CrowdStrike's Strong Q4 Earnings Expectations
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Mar 02 2026
0mins
Should l Buy CRWD?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Expectations: CrowdStrike is expected to report Q4 EPS of $1.10, reflecting a nearly 7% increase year-over-year, while revenue is projected to rise by 22.6% to $1.3 billion, indicating strong performance and sustained demand in the cybersecurity sector.
- AI-Driven Growth: The rollout of AI-driven features is attracting more customers, and as organizations increase their cybersecurity spending, CrowdStrike's clear leadership in the industry is becoming more pronounced, likely driving future revenue growth.
- Strategic Partnership Expansion: The deepening partnership with Microsoft allows customers to purchase the Falcon platform through the Microsoft Marketplace, enhancing product accessibility and opening new sales channels, thereby strengthening the company's competitive position.
- Market Expansion Plans: CrowdStrike plans to expand into markets such as Saudi Arabia, India, and the UAE, aiming to deepen market penetration and distribution networks, further solidifying its leadership in the global cybersecurity market.
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Analyst Views on CRWD
Wall Street analysts forecast CRWD stock price to rise
34 Analyst Rating
23 Buy
11 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 428.990
Low
353.00
Averages
559.71
High
640.00
Current: 428.990
Low
353.00
Averages
559.71
High
640.00
About CRWD
CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. is a global cybersecurity company that provides cloud-delivered protection of endpoints, cloud workloads, identity and data. Its Falcon platform is designed for cybersecurity consolidation, purpose-built to stop breaches. The platforms collect and integrate data from across the enterprise, including endpoints, cloud workloads, identities, and third-party sources. It offers 29 cloud modules on its Falcon platform via a software as a service (SaaS) subscription-based model that spans multiple large markets, including corporate endpoint and cloud workload security, managed security services, security and vulnerability management, information technology (IT) operations management, identity protection, next-generation security information and event management (SIEM) and log management, threat intelligence services, data protection, SaaS security posture management, automation and response (SOAR) and artificial intelligence powered workflow automation, and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Significant Revenue Growth: CrowdStrike's net new annual recurring revenue (ARR) surged 47% to $331 million in fiscal Q4, with total ARR increasing 24% to $5.25 billion, reflecting the company's strong performance in the cybersecurity sector.
- Steady Subscription Revenue Rise: The company's total revenue grew 23% year-over-year to $1.31 billion, with subscription revenue also climbing 23% to $1.24 billion, indicating the ongoing appeal of its high-margin subscription model.
- Customer Base Expansion: In the quarter, CrowdStrike added 350 new Falcon Flex customers, with an average ARR exceeding $1 million, and a 26% ARR lift for Re-Flex customers, demonstrating that its flexible licensing model is driving customer growth and revenue enhancement.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: CrowdStrike projects fiscal 2027 revenue between $5.868 billion and $5.928 billion, reflecting a growth of 22% to 23%, with ARR expected to grow 23% to 24%, reaching between $6.466 billion and $6.516 billion, showcasing the company's confidence in future growth.
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- High Put Option Activity: Notably, the $14 strike put option expiring on April 17, 2026, has seen 2,044 contracts traded today, representing around 204,400 underlying shares, suggesting increased investor expectations for a price decline.
- Capital One Options Trading: Capital One Financial Corp experienced options trading volume of 27,954 contracts, translating to approximately 2.8 million shares, or about 51.7% of its average daily trading volume of 5.4 million shares over the past month, reflecting market attention on its stock volatility.
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- Acquisition Announcement: OpenAI has announced the acquisition of cybersecurity startup Promptfoo, which will enhance the security and governance capabilities of its Frontier platform, addressing the complexities of modern AI systems despite not disclosing the deal terms.
- Team Integration: The team from Promptfoo will join OpenAI, with CEO Ian Webster stating that this integration will accelerate the enhancement of security and governance capabilities to tackle the challenges posed by AI agents connecting to real data and systems.
- Open Source Continuation: OpenAI will continue to develop Promptfoo's open-source project, which allows developers to test various AI-related prompts and agents, comparing the performance of large language models, thereby fostering innovation in the AI sector.
- Funding Background: Promptfoo raised $18.4 million in Series A funding in July 2025, achieving a post-valuation of $85.5 million, indicating its potential and market appeal in the cybersecurity domain.
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- Optimistic Guidance: CrowdStrike projects first-quarter revenue of $1.362 billion with non-GAAP earnings of $1.07 per share, indicating strong performance in the growing cybersecurity market, while forecasting $5.9 billion in revenue for fiscal 2027, reflecting management's confidence in future growth.
- Strong Demand for Emerging Solutions: Needham highlighted that cloud security ARR grew over 35% year-over-year, next-gen identity ARR accelerated to over 34%, and next-gen SIEM ARR surged over 75%, indicating robust market demand for CrowdStrike's innovative products, further solidifying its market position.
- Mixed Price Targets: While Cantor Fitzgerald maintains an Overweight rating with a $520 target and Rosenblatt keeps a Buy rating with a $555 target, Canaccord lowered its target to $400, showcasing differing analyst perspectives on CrowdStrike's future performance.
- Stock Recovery Trend: CrowdStrike shares have risen 18% over the past week, crossing above the 20-day and 50-day moving averages, although still below the 200-day moving average, reflecting optimistic market sentiment regarding its growth potential.
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- Product Upgrade and Pricing: Microsoft has launched the Microsoft 365 E7 subscription at $99 per user per month, a 65% increase from the $60 E5 subscription, aimed at attracting enterprise users to adopt its Copilot AI add-on, thereby boosting overall revenue.
- AI Investment Returns: The company has invested over $100 billion in data center infrastructure over the past year, particularly in Nvidia chips to support AI model operations, with AI product sales being a crucial way to demonstrate returns on this investment, expected to drive future profit growth.
- New Feature Release: Copilot Cowork will be introduced as a research preview, designed to handle multi-step tasks such as sending scheduled emails and preparing meeting documents, which is anticipated to further drive the adoption of Copilot and enhance user productivity.
- Market Expansion Potential: Analysts note that the launch of the E7 subscription will encourage more organizations to upgrade to E5, with Microsoft’s 365 commercial products and cloud services representing 30% of total revenue in the December quarter, indicating strong growth potential in the market.
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- Annual Recurring Revenue Growth: CrowdStrike's annual recurring revenue (ARR) grew by 24% to $5.25 billion in fiscal Q4, indicating strong performance in the cybersecurity sector, although the stock remains down, reflecting market caution regarding future growth.
- Significant New Customer Growth: The company added 350 new Falcon Flex customers this quarter, with an average ARR exceeding $1 million, demonstrating the effectiveness of its flexible licensing model in attracting more enterprises and further driving revenue growth.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: CrowdStrike projects fiscal 2027 revenue between $5.868 billion and $5.928 billion, representing a growth rate of 22% to 23%, while ARR is expected to grow by 23% to 24%, reaching $6.466 billion to $6.516 billion, showcasing the company's confidence in future prospects.
- High Market Valuation: Despite strong revenue growth momentum, CrowdStrike's forward price-to-sales ratio is approximately 17 times, leading analysts to view the stock as overpriced, thus recommending investors to remain on the sidelines for now and wait for a more favorable entry point.
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