JPM Increases Price Targets for CRRC and TIMES ELECTRIC; Order Growth Could Mitigate Possible Weakness in 3Q Results
JPMorgan's Forecast Update: JPMorgan has raised its earnings forecasts for CRRC and TIMES ELECTRIC, anticipating a 15% CAGR over the next three years due to strong order acquisition and improved demand visibility.
Positive Market Indicators: The revision is supported by CRRC's solid financial performance, a 6% YoY increase in railway fixed asset investment, and a 7% YoY growth in passenger traffic, leading to healthier order backlogs and more predictable earnings.
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Goldman Sachs Buy Stocks: Goldman Sachs released a list of Buy stocks in Hong Kong based on the Earnings Revision Leading Indicator (ERLI), including notable companies like AIA, Xiaomi, and HKEX.
Stock Performance: The report highlighted various stocks with their respective short selling data, showing significant short selling ratios for companies like Ping An and JD Logistics.
Market Reactions: AIA received positive outlook from Haitong International, which raised its target price, indicating optimism about its growth prospects for 2026/2027.
Short Selling Trends: The report detailed short selling activities across multiple stocks, with varying ratios indicating market sentiment and potential investor strategies.

Strategic Partnership: Bwton Technology has signed a strategic cooperation agreement with Yushu Technology (Unitree Robotics) to enhance the integration of robotics, AI, and industry applications.
Focus Areas: The collaboration aims to develop intelligent solutions for various sectors, including rail transit, power inspection, fire emergency, and urban governance.

China's Railway Expansion Plans: China State Railway Group (CRC) intends to launch over 2,000 km of new railway lines and aims for infrastructure investments to reach RMB520 billion, supported by a positive outlook from JPMorgan on the 15th Five-Year Plan.
Investment Performance: CRC has consistently exceeded its annual new line targets by approximately 20% for four years, with expectations of continued strong performance until 2026 and beyond.
Stock Market Insights: JPMorgan noted the strong performance of CRRC and TIMES ELECTRIC stocks, predicting better opportunities for these companies in the current year.
Profit Margin Resilience: Despite a normalization in revenue growth, CHINA RAILWAY is expected to maintain profit margins through a shift to high-value national projects and growth in overseas orders.
Earnings Outlook: Goldman Sachs reports a 1.3% month-over-month increase in the Earnings Revision Leading Indicator (ERLI) for December 2025, with a total gain of 6.9% over the past three months, indicating the strongest growth since 2021.
Stock Recommendations: Based on the ERLI, Goldman Sachs has issued Buy recommendations for several Hong Kong stocks, including AIA, Ping An, and ZTO Express, highlighting potential earnings uplift driven by improvements in technology and manufacturing.
Market Performance: The report includes various stock performance metrics, showing fluctuations in share prices and short selling ratios for companies like Xiaomi, HKEX, and CHALCO, reflecting market sentiment and trading activity.
Future Projections: Goldman Sachs anticipates that the earnings uplift trend may continue into early 2026, supported by ongoing advancements in the technology and manufacturing sectors.
Goldman Sachs Report: Goldman Sachs released its Asia Pacific strategy report for November, highlighting several Hong Kong stocks as Buy based on the Earnings Revision Leading Indicator (ERLI) criteria.
Top Stocks Listed: Notable stocks include AIA, XIAOMI-W, HKEX, PING AN, and ZIJIN MINING, with varying short selling ratios and price changes.
Short Selling Data: The report includes detailed short selling data for various stocks, indicating significant short selling activity in companies like LENOVO GROUP and ZIJIN MINING.
Related News: CLSA has cut BYD ELECTRONIC's target price while maintaining an outperform rating, reflecting ongoing market adjustments.
CRRC Performance Overview: CRRC recorded a faster delivery pace of multiple units in the first half of 2025, which contributed to a slowdown in revenue and profit growth in the third quarter of 2025, according to a report by Huatai Securities.
Industry Outlook: The rail transit equipment industry is expected to maintain stable growth in new multiple units and advanced repairs, positioning CRRC to benefit from the industry's sustained high prosperity.
Earnings Projections: Huatai Securities forecasts CRRC's earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 to be RMB0.51, RMB0.53, and RMB0.57, respectively.
Target Price Adjustment: The target price for CRRC has been raised from $7.42 to $7.66, with the broker maintaining a "Buy" rating on the stock.









