Daiwa Lowers COSCO SHIP HOLD Rating to Hold Due to Absence of Catalysts
Operational Performance: COSCO SHIP HOLD reported stable operational performance in Q3 2025, providing significant returns to shareholders through buybacks and dividends.
Earnings Outlook: Despite the positive performance, the company's earnings for 2026 are expected to face increased pressure, leading to a downgrade in its rating from Outperform to Hold by Daiwa.
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Stock Performance Overview: COSCO SHIP HOLD and OOIL saw increases in their stock prices, while SITC, AIR CHINA, CATHAY PAC AIR, and CHINA SOUTH AIR experienced declines.
Short Selling Data: Significant short selling activity was noted across various stocks, with OOIL having the highest ratio at 24.107%, while COSCO SHIP HOLD had a ratio of 10.920%.
Analyst Ratings: Most companies listed received an "Underweight" rating, except for CATHAY PAC AIR, which was rated as a "Buy," and SITC, which was rated as "Hold."
Market Insights: Morgan Stanley maintains a positive outlook on oil tanker shipping but advises an underweight position on container shipping stocks.

Impact on Oil and Gas Trade: Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz has tightened tanker fleet capacity and increased freight rates for long-haul transport, particularly affecting routes from the Americas and West Africa.
Container Shipping Sector Effects: Disruptions at Middle Eastern ports, which handle 5% of global container throughput, may lead to increased new ship orders despite worsened port congestion.
Airline Sector Profit Concerns: Escalating oil prices are expected to significantly reduce profits for Asian airlines, with a 10% increase in oil prices potentially decreasing profits for Chinese airlines by 68%.
Broker Ratings: HSBC Global Research has maintained a Reduce rating on several shipping and airline companies, including COSCO SHIP HOLD, AIR CHINA, and CHINA SOUTH AIR, amid these market challenges.

Impact of Middle East Crisis: The ongoing Middle East crisis and Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz are significantly altering the Asian transportation and industrial landscape, driven by geopolitical shocks and changing trade dynamics, according to a JP Morgan report.
Opportunities for Key Industries: Companies in container shipping, tankers, bulk shipping, ports, supply chains, and defense are capitalizing on new opportunities due to their scale, flexibility, and strategic positioning, with the defense sector entering a structural upcycle.
Shift to Air Freight: As maritime bottlenecks increase, shippers are increasingly turning to air freight, benefiting airlines like Cathay Pacific and Singapore Airlines, which are well-positioned due to their fuel hedging strategies and established route networks.
Favorable Ratings for Shipping and Airlines: JP Morgan has favored companies like COSCO, OOIL, and Evergreen Marine in the container shipping sector for their global scale, while assigning an Overweight rating to Cathay Pacific and Singapore Airlines in the airline sector.

Top Short Selling Stocks: S&P Global Market Intelligence identified the top ten Hong Kong stocks with the highest short selling ratios, highlighting significant borrowing activity relative to total shares issued.
CATL Performance: CATL (03750.HK) showed a short selling ratio of 16.502% with a total of $138.71 million borrowed, reflecting a slight price increase of 1.280% over the past week.
Jiangsu Express and Ping An: Jiangsu Express (00177.HK) had the highest short selling ratio at 48.169%, while Ping An (02318.HK) followed with a ratio of 29.427%, indicating substantial investor skepticism.
Overall Market Trends: The report includes various stocks with their respective short selling ratios and price changes, indicating mixed performance across the board, with some stocks experiencing significant declines.

Market Performance: Hong Kong stocks rose in early trading, with the HSI up 199 points (0.8%) to 26,789, and total market turnover reaching HKD122.273 billion.
HSBC Results: HSBC Holdings reported a 7.4% year-on-year decline in profit before tax to USD29.907 billion, with its stock price down 0.3% at HKD134.9, while declaring a quarterly dividend of USD0.45.
Commodity Stocks Surge: Several commodity stocks, including ZHAOJIN MINING and ZIJIN GOLD INTL, saw significant gains of over 2%, with CHINAGOLDINTL spiking 3.2%.
Consumer Sector Growth: Consumer stocks advanced, highlighted by MAOYAN ENT's forecast of RMB540 million profit, and notable increases in sportswear and catering stocks, with HAIDILAO jumping 5.8%.

Top Short Selling Stocks: S&P Global Market Intelligence identified the top 10 Hong Kong stocks with the highest short selling ratios, with CATL leading at 19.445% and Ping An at 34.425%.
Short Selling Data: The short selling ratios are calculated based on the percentage of shares borrowed relative to the total number of issued shares, with significant amounts of short selling observed across various companies.
Stock Performance: The report includes details on the number of shares borrowed, price changes over the past week, and the percentage change in short selling for each stock.
Market Insights: The data reflects investor sentiment and market trends, with notable interest in sectors such as materials, insurance, and consumer staples, as indicated by JPM's sector preferences.





