Company Reaffirms FY26 Adjusted EBITDA Outlook of $20M-$23M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy HNST?
Backs FY26 adjusted EBITDA view $20M-$23M. The company said, "The Company is reaffirming its full year 2026 financial outlook for revenue, Organic Revenue growth, Adjusted Gross Margin and Adjusted EBITDA. As previously disclosed, the Company's long-term financial algorithm consists of revenue growth of 4% to 6% annually and continued Adjusted EBITDA Margin expansion. Additionally, Organic Revenue excludes revenue from categories and channels exited as part of Powering Honest Growth. Due to the loss of these revenue streams, we anticipate a high-teens percentage decrease in 2026 reported revenue compared to 2025."
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Analyst Views on HNST
Wall Street analysts forecast HNST stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 3.640
Low
3.00
Averages
3.83
High
6.00
Current: 3.640
Low
3.00
Averages
3.83
High
6.00
About HNST
The Honest Company, Inc. is a personal care company focused on creating cleanly-formulated and sustainably designed products. It offers personal care products, including wipes, diapers, personal care and beauty. Primary components of its diapers include responsibly sourced, plant-based fluff pulp and other plant-derived materials. Its diapers have a modern and efficient design that uses less material. Its Clean Conscious wipes are compostable and plant-based, made with over 99% water and designed to protect skin. It has a line of personal care products for babies, and adult facial care products designed for a range of skin types and concerns. Its ingredients and formulas are toxicologist-audited for potential health concerns. It also offers a portfolio of wipes, including all-purpose wipes, flushable wipes in both toddler and adult variations, sanitizing wipes, and make-up remover wipes. Its distribution network includes two warehouses in Nevada and Pennsylvania.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
The Honest Company Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights
- Revenue Growth: The Honest Company reported Q1 revenue of $78.1 million, reflecting an 18% year-over-year decline, yet achieved organic revenue growth of 3.9%, indicating a solidifying market position under strategic focus in key categories.
- Margin Innovation: The adjusted gross margin reached a historic high of 43.5%, which not only showcases successful cost control but also provides a stronger financial foundation for future market investments, enhancing profitability in a competitive landscape.
- Household Penetration Increase: Household penetration rose to 8.1%, up 50 basis points from year-end, indicating a significant improvement in brand recognition and market acceptance, which is likely to drive future sales growth.
- Share Repurchase Program: The company utilized $3 million of its share repurchase program during the quarter, with an additional $8.3 million deployed post-quarter, demonstrating confidence in its value while maintaining $90.4 million in cash and cash equivalents, ensuring financial flexibility.
See More
Wall Street's Bearish Outlook on Three Stocks
- Lackluster Growth: The Honest Company (HNST) has experienced only 5.8% annual revenue growth over the past three years, indicating a loss of market share to competitors, which raises concerns about its future prospects.
- Declining Returns: Hertz (HTZ) has seen a 4.7% decline in revenue over the past two years as customers postponed purchases, leading to a risk of diminishing profitability, with its current stock price at $6.60 reflecting a high valuation multiple of 132.5.
- Weak Order Demand: Lennar (LEN) has failed to secure new orders over the past two years, resulting in an average backlog decline of 11.4%, while its free cash flow margin has shrunk by 7.5 percentage points over five years, indicating increased capital consumption to remain competitive.
- Intensifying Market Competition: All three companies face escalating market competition, leading to declining returns on capital, prompting investors to carefully assess their investment value.
See More
The Honest Company Launches All-Age Nourishing Cream
- Product Features: The Honest Company's new Sensitive Rich Cream is designed for all ages, delivering 48 hours of deep hydration while significantly soothing dryness and redness, supporting the skin's moisture barrier, making it suitable for both babies and adults.
- Clinical Validation: A three-week clinical study involving 48 children aged six months to five years showed that 100% of participants experienced a visible reduction in skin redness and dryness, demonstrating the product's efficacy and safety.
