Gold Prices Affected by Geopolitical Risks
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 2 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy PAAS?
Source: stocktwits
- Gold Price Fluctuations: Gold prices inched higher on Thursday due to rising safe-haven demand amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, briefly surpassing $5,000 before retreating to $4,988 as a stronger dollar capped gains, indicating market sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Middle East Tensions Escalate: Iran issued a Notice to Airmen warning of potential hazards during missile tests, while U.S. carrier groups gathered near Iran's coast, driving Brent crude futures up 1.3% to $71.3 per barrel, reflecting market concerns over oil supply disruptions.
- Fed Policy Signals: The latest FOMC minutes revealed divisions among officials regarding further rate cuts, suggesting a pause unless inflation cools, which has pressured gold prices as market uncertainty regarding future monetary policy increases.
- Mixed Mining Stock Performance: In pre-market trading, gold mining stocks showed mixed results, with Newmont Corp. down 0.2% and Barrick Gold up 0.1%, indicating varied market reactions to gold price fluctuations, while silver miners generally rose, reflecting differing investor sentiments towards precious metals.
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Analyst Views on PAAS
Wall Street analysts forecast PAAS stock price to fall
6 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 56.090
Low
43.19
Averages
49.70
High
55.00
Current: 56.090
Low
43.19
Averages
49.70
High
55.00
About PAAS
Pan American Silver Corp. is a producer of silver and gold in the Americas, operating mines in Canada, Mexico, Peru, Brazil, Bolivia, Chile and Argentina. It owns a 100% interest in the Escobal mine in Guatemala, and it holds interests in exploration and development projects. Its segments include Silver, Gold and Other. Silver segment includes operations of La Colorada, Huaron, San Vicente, Cerro Moro, La Colorada Skarn, Navidad and Escobal. Gold segment includes operations in Dolores, Shahuindo, Timmins, Jacobina, El Penon and Minera Florida. La Colorada mine produces silver-rich lead and zinc concentrates from a flotation plant treating sulfide ore. Huaron mine produces silver-rich zinc, lead and copper concentrates using floatation technology. It owns 44% joint venture interest in the Juanicipio silver mine in Zacatecas, Mexico, operated by Fresnillo plc, along with 100% ownership of the Larder exploration project and a 100% earn-in interest in the Deer Trail exploration project.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Gold Prices Affected by Geopolitical Risks
- Gold Price Fluctuations: Gold prices inched higher on Thursday due to rising safe-haven demand amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, briefly surpassing $5,000 before retreating to $4,988 as a stronger dollar capped gains, indicating market sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Middle East Tensions Escalate: Iran issued a Notice to Airmen warning of potential hazards during missile tests, while U.S. carrier groups gathered near Iran's coast, driving Brent crude futures up 1.3% to $71.3 per barrel, reflecting market concerns over oil supply disruptions.
- Fed Policy Signals: The latest FOMC minutes revealed divisions among officials regarding further rate cuts, suggesting a pause unless inflation cools, which has pressured gold prices as market uncertainty regarding future monetary policy increases.
- Mixed Mining Stock Performance: In pre-market trading, gold mining stocks showed mixed results, with Newmont Corp. down 0.2% and Barrick Gold up 0.1%, indicating varied market reactions to gold price fluctuations, while silver miners generally rose, reflecting differing investor sentiments towards precious metals.
See More
Pan American Silver Declares 28.6% Dividend Increase to $0.18 per Share
- Dividend Increase: Pan American Silver has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.18 per share, representing a 28.6% increase from the previous $0.14, indicating ongoing improvements in profitability and cash flow, which is expected to boost investor confidence and attract more shareholders.
- Yield Performance: The forward yield of 1.24% provides relative attractiveness in the current market environment, potentially drawing in income-seeking investors and enhancing the stock's market performance.
- Shareholder Arrangement: The dividend is payable on March 13, with a record date of March 2 and an ex-dividend date also on March 2, ensuring that existing shareholders receive timely returns, thereby strengthening the relationship between the company and its shareholders.
- Financial Performance Beat: Pan American Silver reported a non-GAAP EPS of $1.11, beating expectations by $0.22, with revenue of $1.18 billion exceeding forecasts by $60 million, demonstrating the company's competitive edge and profitability, which may lay the groundwork for future dividend increases.
