Loma Negra Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Revenue Decline: Loma Negra reported net revenue of ARS 225.2 billion (USD 152 million) for Q4 2025, reflecting a 1.7% year-over-year decline, indicating a slow recovery in the Argentine economy, although sequentially stable, highlighting weak market demand.
- EBITDA Contraction: Adjusted EBITDA stood at $37 million, down 33.4% year-over-year, with an EBITDA margin of 19.7%, indicating pressure on cost management, particularly due to rising maintenance and supply costs in the Cement segment.
- Debt Management: The company reduced net debt by $23 million to $183 million, with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.4x, demonstrating some improvement in financial management despite challenges to overall profitability.
- Future Outlook: Management anticipates high single-digit growth in 2026, primarily driven by infrastructure and energy projects, although ongoing foreign exchange volatility and market demand fluctuations will impact profitability and market performance.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on LOMA
About LOMA
About the author

- Revenue Decline: Loma Negra reported net revenue of ARS 225.2 billion (USD 152 million) for Q4 2025, reflecting a 1.7% year-over-year decline, indicating a slow recovery in the Argentine economy, although sequentially stable, highlighting weak market demand.
- EBITDA Contraction: Adjusted EBITDA stood at $37 million, down 33.4% year-over-year, with an EBITDA margin of 19.7%, indicating pressure on cost management, particularly due to rising maintenance and supply costs in the Cement segment.
- Debt Management: The company reduced net debt by $23 million to $183 million, with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 1.4x, demonstrating some improvement in financial management despite challenges to overall profitability.
- Future Outlook: Management anticipates high single-digit growth in 2026, primarily driven by infrastructure and energy projects, although ongoing foreign exchange volatility and market demand fluctuations will impact profitability and market performance.
- Sales Revenue Decline: Loma Negra reported Q4 net sales revenues of Ps. 225,233 million (approximately $152 million), reflecting a 1.7% year-over-year decrease primarily due to a 4.4% drop in the Cement segment, indicating weak market demand that could impact future investment decisions.
- Significant EBITDA Drop: Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA reached Ps. 44,293 million, down 33.4% year-over-year, translating to $37 million, a 26.9% decline, highlighting major challenges in cost control and profitability that may affect shareholder confidence.
- Net Profit Decline: The net profit stood at Ps. 5,895 million, a sharp decrease from Ps. 29,096 million in the same period last year, driven by lower operational performance and net financial losses, indicating ongoing pressure on profitability that could raise investor concerns about future performance.
- Increased Net Debt: Net Debt reached Ps. 266,492 million (approximately $183 million), with a Net Debt/LTM Adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.47x, significantly up from 0.89x in FY24, suggesting increased financial leverage that may affect the company's financing capabilities and financial flexibility.
- Earnings Release: Loma Negra reported its Q4 earnings late Thursday, with earnings per share of 10.70 Argentine Pesos, indicating stable performance amid the current economic climate.
- Market Reaction: Despite the stable earnings report, investor sentiment remains cautious due to the lack of detailed financial data and market outlook analysis, raising concerns about future growth potential.
- Industry Context: Economic fluctuations and inflation in Argentina are impacting the construction materials sector, with Loma Negra, as a market leader, facing challenges from rising costs and demand volatility.
- Future Outlook: The company did not provide specific future guidance, leading to market concerns regarding its strategies to navigate the uncertain economic environment, which may affect investor confidence.
- Earnings Announcement: Loma Negra is set to release its Q4 earnings on March 5th after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.15, reflecting a staggering 99.6% year-over-year decline, indicating significant profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline: Analysts project Q4 revenue to be $159.3 million, down 8.5% year-over-year, highlighting the company's struggles amid competitive pressures and weak demand in the market.
- Market Reaction Anticipation: Given the substantial drop in earnings and revenue expectations, investors are likely to adopt a cautious stance towards the upcoming earnings report, which may lead to increased stock price volatility and impact the company's short-term market performance.
- Historical Data Insight: Historical earnings data for Loma Negra shows increased volatility in performance over recent quarters, prompting investors to closely monitor the company's strategic adjustments and ability to recover in the market.
- Oversold Signal: Loma Negra's RSI has dropped to 28.6, indicating the stock is in oversold territory, suggesting that the recent heavy selling may be exhausting, prompting investors to look for buying opportunities.
- Price Fluctuation: Loma Negra's stock hit a low of $9.815 per share, with the current trading price at $9.90, showing a significant recovery from the 52-week low of $7.04, yet still far below the 52-week high of $14.17.
- Market Comparison: Compared to the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) RSI of 43.4, Loma Negra's lower RSI indicates relative weakness, potentially attracting investors looking for a rebound.
- Investor Sentiment: Despite the current low stock price, investor sentiment towards Loma Negra remains optimistic, as the oversold condition may present a favorable buying opportunity.
ETF Analyst Target Price: The Global X MSCI Argentina ETF (ARGT) has an implied analyst target price of $104.79 per unit, indicating a potential upside of 32.78% from its recent trading price of $78.92.
Key Holdings with Upside: Notable underlying holdings contributing to this upside include Loma Negra (LOMA), Pampa Energia (PAM), and YPF, with expected price increases of 61.81%, 47.82%, and 36.97% respectively, based on average analyst target prices.
Investor Considerations: The article raises questions about the validity of these analyst targets, suggesting that they may reflect optimism or could be outdated, necessitating further research by investors.
Market Sentiment: The performance of LOMA, PAM, and YPF, which together make up 15.34% of ARGT, is critical in assessing the ETF's potential and the accuracy of analyst predictions.