- Ingredient Benefits: Infused with barrier-supporting ingredients like Shea Butter and a soothing phyto-blend, this cream ensures rich hydration for daily use, helping skin appear softer and healthier.
- Market Launch: The Sensitive Rich Cream is now available on Amazon, with plans for in-store and online availability at Target and other retailers, further enhancing The Honest Company's presence in the personal care market.
See More
Yatsen Holding Reports Q4 Earnings Decline
- Earnings Decline: Yatsen Holding Ltd reported adjusted earnings of 7 cents per share for Q4, down from 14 cents in the previous year, indicating a significant decline in profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Sales Growth: Despite the drop in earnings, Yatsen's sales increased from $157.347 million to $197.258 million, suggesting that the company still has growth potential in market demand, which may lay the groundwork for future recovery.
- Stock Price Volatility: Yatsen's shares fell 10.1% to $4.00 in pre-market trading, reflecting a negative market reaction to its earnings report, which could lead to increased selling pressure from investors in the short term.
- Market Trends: U.S. stock futures were generally lower, with Dow futures falling around 1%, indicating a broader market sentiment that may have a ripple effect on Yatsen and other stocks' performance.
See More
AMTD Digital Inc Reports 565.7% Revenue Growth in FY25
- Significant Revenue Growth: AMTD Digital Inc reported a staggering 565.7% year-over-year increase in FY25 revenue, reaching $136.1 million, which significantly enhances the company's financial performance and indicates strong market demand for its services.
- Stock Price Surge: Following the positive earnings report, AMTD Digital's shares jumped 24.4% to $2.18 in pre-market trading, reflecting investor optimism regarding the company's future growth potential and profitability.
- Positive Market Reaction: The robust financial results have garnered widespread attention in the market, potentially attracting more investors and further driving up the stock price while bolstering overall market confidence in the company.
- Strategic Implications: The revenue growth not only strengthens AMTD Digital's market position but also provides financial resources for future expansion and investments, enhancing its competitiveness in the digital finance sector.
See More
The Honest Company Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Successful Strategic Transformation: The Honest Company has successfully exited Honest.com, the apparel category, and the Canadian business in 2025, with CEO Carla Vernon stating that this transformation has allowed the company to focus on its core businesses of wipes, personal care, and diapers, thereby enhancing operational efficiency and market competitiveness.
- Strong Financial Performance: In 2025, Honest achieved organic revenue of $294 million, a 5.3% increase year-over-year, with consumption growth of 30% and 12% in wipes and personal care products, respectively, although diaper performance was soft, overall market share improved.
- Confidence Boost from Buyback Program: The company announced a $25 million share repurchase program, with CFO Curtiss Bruce noting that this reflects deep confidence in the company's strategy and is expected to deliver annual savings of $10 million to $15 million through the
See More
The Honest Company Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights
- Revenue Growth: The Honest Company reported Q1 revenue of $78.1 million, reflecting an 18% year-over-year decline, yet achieved organic revenue growth of 3.9%, indicating a solidifying market position under strategic focus in key categories.
- Margin Innovation: The adjusted gross margin reached a historic high of 43.5%, which not only showcases successful cost control but also provides a stronger financial foundation for future market investments, enhancing profitability in a competitive landscape.
- Household Penetration Increase: Household penetration rose to 8.1%, up 50 basis points from year-end, indicating a significant improvement in brand recognition and market acceptance, which is likely to drive future sales growth.
- Share Repurchase Program: The company utilized $3 million of its share repurchase program during the quarter, with an additional $8.3 million deployed post-quarter, demonstrating confidence in its value while maintaining $90.4 million in cash and cash equivalents, ensuring financial flexibility.
See More
Wall Street's Bearish Outlook on Three Stocks
- Lackluster Growth: The Honest Company (HNST) has experienced only 5.8% annual revenue growth over the past three years, indicating a loss of market share to competitors, which raises concerns about its future prospects.
