Inflation Drops to 2.7%, Providing Wall Street with Some Relief (UPDATED)
U.S. Inflation Update: Inflation in the U.S. cooled more than expected in November 2025, with the Consumer Price Index rising 2.7% year-over-year, down from 3% in September and below economists' expectations of 3.1%. Core inflation also decreased to 2.6%, the lowest since March 2021.
Market Reactions: Following the inflation report, U.S. stocks rallied, with S&P 500 futures up 1% and Nasdaq 100 futures up 1.8%. The U.S. dollar weakened, and Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year yield dropping to 4.11%.
Economic Outlook: The cooling inflation has strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve's easing cycle can continue into 2026, with bond markets pricing in a modest chance of a rate cut at the Fed's January meeting.
Sector Performance: The iShares Semiconductor ETF surged 3.7%, driven by positive earnings from Micron Technology, while Bitcoin rose 2.7% to nearly $89,000, reflecting a risk-on sentiment in the market.
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- Significant Growth: Micron Technology achieved a remarkable 57% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1 FY2026, nearly tripling its profits, which highlights its strong performance in the AI semiconductor market and attracts investor attention.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: The company anticipates “substantial records” in Q2 FY2026 across revenue, margins, EPS, and free cash flow, indicating that its business performance will continue to strengthen, suggesting robust sequential growth.
- Strong Market Position: Micron holds a crucial position in the AI storage solutions sector, with demand expected to rise as chipmakers grow rapidly, and with only two other large competitors, Micron enjoys a comfortable market position.
- Huge Investment Potential: Despite Micron's stock quadrupling in the past year, its forward P/E ratio of 12.5 remains lower than other AI stocks, indicating that there is still room for price appreciation, potentially creating substantial wealth for investors in the future.
- Tech Dominance: The Nasdaq-100 index features over 60% technology stocks, delivering a 20.2% return last year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 16.4%, highlighting the robust growth potential of the tech sector.
- AI-Driven Investment Opportunities: The five leading AI companies, including Nvidia and Alphabet, have achieved an average return of 880% since 2023, indicating the strategic value of AI-related investments within the Nasdaq-100 index.
- Long-Term Investment Advantage: The Invesco QQQ ETF has delivered a compound annual return of 10.4% since its inception in 1999, with an even higher rate of 20.5% over the past decade, demonstrating the effectiveness of long-term holdings in mitigating market volatility risks.
- Market Timing Insights: Despite market fluctuations, historical data suggests that investing in the Nasdaq-100 index and its ETF during downturns often leads to long-term gains, encouraging investors to hold or buy even as the index approaches historical highs.
- Tech Stock Pressure: The S&P 500 index fell by 0.52% and the Nasdaq 100 index dropped by 1.08% due to weakness in the Magnificent Seven tech stocks, indicating investor concerns that could dampen market confidence.
- Cisco Profit Warning: Cisco Systems forecasted that rising memory chip prices would erode profitability, leading to a more than 10% drop in its stock price, which may prompt investors to revise down their future performance expectations, negatively impacting overall market sentiment.
- Employment Data Impact: Initial US jobless claims fell by 5,000 to 227,000, reflecting a slightly weaker labor market, which could influence the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions and lower market expectations for future rate cuts.
- Chip Demand Recovery: Sandisk's stock rose over 7% following Kioxia's forecast of strong demand for NAND memory chips, indicating growth potential in the AI infrastructure sector, which may create new investment opportunities for related companies.
- Crocs Strong Guidance: Crocs shares surged 21% after the company projected adjusted earnings between $2.67 and $2.77 per share for the current quarter, exceeding the market expectation of $2.52, indicating resilience and growth potential in the current economic climate.
- Restaurant Brands Challenges: Despite reporting revenue and profit beats, Restaurant Brands' shares fell 6%, primarily due to rising costs, including beef, which pressured profits, reflecting the dual challenges of intensified industry competition and cost pressures.
- Cognex Stock Surge: Cognex shares jumped over 37% after reporting adjusted earnings and revenue beats for the fourth quarter, along with optimistic guidance for the current quarter, showcasing significant advancements in AI-enabled industrial machine vision technology.
- Equinix Exceeds Guidance: Equinix shares rose 12% after projecting adjusted EBITDA of $5.141 billion to $5.221 billion by 2026, surpassing analyst expectations, demonstrating strong growth potential in the digital infrastructure sector.
- Market Tightness: Micron's stock rose 3.7% on Thursday, primarily driven by tight supply and demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM), indicating a direct link between its profitability and HBM supply.
- Competitor Actions: Rivals like Samsung and SK Hynix are ramping up HBM production, with Samsung recently shipping its latest HBM4 chips, highlighting a surge in demand for high-priced memory.
- Profit Outlook: While rising HBM prices will boost Micron's short-term profits, the rapid production increases by competitors could lead to price declines in the future, impacting the company's long-term profitability.
- Cyclical Risks: The cyclical nature of the semiconductor industry suggests that Micron's profit growth may not be sustainable, prompting investors to remain cautious about potential market shifts.
- Strong Chip Demand: Sandisk's stock surged over 8% following Kioxia's forecast of robust demand for NAND memory chips, indicating strong global demand for AI infrastructure, which boosts market confidence in tech stocks.
- Tech Stock Pressure: Cisco Systems' stock fell more than 9% as it warned that rising memory chip prices would erode profitability, limiting overall gains in tech stocks and reflecting cost pressures faced by the industry.
- Labor Market Data: U.S. initial jobless claims fell by 5,000 to 227,000, indicating a slightly weaker labor market than the expected 223,000, which may affect market expectations for future economic growth.
- Corporate Earnings Optimism: Over two-thirds of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 78% exceeding expectations, and Q4 earnings growth is projected at 8.4%, providing support for the market and demonstrating corporate resilience.










