IBM to Acquire Confluent for $31 per Share
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 6 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy CFLT?
As announced on December 8, 2025, Confluent (CFLT) and IBM (IBM) have entered into a definitive agreement under which IBM will acquire Confluent for $31.00 per share in cash, representing an enterprise value of $11 billion. The transaction is expected to close by the middle of 2026, subject to approval by Confluent shareholders, regulatory approvals, and other customary closing conditions. In light of the pending transaction with IBM, Confluent will not be holding a conference call to discuss fourth quarter 2025 financial results or providing financial guidance.
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Analyst Views on CFLT
Wall Street analysts forecast CFLT stock price to fall
22 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
21 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 30.560
Low
24.00
Averages
30.53
High
31.00
Current: 30.560
Low
24.00
Averages
30.53
High
31.00
About CFLT
Confluent, Inc. provides a data streaming platform that enables customers to connect their applications, systems, and data layers and can be deployed as a fully-managed cloud-native software-as-a-service (SaaS) offering, Confluent Cloud, as a self-managed software offering, Confluent Platform, or as a Bring Your Own Cloud (BYOC) managed service offering where the raw data resides inside a customer’s own cloud environment, WarpStream. The Company also offers professional services and educational services. The Company is focused on developing a category of data infrastructure focused on data in motion for developers and enterprises. Its cloud-native offering works across multi-cloud and hybrid infrastructures and supports a variety of deployment models to support diverse customer requirements, delivering massive scalability, elasticity, security, and global interconnectedness, enabling agile development. WarpStream offers a lower-cost option for relaxed latency use cases for customers.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Confluent (CFLT.US) Officer Plans to Sell $19.53 Million in Common Stock via Form 144
Investment Sale Announcement: Trouvaille Investments Holdings Ltd plans to sell 640,000 shares of its common stock in Confluent (CFLT.US) on February 13, with an estimated market value of approximately $19.53 million.
Reduction in Shareholding: Trouvaille Investments has decreased its shareholding in Confluent by 1.15 million shares since December 1, 2025, with a total value of around $31.97 million.
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Reduction in Holdings: Since December 1, 2025, David Stein has reduced his shareholding in Confluent by 1.15 million shares, valued at around $31.97 million.
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- Global Expansion Strategy: QSE has recently renewed its enterprise agreement with The Muthoot Group in India, covering approximately 14,000 user licenses, and has entered South America with a three-year security agreement supporting three Brazilian government clients, marking its initial commercial presence in the region.
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Investment Sale Announcement: Trouvaille Investments Holdings Ltd plans to sell 640,000 shares of its common stock in Confluent (CFLT.US) on February 13, with an estimated market value of approximately $19.53 million.
Reduction in Shareholding: Trouvaille Investments has decreased its shareholding in Confluent by 1.15 million shares since December 1, 2025, with a total value of around $31.97 million.
See More
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Stock Sale Announcement: David Stein intends to sell 120,000 shares of Confluent (CFLT.US) common stock on February 13, with a total market value of approximately $3.66 million.
Reduction in Holdings: Since December 1, 2025, David Stein has reduced his shareholding in Confluent by 1.15 million shares, valued at around $31.97 million.
See More
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- Cybersecurity Trends: Gartner's 2026 cybersecurity trends report indicates that 75% of enterprise intrusions now involve compromised identity credentials, highlighting a critical shift towards identity-first attack methods that legacy defenses cannot adequately address, necessitating a strategic overhaul in security approaches.
- Market Growth Forecast: Gartner forecasts that sovereign cloud IaaS spending will reach $80 billion in 2026, with Europe, the Middle East, and Asia-Pacific experiencing the highest growth, underscoring the urgency for enterprises to adapt to accelerating data residency mandates to maintain competitiveness.
- Educational Webinar: QSE Corp is set to host a webinar titled “The Post-Quantum Shift: What Changes? What Fails? What to Do Now?” on February 17, 2026, aimed at helping organizations understand the implications of quantum computing on traditional encryption, expected to attract significant participation from IT leaders and security professionals.
- International Expansion: QSE has renewed its enterprise agreement with The Muthoot Group in India for approximately 14,000 user licenses and entered South America with a three-year security agreement supporting three Brazilian government clients, marking its initial commercial presence in the region.
See More
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- Shift in Security Focus: Gartner's report indicates that 75% of enterprise intrusions now involve compromised identity credentials, highlighting the need for companies to transition from traditional perimeter defenses to identity-first security measures to combat emerging cyber threats.
- Webinar Announcement: QSE is set to host a webinar titled “The Post-Quantum Shift: What Changes? What Fails? What to Do Now?” on February 17, 2026, aimed at helping organizations understand the impact of quantum computing on traditional encryption methods, expected to attract a wide audience of IT leaders and security professionals.
- Global Expansion Strategy: QSE has recently renewed its enterprise agreement with The Muthoot Group in India, covering approximately 14,000 user licenses, and has entered South America with a three-year security agreement supporting three Brazilian government clients, marking its initial commercial presence in the region.
- Market Outlook: With the global post-quantum cryptography market projected to reach $17.69 billion by 2034, QSE is building both the technology platform and market education infrastructure to capture enterprise adoption opportunities as quantum threats escalate.
See More
Confluent Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Strong Earnings Report: Confluent reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.12, beating expectations by $0.02, indicating a sustained improvement in profitability and reflecting its competitive position in the market.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $314.82 million, representing a 20.5% year-over-year increase and exceeding market expectations by $6.76 million, showcasing strong performance in customer demand and market share.
- Acquisition Impact Analysis: IBM's $11 billion acquisition of Confluent is viewed as a pivotal factor in driving the AI growth narrative, potentially providing Confluent with broader market opportunities and resource support.
- Rating Adjustment: Following the IBM acquisition, Bernstein downgraded Confluent's rating, reflecting market concerns about integration risks, which may affect investor confidence in the company's future performance.
See More
High-Volume Earnings Reports This Week from Tech and Consumer Sectors
- Earnings Schedule: This week features a high volume of earnings reports from technology, consumer discretionary, and energy sectors, with RIVN stock showing notable movement ahead of its earnings release, indicating investor sentiment.
- Monday.com and Pagaya Reports: On Monday, work management SaaS provider Monday.com and fintech company Pagaya released their earnings before the market opened, with expectations that their results will reflect broader industry trends.
- Coinbase Earnings Expectations: On Thursday, Coinbase is expected to report earnings of 68 cents per share and quarterly revenue of $1.86 billion, despite facing a projected 33% drop in transaction revenue, raising investor interest in its growing stablecoin and subscription services.
- Nebius Group Forecast: Also on Thursday, Nebius Group is projected to report a loss of $1.14 per share and revenue of $246.05 million, with analysts expressing caution, reflecting concerns over cloud service demand in the current market environment.
See More