- Declining Returns: Hertz (HTZ) has seen a 4.7% decline in revenue over the past two years as customers postponed purchases, leading to a risk of diminishing profitability, with its current stock price at $6.60 reflecting a high valuation multiple of 132.5.
- Weak Order Demand: Lennar (LEN) has failed to secure new orders over the past two years, resulting in an average backlog decline of 11.4%, while its free cash flow margin has shrunk by 7.5 percentage points over five years, indicating increased capital consumption to remain competitive.
- Intensifying Market Competition: All three companies face escalating market competition, leading to declining returns on capital, prompting investors to carefully assess their investment value.
See More
The Honest Company Launches All-Age Nourishing Cream
- Product Features: The Honest Company's new Sensitive Rich Cream is designed for all ages, delivering 48 hours of deep hydration while significantly soothing dryness and redness, supporting the skin's moisture barrier, making it suitable for both babies and adults.
- Clinical Validation: A three-week clinical study involving 48 children aged six months to five years showed that 100% of participants experienced a visible reduction in skin redness and dryness, demonstrating the product's efficacy and safety.
- Ingredient Benefits: Infused with barrier-supporting ingredients like Shea Butter and a soothing phyto-blend, this cream ensures rich hydration for daily use, helping skin appear softer and healthier.
- Market Launch: The Sensitive Rich Cream is now available on Amazon, with plans for in-store and online availability at Target and other retailers, further enhancing The Honest Company's presence in the personal care market.
See More
Yatsen Holding Reports Q4 Earnings Decline
- Earnings Decline: Yatsen Holding Ltd reported adjusted earnings of 7 cents per share for Q4, down from 14 cents in the previous year, indicating a significant decline in profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Sales Growth: Despite the drop in earnings, Yatsen's sales increased from $157.347 million to $197.258 million, suggesting that the company still has growth potential in market demand, which may lay the groundwork for future recovery.
- Stock Price Volatility: Yatsen's shares fell 10.1% to $4.00 in pre-market trading, reflecting a negative market reaction to its earnings report, which could lead to increased selling pressure from investors in the short term.
- Market Trends: U.S. stock futures were generally lower, with Dow futures falling around 1%, indicating a broader market sentiment that may have a ripple effect on Yatsen and other stocks' performance.
See More
AMTD Digital Inc Reports 565.7% Revenue Growth in FY25
- Significant Revenue Growth: AMTD Digital Inc reported a staggering 565.7% year-over-year increase in FY25 revenue, reaching $136.1 million, which significantly enhances the company's financial performance and indicates strong market demand for its services.
- Stock Price Surge: Following the positive earnings report, AMTD Digital's shares jumped 24.4% to $2.18 in pre-market trading, reflecting investor optimism regarding the company's future growth potential and profitability.
- Positive Market Reaction: The robust financial results have garnered widespread attention in the market, potentially attracting more investors and further driving up the stock price while bolstering overall market confidence in the company.
- Strategic Implications: The revenue growth not only strengthens AMTD Digital's market position but also provides financial resources for future expansion and investments, enhancing its competitiveness in the digital finance sector.
See More
The Honest Company Q4 2025 Earnings Call Insights
- Successful Strategic Transformation: The Honest Company has successfully exited Honest.com, the apparel category, and the Canadian business in 2025, with CEO Carla Vernon stating that this transformation has allowed the company to focus on its core businesses of wipes, personal care, and diapers, thereby enhancing operational efficiency and market competitiveness.
- Strong Financial Performance: In 2025, Honest achieved organic revenue of $294 million, a 5.3% increase year-over-year, with consumption growth of 30% and 12% in wipes and personal care products, respectively, although diaper performance was soft, overall market share improved.
- Confidence Boost from Buyback Program: The company announced a $25 million share repurchase program, with CFO Curtiss Bruce noting that this reflects deep confidence in the company's strategy and is expected to deliver annual savings of $10 million to $15 million through the
See More
