Ford Reports Strong Q4 2025 Earnings Amid Strategic Shifts
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1h ago
0mins
Should l Buy F?
Source: seekingalpha
- Significant Revenue Growth: Ford reported $187 billion in revenue for 2025, with a market share increase to 13.2%, marking its best performance in six years, demonstrating resilience and adaptability amid multiple challenges.
- EV Strategy Shift: Ford is refocusing its EV business on high-volume, affordable models, which is expected to enhance market competitiveness and meet consumer demand while achieving significant improvements in cost and quality.
- Strong Performance of Ford Pro: Ford Pro delivered over $66 billion in revenue and $6.8 billion in EBIT, capturing over 42% market share in the commercial vehicle sector, showcasing its strong competitive edge and profitability.
- Optimistic 2026 Outlook: The company anticipates adjusted EBIT of $8 billion to $10 billion for 2026, with plans to invest $1.5 billion in Ford Energy, further driving long-term growth and cost control.
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Analyst Views on F
Wall Street analysts forecast F stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for F is 13.65 USD with a low forecast of 11.00 USD and a high forecast of 16.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
14 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
10 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 13.590
Low
11.00
Averages
13.65
High
16.00
Current: 13.590
Low
11.00
Averages
13.65
High
16.00
About F
Ford Motor Company is an automobile company. The Company develops and delivers Ford trucks, sport utility vehicles, commercial vans and cars, and Lincoln luxury vehicles, along with connected services. The Company’s segments include Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro, and Ford Credit. The Ford Blue segment primarily includes the sale of Ford and Lincoln internal combustion engine (ICE) and hybrid vehicles, service parts, accessories, and digital services for retail customers. The Ford Model e segment primarily includes the sale of its electric vehicles, service parts, accessories, and digital services for retail customers. The Ford Pro segment primarily includes the sale of Ford and Lincoln vehicles, service parts, accessories, and services for commercial, government, and rental customers. The Ford Credit segment consists of the Ford Credit business on a consolidated basis, which is primarily vehicle-related financing and leasing activities. Its vehicle brands are Ford and Lincoln.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Announcement: Ford Motor is set to release its fourth-quarter and year-end earnings after market close on Tuesday, with analysts projecting adjusted earnings per share of 19 cents and revenue of $41.83 billion, indicating financial strain on the company.
- Revenue Decline: The anticipated revenue for the fourth quarter represents a 6.8% decline year-over-year, while adjusted earnings per share are expected to fall by over 50%, highlighting the challenges Ford faces in market competition and profitability.
- Impact of Special Items: The fourth-quarter results for 2025 will include several one-time charges, such as $600 million related to adjustments in postretirement benefits and $19.5 billion for business restructuring, which will affect the clarity of the company's financial picture.
- Investor Focus: In addition to the earnings report, investors will be keen on updates regarding Ford's business plans and its 2026 forecast, particularly concerning production updates for the F-Series pickup trucks following a supplier fire that has impacted operations.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Ford reported $187 billion in revenue for 2025, with a market share increase to 13.2%, marking its best performance in six years, demonstrating resilience and adaptability amid multiple challenges.
- EV Strategy Shift: Ford is refocusing its EV business on high-volume, affordable models, which is expected to enhance market competitiveness and meet consumer demand while achieving significant improvements in cost and quality.
- Strong Performance of Ford Pro: Ford Pro delivered over $66 billion in revenue and $6.8 billion in EBIT, capturing over 42% market share in the commercial vehicle sector, showcasing its strong competitive edge and profitability.
- Optimistic 2026 Outlook: The company anticipates adjusted EBIT of $8 billion to $10 billion for 2026, with plans to invest $1.5 billion in Ford Energy, further driving long-term growth and cost control.
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- Surge in Trading Volume: Ford Motor Company's trading volume reached 69.6 million shares on Tuesday, nearly 21% above the three-month average of 57.6 million shares, indicating heightened investor interest ahead of the upcoming earnings report, which could impact stock volatility.
- Focus on Profitability Expectations: Investors are concentrating on margins rather than overall sales as Ford approaches its Q4 2024 earnings report, with analysts questioning whether improvements in warranty costs and pricing discipline can offset pressures from recalls and supply disruptions.
- Active Options Market: Increased activity and a higher put-to-call ratio in the options market suggest traders are preparing for a sharp reaction to the earnings report, indicating that significant volatility may follow the announcement.
- Historical Performance Review: Since going public in 1972, Ford's stock has grown by 526%, although its current price of $13.59 reflects the complexities of the company's growth potential in the context of the current market environment.
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- Robinhood Revenue Decline: Robinhood's Q4 revenue of $1.28 billion fell short of the $1.34 billion expected by analysts, with transaction revenue also missing at $776 million, leading to a 7% drop in stock price, reflecting market concerns over its profitability.
- Lyft's Poor Performance: Lyft's stock dropped 15%, as its Q4 bookings of $5.07 billion met expectations, but its first-quarter adjusted EBITDA guidance of $120 million to $140 million fell short of the $139.8 million consensus, indicating pressure on profitability.
- Mattel's Disappointing Guidance: Mattel's stock plummeted 25%, with full-year adjusted earnings guidance ranging from $1.18 to $1.30 per share, significantly below the $1.77 expected by the market, and Q4 results also missed expectations, highlighting weakness in the toy market.
- Cloudflare's Strong Outlook: Cloudflare's stock surged 10% after projecting Q1 revenue between $620 million and $621 million, exceeding the $614 million consensus, and its Q4 results also surpassed analyst expectations, showcasing strong growth potential in the cloud networking market.
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- Earnings Preview: Ford is set to release its Q4 earnings, with market focus on its performance amid the reset of its electric vehicle (EV) and hybrid strategies, which is expected to impact investor confidence.
- Strategic Shift: Changes in Ford's EV strategy have raised concerns in the market, leading analysts to adopt a more cautious outlook on its future growth potential, which may result in rating downgrades.
- Market Performance: Ford's strong performance in the compact pickup segment within emerging markets offers a glimmer of hope for shell-shocked investors, demonstrating its competitiveness in specific niches.
- Long-Term Focus: Despite facing short-term challenges, Ford's long-term development strategy remains under scrutiny, with investors eager to see how the company adapts to market changes and adjusts its product lineup.
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- Earnings Preview: Ford is set to release its Q4 earnings, with market focus on its performance amid the reset of its EV and hybrid strategies, which is expected to impact investor confidence.
- Strategic Shift: Changes in Ford's EV strategy have raised concerns, leading to a downgrade in analyst ratings, reflecting a cautious outlook on the company's future profitability.
- Market Performance: Ford's strong performance in the compact pickup segment in emerging markets provides a glimmer of hope for investors, despite overall pressures on its quarterly results.
- Investor Sentiment: Following a challenging quarter, investor sentiment towards Ford has been negatively affected, with diminishing confidence in its long-term growth potential likely leading to stock price volatility.
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