D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) Shares Surge 211%, Outperforming Market Indices
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 18 2026
0mins
Source: Fool
- Stock Surge: D-Wave Quantum's shares skyrocketed 211% in 2025, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, reflecting strong market interest and investor enthusiasm for quantum computing.
- Market Performance: By 2025, D-Wave achieved a market cap of $10 billion with a daily trading volume of 41 million shares, indicating investor confidence in its growth potential, particularly in technology and industrial applications.
- Technological Applications: D-Wave's quantum computers utilize annealing technology, widely applied in supply chain management, scheduling, and portfolio optimization, showcasing its unique advantages in optimization tasks that may attract further industry investment.
- Valuation Risks: Despite D-Wave's seemingly low share price, its price-to-sales ratio stands at 342, suggesting that market expectations for future earnings may be overly optimistic, potentially leading to greater downside risks for investors in the future.
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Analyst Views on QBTS
Wall Street analysts forecast QBTS stock price to rise
13 Analyst Rating
13 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 23.820
Low
35.00
Averages
40.67
High
48.00
Current: 23.820
Low
35.00
Averages
40.67
High
48.00
About QBTS
D-Wave Quantum Inc. is a quantum computing company, which is engaged in the development and delivery of quantum computing systems, software, and services. The Company builds and delivers systems, cloud services, application development tools, and professional services to support the end-to-end quantum computing journey for enterprises and developers. The Company's products include Cloud Platform, Systems, Professional Services, and others. Under its Cloud Platform, the Leap quantum cloud service delivers immediate, real-time access to its quantum computers and hybrid solvers services. Under its Systems, the Advantage quantum system is a quantum computer designed for business. It also offers quantum applications to a range of customers, including resource scheduling, factory scheduling, industrial construction design, drug discovery, and others. It offers solutions across workforce scheduling, production scheduling, vehicle routing, resource optimization, and cargo loading.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Market Recovery: Shares of IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum have surged over 50% since the end of March, despite a recent pullback, indicating strong investor interest and renewed confidence in quantum computing.
- Government Investment: The U.S. Department of Commerce announced a $2 billion funding allocation to the quantum industry under the CHIPS and Science Act, with nine companies receiving direct funds in exchange for equity, highlighting the strategic importance of quantum technology, even though IonQ was not included.
- Technology Maturity: While quantum computing is seen as potentially revolutionary, many researchers believe that practical, fault-tolerant quantum computing may still be a decade or more away, suggesting that current market valuations could be overly optimistic.
- Speculative Risks: IonQ, D-Wave, and Rigetti have market caps of $21.2 billion, $8.7 billion, and $6.5 billion respectively, yet their limited revenue and profitability make these stocks highly sensitive to market sentiment, posing significant risks for investors amid potential market corrections.
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- Federal Investment Catalyst: The U.S. Department of Commerce announced a $2 billion funding allocation to the quantum computing sector, directly investing in nine companies including D-Wave and Rigetti, which propelled quantum computing stocks to surge over 50%, despite IonQ not being among the recipients.
- Market Sentiment Sensitivity: With price-to-sales ratios soaring as high as 645, these quantum computing stocks are extremely sensitive to market sentiment shifts, necessitating caution from investors, particularly during downturns in market mood.
- Maturity Challenges: While the federal investment is seen as a validation of the strategic importance of quantum computing, many researchers believe that practical fault-tolerant quantum computing could still be a decade or more away, suggesting that current market valuations may be overly optimistic.
- Cautious Investment Advice: Analysts recommend avoiding purchases of pure-play quantum computing stocks at current price levels, particularly D-Wave Quantum, as these stocks' future returns hinge on optimistic outcomes that may not materialize.
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- Government Investment Context: The U.S. government announced up to $100 million in equity investments in quantum computing firms, including D-Wave Quantum and Rigetti Computing, marking an unconventional investment strategy aimed at enhancing national security and reducing reliance on foreign competitors during economic pressures.
- Rigetti's Development Challenges: Rigetti is set to receive $100 million for R&D, yet its superconducting quantum computing technology, while fast, significantly lags in accuracy compared to other techniques, leading to delays in its new system release and exclusion from DARPA's Quantum Benchmarking Initiative.
- D-Wave's Technological Edge: D-Wave Quantum will also receive $100 million to focus on its 100,000-qubit annealing system and 10,000-qubit gate-model system, excelling in optimization problem-solving, but still needs to advance in traditional gate-based quantum computing.
- Diverse Investment Analysis: The investments span various quantum computing technologies, including superconducting, annealing, and neutral-atom methods, indicating a broad government bet on competing technologies rather than validation of individual stocks, suggesting that both D-Wave and Rigetti remain highly speculative investment choices.
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- Government Support: The U.S. government announced equity investments of up to $100 million each in Rigetti Computing and D-Wave Quantum to support their quantum computing technologies, marking a proactive governmental approach in the quantum sector, typically seen during economic distress.
- Significant Technical Challenges: Rigetti's superconducting quantum computing technology, while fast, achieved only 99.1% 2-qubit gate fidelity, falling short of the targeted 99.5%, leading to delays in the release of its new system, highlighting major accuracy issues facing the company.
- D-Wave's Progress: D-Wave Quantum will also receive $100 million to accelerate the development of its 100,000-qubit annealing system and 10,000-qubit gate-model system, showcasing its strength in optimization problems, yet it still needs breakthroughs in traditional gate-model quantum computing.
- Diverse Investment Landscape: The government's investments span various quantum computing technologies, including Rigetti's superconducting approach and D-Wave's dual-rail qubit architecture, indicating a broad bet on competing technologies rather than validation of individual stocks, suggesting a highly speculative market environment.
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- Significant Price Drop: D-Wave Quantum's stock fell 8.9% on Tuesday, closing at $23.52, resulting in a market cap of $8.8 billion, indicating a potential decline in investor confidence in quantum computing technologies that could affect future funding capabilities.
- Broader Market Weakness: The S&P 500 declined by 0.3% and the Nasdaq Composite fell by 1%, reflecting a waning investor confidence in the artificial intelligence sector, which may lead to a broader market downturn.
- Investor Anxiety Heightens: Ahead of the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, investors are increasingly anxious about the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate moves, contributing to selling pressure that saw D-Wave's stock drop as much as 13.5% during the session.
- Valuation Risks: Despite D-Wave's high price-to-sales ratio of 207, indicating strong growth expectations, the recent stock pullback may prompt investors to reassess their investment risks, particularly in the context of increasing market volatility.
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- Stock Decline: D-Wave Quantum's stock fell by 8.9% today, coinciding with a broader market downturn where the S&P 500 dropped by 0.3% and the Nasdaq Composite fell by 1%, indicating a weakening market sentiment.
- Increased Market Pressures: Earlier in the session, D-Wave's stock was down as much as 13.5%, reflecting diminishing investor confidence in the artificial intelligence sector, particularly ahead of the upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) report that could influence Federal Reserve interest rate decisions.
- Valuation Challenges: With a market capitalization of $8.8 billion and a price-to-sales ratio of approximately 207 times this year's expected sales, D-Wave Quantum's revolutionary quantum computing technologies present a valuation conundrum, as the high ratio suggests strong growth is already priced in, posing significant risks for investors.
- Uncertain Investment Outlook: Although today's pullback makes D-Wave's stock appear more attractive, investors should remain cautious, as long-term investments could yield either explosive returns or substantial losses, leading analysts to recommend waiting for a larger pullback before considering investment.
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