings report to assess market trends.
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- Portfolio Changes: Bridgewater Associates made significant adjustments to its investment portfolio in the fourth quarter.
- Exiting Investments: The hedge fund exited its position in a major wireless carrier as part of its strategy.
- Healthcare Holdings: Bridgewater also readjusted its investments in the healthcare sector.
- Market Position: As the largest hedge fund globally by assets under management, these changes reflect its ongoing strategy to optimize performance.
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