See More
Pan American Silver Reports Record Financial Results for 2025
- Record Financial Performance: Pan American Silver achieved record revenues of $1.2 billion and $3.6 billion in Q4 2025 and FY 2025 respectively, reflecting strong operating margins and higher-than-expected silver and gold prices, thereby enhancing the company's competitive position in the precious metals market.
- Strong Cash Flow: The company generated $554 million in operating cash flow in Q4 2025, totaling $1.333 billion for the year, with expectations of continued strong cash flow generation in 2026 to support future growth projects and shareholder returns.
- Increased Shareholder Returns: The company raised its dividend to $0.18 per share for Q4 2025, marking the third consecutive quarterly increase, with a total of $221 million returned to shareholders in 2025, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder interests and a strong financial position.
- Production and Cost Control: Attributable silver production is forecasted to increase by approximately 14% over 2025, with silver segment all-in sustaining costs expected to range from $15.75 to $18.25 per ounce, indicating ongoing improvements in cost control and production efficiency.
See More
Pan American Silver Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Strong Earnings Performance: Pan American Silver reported a Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.11, beating expectations by $0.22, indicating a significant enhancement in profitability amid rising silver prices.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $1.18 billion, a 44.8% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $60 million, reflecting robust demand in the silver and gold markets.
- Optimistic Production Guidance: For 2026, the company projects attributable silver production of 25-27 million ounces and gold production of 700-750 thousand ounces, demonstrating confidence in future production capabilities.
- Effective Cost Control: The all-in sustaining costs (AISC) for the silver and gold segments are projected at $15.75-$18.25 and $1,700-$1,850 per ounce, respectively, showcasing effective cost management that enhances profitability.
See More
GDXJ ETF Trading Dynamics Analysis
- Price Range Analysis: GDXJ ETF's 52-week low is $47.29 per share and high is $152.24, with the latest trade at $134.66, indicating a relatively strong performance in the current market that may attract more investor interest.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the recent share price to the 200-day moving average provides investors with deeper technical insights, aiding in market trend assessment and potential buy or sell timing, thus optimizing investment decisions.
- Unit Trading Mechanism: ETFs trade similarly to stocks, where investors are buying and selling 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on investor demand, providing flexibility and adaptability in volatile market conditions.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding for ETFs, focusing on those experiencing notable inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), helps investors identify market trends and their potential impact on ETF components.
See More
Pan American Silver Set to Announce Q4 Earnings
- Earnings Expectations: Pan American Silver is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 18, with Wall Street expecting an EPS of $0.89, reflecting a 154.3% year-over-year increase, and revenue of $1.12 billion, up 37.4% year-over-year, indicating strong performance in the silver and gold mining sector.
- Production Milestone: The company achieved a record silver production of 7.3 million ounces in Q4, raising its FY 2025 output to 22.8 million ounces, exceeding its full-year forecast, and guiding for 2026 silver production of 25-27 million ounces, showcasing its commitment to expanding production capacity.
- Market Analysis: While PAAS appears overbought in the short term, long-term fundamentals and structural demand for precious metals are expected to support continued appreciation, reflecting market confidence in its future growth.
- Earnings Revisions: Over the past two years, PAAS has beaten EPS estimates 50% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, demonstrating robust performance in the market and analysts' optimistic outlook for its future.
See More
Gold Prices Affected by Geopolitical Risks
- Gold Price Fluctuations: Gold prices inched higher on Thursday due to rising safe-haven demand amid escalating U.S.-Iran tensions, briefly surpassing $5,000 before retreating to $4,988 as a stronger dollar capped gains, indicating market sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Middle East Tensions Escalate: Iran issued a Notice to Airmen warning of potential hazards during missile tests, while U.S. carrier groups gathered near Iran's coast, driving Brent crude futures up 1.3% to $71.3 per barrel, reflecting market concerns over oil supply disruptions.
- Fed Policy Signals: The latest FOMC minutes revealed divisions among officials regarding further rate cuts, suggesting a pause unless inflation cools, which has pressured gold prices as market uncertainty regarding future monetary policy increases.
- Mixed Mining Stock Performance: In pre-market trading, gold mining stocks showed mixed results, with Newmont Corp. down 0.2% and Barrick Gold up 0.1%, indicating varied market reactions to gold price fluctuations, while silver miners generally rose, reflecting differing investor sentiments towards precious metals.
See More
Pan American Silver Declares 28.6% Dividend Increase to $0.18 per Share
- Dividend Increase: Pan American Silver has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.18 per share, representing a 28.6% increase from the previous $0.14, indicating ongoing improvements in profitability and cash flow, which is expected to boost investor confidence and attract more shareholders.
- Yield Performance: The forward yield of 1.24% provides relative attractiveness in the current market environment, potentially drawing in income-seeking investors and enhancing the stock's market performance.
- Shareholder Arrangement: The dividend is payable on March 13, with a record date of March 2 and an ex-dividend date also on March 2, ensuring that existing shareholders receive timely returns, thereby strengthening the relationship between the company and its shareholders.
- Financial Performance Beat: Pan American Silver reported a non-GAAP EPS of $1.11, beating expectations by $0.22, with revenue of $1.18 billion exceeding forecasts by $60 million, demonstrating the company's competitive edge and profitability, which may lay the groundwork for future dividend increases.
See More
Pan American Silver Reports Record Financial Results for 2025
- Record Financial Performance: Pan American Silver achieved record revenues of $1.2 billion and $3.6 billion in Q4 2025 and FY 2025 respectively, reflecting strong operating margins and higher-than-expected silver and gold prices, thereby enhancing the company's competitive position in the precious metals market.
- Strong Cash Flow: The company generated $554 million in operating cash flow in Q4 2025, totaling $1.333 billion for the year, with expectations of continued strong cash flow generation in 2026 to support future growth projects and shareholder returns.
- Increased Shareholder Returns: The company raised its dividend to $0.18 per share for Q4 2025, marking the third consecutive quarterly increase, with a total of $221 million returned to shareholders in 2025, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder interests and a strong financial position.
- Production and Cost Control: Attributable silver production is forecasted to increase by approximately 14% over 2025, with silver segment all-in sustaining costs expected to range from $15.75 to $18.25 per ounce, indicating ongoing improvements in cost control and production efficiency.
See More
Pan American Silver Q4 Earnings Exceed Expectations
- Strong Earnings Performance: Pan American Silver reported a Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.11, beating expectations by $0.22, indicating a significant enhancement in profitability amid rising silver prices.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $1.18 billion, a 44.8% year-over-year increase, surpassing market expectations by $60 million, reflecting robust demand in the silver and gold markets.
- Optimistic Production Guidance: For 2026, the company projects attributable silver production of 25-27 million ounces and gold production of 700-750 thousand ounces, demonstrating confidence in future production capabilities.
- Effective Cost Control: The all-in sustaining costs (AISC) for the silver and gold segments are projected at $15.75-$18.25 and $1,700-$1,850 per ounce, respectively, showcasing effective cost management that enhances profitability.
See More
GDXJ ETF Trading Dynamics Analysis
- Price Range Analysis: GDXJ ETF's 52-week low is $47.29 per share and high is $152.24, with the latest trade at $134.66, indicating a relatively strong performance in the current market that may attract more investor interest.
- Technical Analysis Tool: Comparing the recent share price to the 200-day moving average provides investors with deeper technical insights, aiding in market trend assessment and potential buy or sell timing, thus optimizing investment decisions.
- Unit Trading Mechanism: ETFs trade similarly to stocks, where investors are buying and selling 'units' that can be created or destroyed based on investor demand, providing flexibility and adaptability in volatile market conditions.
- Inflows and Outflows Monitoring: Weekly monitoring of changes in shares outstanding for ETFs, focusing on those experiencing notable inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), helps investors identify market trends and their potential impact on ETF components.
See More
Pan American Silver Set to Announce Q4 Earnings
- Earnings Expectations: Pan American Silver is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 18, with Wall Street expecting an EPS of $0.89, reflecting a 154.3% year-over-year increase, and revenue of $1.12 billion, up 37.4% year-over-year, indicating strong performance in the silver and gold mining sector.
- Production Milestone: The company achieved a record silver production of 7.3 million ounces in Q4, raising its FY 2025 output to 22.8 million ounces, exceeding its full-year forecast, and guiding for 2026 silver production of 25-27 million ounces, showcasing its commitment to expanding production capacity.
- Market Analysis: While PAAS appears overbought in the short term, long-term fundamentals and structural demand for precious metals are expected to support continued appreciation, reflecting market confidence in its future growth.
- Earnings Revisions: Over the past two years, PAAS has beaten EPS estimates 50% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, demonstrating robust performance in the market and analysts' optimistic outlook for its future.
See More
